Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#149
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#136
Pace77.1#30
Improvement-1.3#269

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#72
First Shot+4.4#69
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks+5.4#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#249
Freethrows+0.8#124
Improvement-1.2#271

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#296
First Shot-3.3#292
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks-0.8#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#298
Freethrows+2.1#68
Improvement-0.1#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.8% 24.3% 17.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 76.9% 86.2% 68.0%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 97.3% 90.0%
Conference Champion 33.5% 44.7% 22.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.7%
First Round20.7% 24.2% 17.2%
Second Round1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 48.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 35 - 55 - 11
Quad 413 - 318 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78-121 1%     0 - 1 -13.1 +13.2 -22.1
  Fri, Nov 7 7 @Purdue L 77-87 3%     0 - 2 +13.5 +13.1 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 12 8 @Houston L 45-78 3%     0 - 3 -10.1 -9.6 -4.8
  Mon, Nov 17 57 @Central Florida L 83-87 14%     0 - 4 +8.5 +11.1 -2.4
  Fri, Nov 21 228 @Eastern Michigan L 91-97 56%     0 - 5 -6.8 +13.5 -19.9
  Mon, Nov 24 224 Lamar W 83-68 66%     1 - 5 +11.3 +11.1 +0.1
  Tue, Nov 25 205 @Montana W 95-87 52%     2 - 5 +8.1 +11.4 -4.1
  Wed, Dec 3 220 Purdue Fort Wayne W 101-92 75%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +2.6 +14.3 -12.6
  Sat, Dec 6 167 Toledo W 98-97 66%     4 - 5 -2.7 +10.0 -12.8
  Sat, Dec 13 92 @Northern Iowa L 63-75 22%     4 - 6 -3.3 -4.2 +1.4
  Wed, Dec 17 194 @Northern Kentucky L 83-84 49%    
  Sat, Dec 20 12 Michigan St. L 69-86 5%    
  Mon, Dec 29 143 @Wright St. L 79-82 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 166 @Youngstown St. L 79-81 44%    
  Sun, Jan 4 182 Robert Morris W 82-77 68%    
  Fri, Jan 9 319 Cleveland St. W 93-80 88%    
  Sun, Jan 11 143 Wright St. W 82-79 59%    
  Thu, Jan 15 229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87-85 55%    
  Sun, Jan 18 277 @Green Bay W 82-78 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 355 IU Indianapolis W 105-87 95%    
  Sat, Jan 24 298 @Detroit Mercy W 84-79 68%    
  Wed, Jan 28 220 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-86 54%    
  Sun, Feb 1 194 Northern Kentucky W 86-80 70%    
  Wed, Feb 4 319 @Cleveland St. W 90-83 73%    
  Thu, Feb 12 166 Youngstown St. W 82-78 65%    
  Sun, Feb 15 182 @Robert Morris L 79-80 47%    
  Fri, Feb 20 277 Green Bay W 85-75 81%    
  Sun, Feb 22 229 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-82 75%    
  Wed, Feb 25 355 @IU Indianapolis W 102-90 86%    
  Sat, Feb 28 298 Detroit Mercy W 87-76 84%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 3.3 7.6 9.0 7.2 4.1 1.5 0.3 33.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.8 7.4 5.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 20.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.8 3.7 0.7 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.5 5.6 8.8 11.5 14.1 14.7 14.1 11.2 7.5 4.1 1.5 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5
18-2 99.5% 4.1    4.0 0.1 0.0
17-3 95.5% 7.2    6.4 0.8 0.0
16-4 80.2% 9.0    6.3 2.5 0.2
15-5 53.9% 7.6    3.6 3.2 0.8 0.1
14-6 22.3% 3.3    0.8 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 33.5% 33.5 22.9 8.1 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 50.0% 50.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 1.5% 47.2% 47.2% 12.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8
18-2 4.1% 39.9% 39.9% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5
17-3 7.5% 37.3% 37.3% 13.4 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.7
16-4 11.2% 31.2% 31.2% 13.7 0.1 1.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.7
15-5 14.1% 26.4% 26.4% 14.0 0.0 0.8 1.9 0.9 0.0 10.4
14-6 14.7% 20.1% 20.1% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.1 0.1 11.7
13-7 14.1% 16.4% 16.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.2 11.8
12-8 11.5% 12.8% 12.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 10.1
11-9 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 7.9
10-10 5.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.1 0.4 5.2
9-11 3.5% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.4
8-12 1.7% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.1 1.7
7-13 0.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-14 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.8% 20.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.8 7.6 5.7 1.4 79.2 0.0%