Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
65 Akron 43.2%   12   7 - 3 0 - 0 22 - 6 15 - 3 +8.4      +9.6 16 -1.1 205 76.6 34 +5.2 102 0.0 1
106 Miami (OH) 15.0%   8 - 0 0 - 0 20 - 6 11 - 6 +3.9      +3.3 93 +0.6 145 72.4 104 +8.3 73 0.0 1
124 Kent St. 12.7%   7 - 1 0 - 0 20 - 8 12 - 6 +2.9      +4.2 78 -1.3 215 78.1 20 +6.6 89 0.0 1
125 Bowling Green 11.3%   5 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 10 11 - 7 +2.4      -0.1 170 +2.6 92 71.0 144 +1.7 148 0.0 1
152 Massachusetts 5.9%   8 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 11 10 - 8 +0.5      -0.9 186 +1.4 127 78.5 18 +1.3 154 0.0 1
167 Toledo 4.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 14 9 - 8 -0.7      +2.9 106 -3.6 291 70.7 158 -1.7 195 0.0 1
175 Ohio 3.9%   4 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 14 10 - 8 -1.0      +0.9 141 -1.9 238 74.3 59 -1.2 186 0.0 1
209 Buffalo 1.8%   8 - 1 0 - 0 17 - 11 8 - 10 -3.1      +1.2 134 -4.3 316 67.6 234 +7.9 78 0.0 1
228 Eastern Michigan 1.3%   5 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 16 7 - 11 -3.8      -2.9 242 -0.9 199 66.2 267 -0.5 177 0.0 1
242 Western Michigan 0.9%   5 - 4 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 11 -4.7      -1.6 212 -3.1 276 70.3 167 -2.2 202 0.0 1
308 Ball St. 0.2%   2 - 7 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 13 -8.3      -5.2 307 -3.1 278 63.4 324 -12.5 329 0.0 1
322 Central Michigan 0.1%   2 - 7 0 - 0 7 - 21 5 - 13 -9.6      -4.2 285 -5.3 338 67.4 242 -10.3 313 0.0 1
326 Northern Illinois 0.1%   2 - 7 0 - 0 7 - 20 5 - 13 -9.8      -4.1 280 -5.7 343 71.3 135 -8.1 290 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 150 Boston College 74 152 Massachusetts 76   
Wed, Dec 10 106 Miami (OH) 90 227 UNC Asheville 87   
Wed, Dec 10 228 Eastern Michigan 65 220 Purdue Fort Wayne 80   
Sat, Dec 13 65 Akron 100 100 Murray St. 115   
Sat, Dec 13 105 Florida St. 95 152 Massachusetts 103   
Sat, Dec 13 182 Robert Morris 75 167 Toledo 70   
Sat, Dec 13 175 Ohio 88 113 St. Bonaventure 83   
Sat, Dec 13 257 Eastern Kentucky 69 106 Miami (OH) 79   
Sat, Dec 13 322 Central Michigan 55 197 Stony Brook 78   
Sat, Dec 13 192 Elon 85 326 Northern Illinois 79   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 209 Buffalo 75 287 East Carolina 74 53%   
Sun, Dec 14 124 Kent St. 85 269 Portland 79 71%   
Sun, Dec 14 308 Ball St. 68 226 Campbell 75 77%   
Sun, Dec 14 23 Iowa 83 242 Western Michigan 60 97%   
Tue, Dec 16 106 Miami (OH) 74 143 Wright St. 75 51%   
Tue, Dec 16 12 Michigan St. 85 167 Toledo 63 97%   
Tue, Dec 16 125 Bowling Green 84 350 Chicago St. 66 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.6 68.1 18.0 7.4 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Miami (OH) 4.0 11.0 20.0 18.4 15.4 11.6 8.7 5.7 4.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
Kent St. 3.7 16.4 21.1 18.1 13.9 10.0 7.3 5.2 3.5 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
Bowling Green 4.2 12.0 18.7 16.3 13.8 11.4 9.0 6.8 4.7 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
Massachusetts 5.0 5.5 12.7 14.6 14.4 13.6 11.3 9.3 7.0 5.0 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.4
Toledo 6.1 2.4 6.8 9.6 11.8 13.2 13.3 12.2 10.3 8.0 5.7 3.8 2.1 0.7
Ohio 5.8 3.8 8.7 11.3 12.7 13.0 12.7 11.1 9.0 7.0 5.2 3.1 1.7 0.7
Buffalo 7.4 1.2 3.1 5.4 7.4 9.4 11.1 12.5 12.7 12.1 10.1 7.6 5.0 2.5
Eastern Michigan 8.1 0.7 2.1 3.5 5.5 7.5 9.5 11.4 12.9 13.3 12.5 10.4 7.1 3.7
Western Michigan 8.5 0.4 1.4 2.7 4.2 6.4 8.1 10.5 12.3 13.7 13.6 12.2 9.3 5.3
Ball St. 10.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.8 5.9 8.4 10.9 14.3 17.1 18.6 16.2
Central Michigan 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.5 4.3 6.5 9.4 12.7 17.2 21.2 23.4
Northern Illinois 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.7 4.1 6.4 8.9 12.3 17.0 21.2 24.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 15 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 6.4 11.1 16.5 20.4 20.8 14.1 5.3
Miami (OH) 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 6.0 9.1 12.8 15.3 16.3 14.3 10.8 6.4 2.6 0.5
Kent St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.0 8.1 11.0 13.9 15.4 14.6 12.3 8.1 4.3 1.6 0.3
Bowling Green 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.3 6.8 9.8 12.7 14.2 14.4 13.0 9.8 6.3 3.1 1.2 0.3
Massachusetts 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.8 6.5 9.9 13.1 14.7 15.0 12.9 10.1 6.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
Toledo 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.0 6.9 10.6 13.3 15.3 15.1 13.1 9.1 5.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
Ohio 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.8 9.1 12.1 14.5 15.1 12.9 10.4 7.2 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
Buffalo 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.8 8.1 11.9 14.2 15.1 13.9 11.2 8.1 5.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 7 - 11 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.7 6.9 10.6 13.8 15.3 14.8 12.3 9.0 6.1 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Western Michigan 7 - 11 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.1 8.5 12.5 14.8 15.3 13.8 10.9 7.6 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Ball St. 5 - 13 0.6 2.9 6.9 11.9 15.6 16.4 15.3 12.0 8.4 5.2 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Michigan 5 - 13 1.1 4.7 10.0 14.2 17.7 16.5 13.4 9.9 6.3 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 1.2 5.0 10.5 15.3 17.0 16.0 13.5 9.3 6.1 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 68.1% 53.6 11.9 2.1 0.3 0.1
Miami (OH) 11.0% 5.6 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
Kent St. 16.4% 9.6 5.1 1.4 0.2 0.0
Bowling Green 12.0% 6.7 4.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
Massachusetts 5.5% 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
Toledo 2.4% 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ohio 3.8% 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Buffalo 1.2% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Western Michigan 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ball St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 43.2% 43.0% 0.2% 12   0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 9.5 21.3 8.5 1.3 0.1 56.8 0.3%
Miami (OH) 15.0% 15.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 6.8 5.0 1.4 0.2 85.0 0.0%
Kent St. 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.1 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 87.3 0.0%
Bowling Green 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.0 88.7 0.0%
Massachusetts 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 94.1 0.0%
Toledo 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.2 96.0 0.0%
Ohio 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.2 96.1 0.0%
Buffalo 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 98.2 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 98.7 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 99.1 0.0%
Ball St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 43.2% 0.2% 43.1% 10.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 15.0% 0.0% 15.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 12.7% 0.0% 12.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 11.3% 0.0% 11.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 5.9% 0.0% 5.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 4.0% 0.1% 4.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 3.9% 0.1% 3.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.9% 0.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 99.8% 1.0 0.2 99.6 0.1
2nd Round 16.3% 0.2 83.7 16.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.6% 0.0 96.4 3.6
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0