Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
62 Akron 47.5%   12   15 - 4 8 - 1 +8.9      +8.1 34 +0.8 137 76.4 26 +7.6 74 +10.8 2
91 Miami (OH) 29.4%   18 - 0 9 - 0 +6.0      +6.0 57 -0.1 168 73.5 62 +17.3 19 +15.9 1
142 Kent St. 7.3%   14 - 5 7 - 2 +1.1      +2.0 117 -0.8 198 76.4 25 +4.0 102 +4.8 3
147 Bowling Green 5.7%   10 - 8 4 - 5 +0.8      +0.2 157 +0.6 143 70.2 145 -0.5 174 -1.0 5
165 Toledo 4.1%   9 - 10 5 - 4 -0.4      +2.8 102 -3.2 278 70.1 149 -0.9 182 +0.4 4
170 Massachusetts 2.6%   12 - 9 4 - 6 -0.9      -1.1 193 +0.3 160 75.6 34 -1.6 196 -4.4 8
184 Buffalo 2.2%   12 - 7 4 - 5 -1.8      +2.3 113 -4.1 296 67.0 232 +0.3 157 -2.3 7
214 Ohio 1.4%   9 - 11 5 - 5 -3.2      -2.0 220 -1.2 214 73.3 64 -2.1 205 -2.1 6
241 Eastern Michigan 0.4%   8 - 12 3 - 6 -4.5      -4.0 282 -0.4 179 66.6 242 -4.3 228 -7.2 10
272 Western Michigan 0.1%   7 - 12 2 - 7 -6.3      -1.3 202 -5.0 320 69.0 175 -5.9 254 -10.2 12
294 Ball St. 0.1%   5 - 13 3 - 5 -7.6      -4.5 294 -3.1 276 62.0 345 -9.0 315 -5.4 9
304 Central Michigan 0.0%   4 - 15 2 - 7 -8.3      -4.0 281 -4.2 297 67.4 226 -10.6 328 -10.7 13
310 Northern Illinois 0.0%   5 - 13 3 - 6 -8.7      -6.0 324 -2.8 263 69.7 157 -8.3 300 -8.0 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 24 147 Bowling Green 72 165 Toledo 73   
Sat, Jan 24 241 Eastern Michigan 75 142 Kent St. 76   
Sat, Jan 24 304 Central Michigan 65 272 Western Michigan 77   
Sat, Jan 24 294 Ball St. 58 310 Northern Illinois 53   
Tue, Jan 27 62 Akron 91 165 Toledo 81   
Tue, Jan 27 170 Massachusetts 84 91 Miami (OH) 86   
Tue, Jan 27 142 Kent St. 72 214 Ohio 57   
Tue, Jan 27 147 Bowling Green 78 184 Buffalo 89   
Tue, Jan 27 304 Central Michigan 100 241 Eastern Michigan 65   
Tue, Jan 27 310 Northern Illinois 85 272 Western Michigan 65   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Jan 30 62 Akron 93 142 Kent St. 82 84%   
Sat, Jan 31 184 Buffalo 80 214 Ohio 76 66%   
Sat, Jan 31 241 Eastern Michigan 70 170 Massachusetts 77 74%   
Sat, Jan 31 294 Ball St. 68 165 Toledo 78 83%   
Sat, Jan 31 147 Bowling Green 77 304 Central Michigan 71 72%   
Sat, Jan 31 91 Miami (OH) 87 310 Northern Illinois 70 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.5 55.7 41.7 2.6 0.0 0.0
Miami (OH) 1.3 66.9 31.5 1.4 0.1 0.0
Kent St. 3.2 1.8 8.4 70.2 14.0 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bowling Green 5.0 0.4 15.2 30.5 23.7 14.6 8.5 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
Toledo 4.6 0.0 0.7 21.1 35.0 19.8 12.2 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Massachusetts 6.7 0.0 1.4 9.5 16.6 20.4 21.3 16.9 8.3 3.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
Buffalo 6.2 0.0 3.5 13.9 19.7 21.2 18.4 12.9 6.1 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
Ohio 6.3 0.1 2.9 12.4 18.6 21.3 20.0 14.9 6.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
Eastern Michigan 9.2 0.2 1.1 2.7 4.8 8.8 14.1 23.3 20.6 13.5 7.5 3.3
Western Michigan 11.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 5.2 11.4 15.2 19.7 22.8 22.1
Ball St. 9.4 0.3 1.2 2.7 4.7 8.0 13.0 20.8 19.1 14.9 9.9 5.5
Central Michigan 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 4.4 10.5 14.5 19.4 21.8 26.8
Northern Illinois 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.3 7.1 14.8 19.4 23.0 19.9 10.2

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 16 - 2 23 - 6 0.1 0.5 2.4 8.7 22.8 35.9 29.5
Miami (OH) 16 - 2 26 - 2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.9 9.1 19.5 27.9 26.9 12.8
Kent St. 12 - 6 20 - 9 0.0 0.3 2.2 7.9 18.4 27.0 25.1 14.0 4.6 0.5
Bowling Green 10 - 8 16 - 12 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.7 11.8 20.2 26.5 22.1 11.0 2.2
Toledo 10 - 8 15 - 14 0.0 0.5 2.7 8.7 17.8 25.3 24.3 14.7 5.1 0.9
Massachusetts 8 - 10 17 - 13 0.2 1.7 7.3 17.5 26.8 26.9 14.6 4.5 0.4
Buffalo 9 - 9 17 - 12 0.1 1.2 5.1 13.6 23.7 26.3 19.0 8.8 2.1 0.2
Ohio 9 - 9 13 - 16 0.8 5.2 15.0 25.8 26.2 17.8 7.4 1.6 0.2
Eastern Michigan 6 - 12 12 - 18 1.8 8.9 20.6 26.9 22.3 12.9 5.0 1.5 0.2 0.0
Western Michigan 5 - 13 10 - 19 3.9 15.1 25.4 25.8 17.6 8.6 2.9 0.6 0.1
Ball St. 6 - 12 9 - 20 3.0 11.7 21.7 25.0 20.3 11.3 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Central Michigan 5 - 13 7 - 22 4.6 16.4 27.3 25.8 16.5 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 8 - 20 7.7 22.3 29.3 23.4 11.9 4.1 1.1 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 55.7% 32.2 22.9 0.5 0.0
Miami (OH) 66.9% 43.5 22.9 0.5 0.0
Kent St. 1.8% 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0
Bowling Green
Toledo 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Massachusetts
Buffalo
Ohio
Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan
Ball St.
Central Michigan
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 47.5% 47.5% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 0.5 16.9 26.1 3.8 0.1 52.5 0.1%
Miami (OH) 29.4% 28.7% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 12.2 15.4 1.1 0.0 70.6 1.0%
Kent St. 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.8 3.4 1.8 0.2 92.7 0.0%
Bowling Green 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 2.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 94.3 0.0%
Toledo 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.2 95.9 0.0%
Massachusetts 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 97.5 0.0%
Buffalo 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 97.8 0.0%
Ohio 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 98.6 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.6 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.3 0.7
1st Round 99.8% 1.0 0.2 99.5 0.3
2nd Round 16.1% 0.2 83.9 16.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 47.5% 0.0% 47.5% 10.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 29.4% 0.7% 29.0% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 7.3% 0.0% 7.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 5.7% 0.0% 5.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 4.1% 0.1% 4.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 2.2% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 1.4% 0.2% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%