Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#326
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#290
Pace71.3#135
Improvement-2.6#328

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#280
First Shot-4.3#297
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#161
Layup/Dunks-2.9#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement-3.1#356

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#343
First Shot-3.0#272
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#332
Layups/Dunks-3.1#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#187
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
Freethrows-0.1#188
Improvement+0.5#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 9.0% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.8% 25.1% 54.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 60.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 45 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 358 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 76%     1 - 0 +2.7 +13.9 -12.5
  Fri, Nov 7 40 @Wisconsin L 72-97 2%     1 - 1 -10.1 +2.3 -11.2
  Mon, Nov 10 91 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 5%     1 - 2 -20.3 -9.2 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 92 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 5%     1 - 3 -4.3 -0.4 -5.6
  Fri, Nov 21 263 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 24%     2 - 3 +14.5 +11.2 +5.6
  Tue, Nov 25 193 @Austin Peay L 59-77 16%     2 - 4 -17.0 -5.8 -12.7
  Tue, Dec 2 237 Lindenwood L 64-99 40%     2 - 5 -42.2 -14.6 -25.6
  Sat, Dec 6 117 @Bradley L 55-84 8%     2 - 6 -22.8 -15.5 -6.2
  Sat, Dec 13 192 @Elon L 79-85 16%     2 - 7 -4.9 +1.9 -6.8
  Sat, Dec 20 322 Central Michigan W 77-74 61%    
  Tue, Dec 30 209 Buffalo L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Jan 3 124 @Kent St. L 75-91 7%    
  Tue, Jan 6 167 Toledo L 77-83 29%    
  Tue, Jan 13 228 @Eastern Michigan L 68-77 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 152 Massachusetts L 76-83 25%    
  Tue, Jan 20 175 @Ohio L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Jan 24 308 @Ball St. L 69-73 34%    
  Tue, Jan 27 242 Western Michigan L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 106 @Miami (OH) L 70-87 6%    
  Wed, Feb 11 125 Bowling Green L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 322 @Central Michigan L 74-77 39%    
  Tue, Feb 17 209 @Buffalo L 72-82 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 175 Ohio L 77-83 31%    
  Tue, Feb 24 167 @Toledo L 74-86 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 308 Ball St. W 72-70 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 124 Kent St. L 78-88 20%    
  Fri, Mar 6 65 @Akron L 74-95 3%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.5 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.1 0.1 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.0 2.3 0.3 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.7 1.5 0.1 12.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.4 7.6 2.9 0.2 17.0 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 7.2 8.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 21.2 12th
13th 1.2 4.8 8.4 7.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 24.4 13th
Total 1.2 5.0 10.5 15.3 17.0 16.0 13.5 9.3 6.1 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 5.7% 5.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.7
9-9 3.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4
8-10 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.1
7-11 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 13.5% 13.5
5-13 16.0% 16.0
4-14 17.0% 17.0
3-15 15.3% 15.3
2-16 10.5% 10.5
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%