Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.1 269
Results Rating -8.5 298
Consistency 0.20 357
Pace 67.5 203
Improvement +4.9 39

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 229 C- C D+ D D+
Defense D+ 290 D+ F C C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 170 C- 56% 221 -0.5 201
2 Pt. Jumpers 56% 29 B 42% 63 +3.8 30
Three Pointers 34% 325 D+ 32% 259 -4.6 326
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 297 C -0.5 188
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 218
Second Chance C- 28.5% 234 B- 1.10 84 C 0.31 168
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 335
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 138
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 288
Freethrows D+ 0.27 279 D 69% 296 D 0.19 303
Total Offense C- -2.2 229

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 67 D+ 12.7% 287
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 29 C 5.1% 192
Three Pointers C- 82% 235 C 1.0% 220
Total C+ 57% 137 D 6.7% 303


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 65 D+ 62% 281 +4.3 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 285 B- 36% 88 -1.7 49
Three Pointers 39% 226 C- 35% 232 -0.2 174
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 311 C- +1.6 250
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 265
Second Chance F+ 35.7% 345 F+ 1.17 347 F 0.42 358
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 209
Other Turnovers B- 7.8% 100
Turnovers C 16.7% 174
Freethrows D+ 0.34 290 B 70% 48 C- 0.24 251
Total Defense D+ -3.9 290

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 342 D+ 9.1% 246
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 112 A- 8.9% 26
Three Pointers D 89% 331 A+ 2.6% 9
Total D 62% 319 C+ 6.5% 107

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 285 16.8 87
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 141 0.22 329
Consistency 0.14 309 0.15 338
Improvement +2.1 83 +2.8 62

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 270 269 269
Results Rating Rank 298 298 298
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 13
Quad 45 - 88 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 190 Appalachian St. W 82 - 66 44% +12  95% 1 - 0 B +11 A +12 A+ C+ F C+ +0 A+ F D
 Sat, Nov 8 111 @Bradley L 54 - 85 12% -14  0% 1 - 1 F -24 F -17 F D D- D- -8 F C C+
 Thu, Nov 13 206 South Alabama L 64 - 66 36% -3  1% 1 - 2 C- -4 D+ -4 F B C- C -1 A F C
 Fri, Nov 14 362 Coppin St. W 82 - 59 88% +13  94% 2 - 2 C+ +4 C- -1 D- B+ C+ B +5 A+ F F+
 Thu, Nov 20 186 Northern Kentucky L 66 - 90 43% -13  0% 2 - 3 F -28 F -11 D A F F -18 F F C-
 Sat, Nov 22 76 @Marquette L 71 - 85 6% -5  4% 2 - 4 C- -3 C +1 C- F+ A+ D+ -4 F+ C D
 Tue, Dec 2 246 @Loyola Chicago L 72 - 83 35% -2  32% 2 - 5 D- -13 C +1 B- C D F -14 B- F F
 Sun, Dec 7 36 @Saint Louis L 65 - 107 3% -23  1% 2 - 6 F -25 C- -2 B- C D- F -24 D+ F F
 Sat, Dec 13 228 @Stony Brook L 55 - 78 30% -16  0% 2 - 7 F -24 F -15 F D A- F -11 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 342 @Northern Illinois L 73 - 74 64% +10  90% 2 - 8 0 - 1 D -11 C -0 D A+ D- F -10 C F B
 Mon, Dec 22 22 @Wisconsin L 61 - 88 2% -15  1% 2 - 9 D+ -7 D -5 D- D- A- C- -3 F A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 30 227 Ohio L 64 - 80 53% -5  42% 2 - 10 0 - 2 F -23 F -22 F F F C+ +1 B C- C
 Sat, Jan 3 139 Toledo L 75 - 78 34% +5  75% 2 - 11 0 - 3 C- -5 D+ -4 C- D- A C -1 A- B- F
 Tue, Jan 6 72 @Akron L 69 - 82 6% -10  0% 2 - 12 0 - 4 C -2 D+ -3 C F F B- +2 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 147 Kent St. W 87 - 85 36% +1  62% 3 - 12 1 - 4 C -0 B +6 D- A+ A+ D- -7 A- F B
 Tue, Jan 13 96 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 100 9% -17  1% 3 - 13 1 - 5 F -31 F -13 D F F F -18 F F D
 Tue, Jan 20 281 Ball St. L 67 - 68 65% -5  10% 3 - 14 1 - 6 D -11 C+ +2 B+ C- D F -14 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 24 277 @Western Michigan L 65 - 77 40% -3  24% 3 - 15 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -12 F B- D- D+ -4 C+ D+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 245 Eastern Michigan W 100 - 65 57% +9  61% 4 - 15 2 - 7 A+ +27 A+ +16 A+ C- A- A- +8 C- C- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 168 Bowling Green W 62 - 59 39% -4  26% 5 - 15 3 - 7 C -0 F -14 F A C- A+ +13 A A+ C-
 Tue, Feb 3 197 @Massachusetts L 89 - 95 25% +1  47% 5 - 16 3 - 8 C- -5 A +13 A+ A+ F F -18 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 299 @Louisiana L 80 - 85 47% +1  64% 5 - 17 D -10 A- +11 A B+ A F -22 F F C+
 Sat, Feb 14 342 Northern Illinois W 88 - 46 82% +25  99% 6 - 17 4 - 8 A+ +26 A- +10 A+ A- B A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 17 245 @Eastern Michigan L 54 - 66 34% -9  3% 6 - 18 4 - 9 D- -14 F -16 F D F C+ +2 F+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 277 Western Michigan W 83 - 70 63% +7  83% 7 - 18 5 - 9 C+ +3 D+ -4 C- D+ D+ B+ +7 A F B+
 Tue, Feb 24 147 @Kent St. L 81 - 83 18% +9  95% 7 - 19 5 - 10 C +2 A- +10 A A+ F+ F+ -8 F+ F B-
 Sat, Feb 28 211 @Buffalo W 75 - 70 27% +5  70% 8 - 19 6 - 10 B- +5 B- +4 B B- F C+ +1 B- F F+
 Tue, Mar 3 72 Akron L 64 - 77 14% -3  23% 8 - 20 6 - 11 D+ -8 F+ -9 C D F+ C+ +1 C D- B-
 Fri, Mar 6 281 @Ball St. L 69 - 85 42% -11  2% 8 - 21 6 - 12 F -20 D+ -3 C D+ C F -18 F F B-
Totals 8 - 21 6 - 12 -6 C- -2 D- C D+ D+ -4 D+ D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B D+ C 39% 56% 34% D+ C- C- B- C D+ D+ D D D+ D+ B- C- C- 43% 17% 39% D D+ F+ F+ F C D+ B C-
1.05 56% 42% 32% 0 -1 0.99 28% 1.1 .31 18% .27 69% .19 1.14 62% 36% 35% +2 +1 1.07 36% 1.2 .42 17% .34 70% .19
Nov
3		 Appalachian St. A B+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 35% B+ A+ A+ F C+ F B+ A+ A C+ A+ A+ B A+ 33% 17% 50% C A+ F+ F+ F D F A+ D-
1.26 63% 50% 47% +11 +1 1.27 45% 0.7 .31 18% .32 82% .26 1.02 38% 25% 29% -13 0 0.77 36% 1.2 .43 14% .52 48% .25
Nov
8		 Bradley F F B- F F 23% 55% 21% F F F+ C+ D D- D- A C- D- F A+ F F 36% 13% 51% F+ F D- A C C+ F A- D-
0.79 36% 42% 20% -7 -6 0.77 22% 1.0 .22 22% .28 80% .22 1.24 82% 17% 42% +12 +1 1.28 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 68% .29
Nov
13		 South Alabama D+ F F D- F 15% 8% 77% C- F A D B C- D F F+ C B+ B- A+ A+ 57% 7% 37% F A F F F C F C F
1.03 43% 25% 30% -8 0 0.85 41% 1.0 .41 18% .20 60% .12 1.07 50% 33% 18% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.6 .51 13% .43 65% .28
Nov
14		 Coppin St. C- C- A+ F D 38% 26% 36% D- D- B B- B+ C+ F D+ F B A A+ A+ A+ 42% 23% 35% D A+ C- F F F+ C+ D C-
1.16 60% 57% 26% +2 -1 1.04 40% 1.2 .49 16% .25 73% .18 0.83 41% 17% 17% -21 0 0.60 30% 1.5 .43 18% .31 72% .22
Nov
20		 Northern Kentucky F C+ A+ F D+ 35% 28% 37% F+ D B+ A- A F B- F D+ F C C+ F F 37% 17% 46% B- F F F F C- A- C+ A-
0.97 60% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 39% 1.3 .52 28% .36 61% .22 1.32 58% 33% 46% +7 0 1.17 39% 1.5 .61 16% .23 69% .16
Nov
22		 Marquette C B- F+ D C- 40% 31% 29% D- C- B- F F+ A+ D D D D+ F A+ B- F+ 57% 2% 40% F F+ B D- C D F B+ F
1.00 61% 28% 29% -4 -1 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 15% .23 71% .17 1.19 70% 0% 32% +5 +4 1.19 28% 1.1 .31 13% .56 63% .35
Dec
2		 Loyola Chicago C B- A C- B+ 42% 33% 25% D- B- F A+ C D C+ C C+ F D B A+ B- 43% 14% 43% C B- C- F F F F C- F
1.08 60% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.08 17% 1.8 .31 15% .30 76% .23 1.25 63% 33% 26% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.7 .53 12% .57 70% .39
Dec
7		 Saint Louis C- F A+ B+ B 30% 30% 40% D- B- C- C C D- A+ D A F D- D+ C- 55% 0% 45% F D+ F F F F D C+ D+
0.94 36% 50% 37% -1 -2 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 19% .41 70% .28 1.55 69% 38% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.5 .63 6% .34 73% .25
Dec
13		 Stony Brook F D+ C+ F F 34% 25% 42% D F F A+ D A- D A C- F B- F F F 42% 23% 35% C+ F F F F A+ F C- F
0.86 56% 38% 9% -16 -1 0.68 18% 1.3 .23 12% .27 80% .21 1.22 50% 50% 67% +16 0 1.35 54% 1.2 .63 31% .34 73% .25
Dec
20		 Northern Illinois C D A+ F F+ 53% 8% 39% A- D A A A+ D- F F F F C- F A+ B- 51% 5% 44% F C F F F B F F F
1.10 56% 75% 25% -4 +3 1.00 41% 1.3 .53 20% .24 54% .13 1.12 57% 50% 22% -8 +3 0.93 41% 1.3 .55 24% .68 74% .50
Dec
22		 Wisconsin D C- D+ F D 33% 37% 31% D- D- F A+ D- A- B C B- C- F A+ F F 41% 4% 54% D- F C+ A+ A+ B- F A+ D
0.91 53% 37% 25% -6 -2 0.85 6% 2.5 .15 12% .29 71% .20 1.31 79% 0% 48% +18 +2 1.43 31% 0.8 .24 13% .45 65% .29
Dec
30		 Ohio F A- C- F F 53% 22% 25% C+ F F F F F B+ D B- C+ B- F A+ A 55% 13% 32% F B B- F C- C F A- F
0.83 67% 36% 0% -9 +1 0.86 21% 0.5 .11 19% .37 70% .26 1.04 55% 57% 18% -7 +2 0.92 25% 1.2 .30 16% .52 65% .34
Jan
3		 Toledo D+ D+ D A+ C 38% 27% 35% F+ C- F A+ D- A D B+ D+ C B+ B- C- B+ 37% 41% 22% A+ A- F+ A+ B- F F F F
1.07 57% 33% 42% +3 -1 1.05 13% 2.0 .25 13% .20 75% .15 1.12 50% 40% 36% -1 -3 0.94 35% 0.8 .27 10% .51 81% .41
Jan
6		 Akron D+ B- F+ D C- 48% 16% 36% B C F C+ F F A+ A+ A+ B- F F D F 44% 8% 48% F F F C- F A+ A A A
0.97 62% 29% 31% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.0 .18 24% .50 81% .41 1.15 73% 75% 38% +12 +2 1.30 42% 1.3 .54 27% .17 67% .12
Jan
10		 Kent St. B D+ B F D 34% 29% 37% F+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ C D+ C- D- B- A+ B A 38% 15% 47% D+ A- F F F B A B A
1.20 55% 41% 27% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.4 .52 10% .35 70% .24 1.17 52% 13% 31% -8 +1 0.87 50% 1.4 .68 21% .30 71% .21
Jan
13		 Miami (OH) F D- B+ D- D+ 33% 35% 33% F D D+ F F F D- F F F F+ F F F 37% 16% 47% C F C F F D F F F
0.87 53% 44% 29% -2 -2 0.94 26% 0.4 .11 21% .22 67% .15 1.43 72% 50% 48% +17 0 1.37 24% 2.0 .48 13% .46 89% .41
Jan
20		 Ball St. C+ F B A+ A 33% 27% 40% D B+ C+ D- C- D F F F F D A- F F 41% 22% 37% C+ F F A C- F A D+ B+
1.14 33% 42% 61% +9 -1 1.18 34% 0.9 .31 20% .21 50% .11 1.15 60% 27% 39% +1 0 1.04 35% 0.7 .24 8% .20 73% .15
Jan
24		 Western Michigan F C- F F F 39% 14% 47% C F C- A B- D- A+ B- A+ D+ C+ A B B 50% 15% 35% F C+ C- D+ D+ F F B F
0.96 58% 0% 17% -17 +1 0.69 29% 1.3 .39 16% .46 73% .33 1.13 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 10% .54 70% .38
Jan
27		 Eastern Michigan A+ C A+ A+ A+ 50% 20% 30% B A+ C+ F+ C- A- A C A- A- C- F A C 38% 21% 40% D- C- A+ F C- A+ F A- F+
1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29 0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25
Jan
31		 Bowling Green F C- F F F 46% 28% 26% D+ F C+ A+ A C- D- F F A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 59% 15% 25% D- A B- A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
0.88 57% 21% 15% -13 0 0.76 29% 1.5 .44 18% .26 47% .12 0.84 49% 22% 27% -11 +2 0.85 25% 0.4 .09 16% .20 58% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Massachusetts A C C+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% D A+ A A- A+ F A+ F+ A- F F F F F 48% 8% 44% F F D F F F F D- F
1.27 60% 40% 72% +25 -1 1.51 38% 1.2 .46 30% .49 67% .33 1.36 70% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.31 36% 1.5 .54 13% .46 71% .33
Feb
7		 Louisiana A- D A+ A+ A+ 34% 25% 41% F+ A F+ A+ B+ A C C- C- F C F F F 28% 41% 30% B F F B F C+ F F F
1.25 53% 73% 44% +13 -1 1.27 24% 1.8 .43 14% .38 71% .27 1.33 54% 47% 64% +16 -3 1.28 45% 0.8 .34 17% .36 84% .30
Feb
14		 Northern Illinois A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 28% 19% D+ A+ C- A+ A- B F D+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% B A+ D A+ A+ B+ F A+ C-
1.29 62% 60% 60% +15 0 1.33 29% 1.6 .46 15% .17 70% .12 0.67 44% 22% 22% -16 0 0.71 33% 0.1 .04 25% .53 44% .23
Feb
17		 Eastern Michigan F C+ C F F 31% 38% 31% F F B- F D F A- F D C+ F D C F 36% 36% 29% B+ F+ F D F A+ D- F+ F+
0.81 60% 39% 13% -9 -3 0.79 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 50% .19 1.00 73% 40% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 27% .31 80% .25
Feb
21		 Western Michigan D+ B B+ F D+ 51% 15% 34% B C- D C+ D+ D+ A+ A- A+ B+ B- A- A+ A+ 47% 25% 27% D+ A C F F B+ F D+ F
1.11 67% 43% 25% +1 +2 1.06 25% 1.1 .29 15% .60 76% .46 0.94 50% 31% 21% -11 0 0.80 30% 1.4 .41 20% .42 76% .32
Feb
24		 Kent St. A- A+ D- A+ A+ 26% 28% 47% F A C A+ A+ F+ B+ D B- F+ F+ D+ D+ F+ 39% 11% 50% D- F+ F F F B- F D- F
1.21 75% 31% 45% +10 -2 1.19 30% 1.7 .50 19% .41 68% .28 1.24 65% 40% 36% +5 +1 1.14 47% 1.3 .60 19% .52 79% .41
Feb
28		 Buffalo B- D+ A A+ B+ 37% 23% 40% D B A+ F B- F A- A A+ C+ D A+ B B+ 48% 10% 42% F B- C+ F F F+ A+ A- A+
1.18 56% 50% 47% +10 0 1.21 45% 0.8 .35 24% .35 82% .29 1.10 64% 0% 32% -2 +2 1.02 24% 1.6 .39 13% .16 67% .11
Mar
3		 Akron F+ F+ F A+ C 40% 21% 38% C- C F A+ D F+ F D- F C+ D F B- C 36% 10% 54% D C F B+ D- B- A- A+ A+
0.94 48% 27% 45% 0 0 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 22% .11 67% .08 1.13 67% 60% 33% +5 +1 1.14 42% 1.1 .48 18% .20 55% .11
Mar
6		 Ball St. D+ C A+ F C 50% 28% 22% C C D+ C- D+ C C- F F F F A+ D- F 45% 12% 43% F+ F C F F B- F+ A D+
1.02 60% 50% 27% +2 0 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 18% .27 53% .14 1.26 83% 17% 36% +10 +2 1.25 26% 1.3 .33 18% .34 63% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%