Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#152
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#154
Pace78.5#18
Improvement+2.2#54

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#186
First Shot-5.5#328
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#8
Layup/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#341
Freethrows-1.4#269
Improvement+4.0#5

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#127
First Shot-0.3#186
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#74
Layups/Dunks-5.2#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#8
Freethrows-3.0#334
Improvement-1.8#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.2% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.6
.500 or above 93.0% 97.1% 88.7%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 86.3% 66.3%
Conference Champion 5.5% 8.7% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 7.2% 4.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 57 - 8
Quad 412 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 159 Marshall L 72-78 63%     0 - 1 -8.9 -12.9 +4.8
  Sat, Nov 8 329 Albany W 83-62 89%     1 - 1 +7.9 -1.5 +8.3
  Thu, Nov 13 307 Le Moyne W 94-80 86%     2 - 1 +2.7 +4.3 -2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 241 Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 78%     3 - 1 -0.6 +0.6 -2.0
  Fri, Nov 21 172 College of Charleston L 65-69 56%     3 - 2 -5.0 -7.3 +2.2
  Sat, Nov 22 277 Green Bay L 75-79 74%     3 - 3 -10.2 +0.6 -10.9
  Mon, Nov 24 157 Oregon St. W 73-65 51%     4 - 3 +8.1 +4.2 +4.4
  Wed, Dec 3 200 Harvard W 78-71 72%     5 - 3 +1.4 -0.4 +1.5
  Sat, Dec 6 304 Umass Lowell W 80-60 86%     6 - 3 +9.1 -4.8 +12.2
  Wed, Dec 10 150 Boston College W 76-74 49%     7 - 3 +2.7 +5.8 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 13 105 Florida St. W 103-95 37%     8 - 3 +12.0 +17.6 -6.7
  Sat, Dec 20 124 Kent St. W 86-85 52%    
  Tue, Dec 30 228 @Eastern Michigan W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 125 Bowling Green W 77-76 54%    
  Tue, Jan 6 175 @Ohio L 80-82 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 308 Ball St. W 78-66 86%    
  Tue, Jan 13 242 @Western Michigan W 79-77 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 326 @Northern Illinois W 83-76 75%    
  Tue, Jan 20 167 Toledo W 83-79 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 209 @Buffalo W 79-78 52%    
  Tue, Jan 27 106 @Miami (OH) L 77-83 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 228 Eastern Michigan W 78-71 75%    
  Tue, Feb 3 322 Central Michigan W 83-70 88%    
  Sat, Feb 14 65 @Akron L 82-93 16%    
  Tue, Feb 17 106 Miami (OH) L 80-81 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 209 Buffalo W 82-75 72%    
  Tue, Feb 24 308 @Ball St. W 75-69 70%    
  Sat, Feb 28 125 @Bowling Green L 74-79 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 175 Ohio W 83-79 66%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.3 2.3 4.8 3.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.2 4.0 0.8 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 6.6 4.1 0.6 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.4 4.0 0.6 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.5 1.0 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.1 0.1 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.8 6.5 9.9 13.1 14.7 15.0 12.9 10.1 6.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 82.0% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 55.5% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
14-4 27.4% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.9% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 24.7% 24.7% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.2% 21.0% 21.0% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.0
15-3 2.9% 17.0% 17.0% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4
14-4 6.3% 13.4% 13.4% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.5
13-5 10.1% 11.2% 11.2% 13.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 8.9
12-6 12.9% 8.2% 8.2% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 11.9
11-7 15.0% 5.4% 5.4% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 14.2
10-8 14.7% 4.1% 4.1% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 14.1
9-9 13.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.7
8-10 9.9% 1.2% 1.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.8
7-11 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 6.4
6-12 3.8% 3.8
5-13 2.0% 2.0
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 13.4 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 94.1 0.0%