Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.0 245
Results Rating -7.1 282
Consistency 0.18 334
Pace 66.9 223
Improvement -4.6 334

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 311 D+ D+ C- D D
Defense C 151 C+ C C- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 C 59% 162 +0.3 169
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 23 D 34% 305 +2.0 76
Three Pointers 32% 338 C- 33% 229 -4.8 333
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 312 C- -1.5 230
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 254
Second Chance D+ 26.8% 279 C- 1.00 236 D+ 0.27 281
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 193
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 284
Turnovers C- 17.5% 239
Freethrows D 0.26 327 C+ 73% 157 D 0.19 301
Total Offense D -5.5 311

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 184 D 13.2% 311
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 185 D 7.0% 304
Three Pointers C- 81% 260 C 0.9% 183
Total D+ 51% 281 D- 7.4% 340


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 C+ 56% 131 +0.8 212
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 132 C- 39% 228 +0.7 242
Three Pointers 37% 291 B- 32% 106 -2.8 58
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 177 C+ -1.3 127
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 130
Second Chance C 29.6% 154 C 1.04 187 C 0.31 176
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 275
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 159
Turnovers C- 15.6% 245
Freethrows C- 0.31 217 C- 73% 226 C- 0.23 226
Total Defense C +0.5 151

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 298 C 11.1% 169
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 14% 8 B+ 8.7% 31
Three Pointers C- 86% 243 C- 0.7% 214
Total C 55% 173 B- 6.7% 89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 289 17.0 116
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 227 0.21 323
Consistency 0.13 200 0.15 324
Improvement -3.3 320 -1.3 254

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 245 245 245
Results Rating Rank 282 282 281
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 51 - 7
Quad 31 - 82 - 15
Quad 47 - 69 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 305 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 74% +8  81% 1 - 0 B +10 D- -7 F A D- A+ +17 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 91 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 10% -11  8% 1 - 1 C- -3 D -5 F C- B+ B- +2 C+ B F
 Fri, Nov 14 327 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 80% -3  21% 1 - 2 F -21 F+ -10 F C+ B F -10 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 221 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 32% -1  45% 2 - 2 B +10 D+ -4 C+ D F A+ +14 A+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 173 Oakland W 97 - 91 45% +1  58% 3 - 2 C+ +2 A- +10 A+ F C- F+ -8 F C+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 19 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3% 3 - 3 F -20 F -18 F D D+ D+ -3 D+ B F+
 Wed, Nov 26 41 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 3% +9  98% 4 - 3 A+ +24 B- +6 C A+ F A+ +19 A+ A+ B
 Fri, Nov 28 333 NJIT W 73 - 55 82% +3  52% 5 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -3 A- D- F A- +7 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 83 @Butler L 68 - 84 9% -7  8% 5 - 4 D+ -6 C +0 C- C D+ D- -7 D- F B
 Wed, Dec 10 259 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 40% -12  3% 5 - 5 F+ -17 D- -8 C+ F B+ F -11 B F D+
 Fri, Dec 19 72 @Akron L 72 - 93 7% -15  1% 5 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 C- -0 F B- A F+ -9 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 144 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 20% -1  30% 5 - 7 C- -2 F+ -9 D- F C+ B+ +7 C A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 30 197 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 50% +2  66% 6 - 7 1 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ D+ A B- +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 227 Ohio L 67 - 68 57% +9  87% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D+ -8 F+ -9 B- F D+ C+ +2 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 281 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 46% +13  73% 7 - 8 2 - 2 A- +18 A+ +16 A+ A F B+ +7 B- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 277 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 44% -1  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 F -21 F -14 D+ F F+ D- -8 F D- A
 Tue, Jan 13 342 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 84% +3  49% 8 - 9 3 - 3 C+ +2 D- -6 D+ F B+ A- +8 B A D
 Sat, Jan 17 168 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 23% -6  16% 8 - 10 3 - 4 C- -3 A- +11 A C- A F -15 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 146 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 40% -3  11% 8 - 11 3 - 5 C- -3 F -11 F D A A- +8 C- A+ A
 Tue, Jan 27 269 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 43% -9  30% 8 - 12 3 - 6 F -38 F -18 D+ F F F -18 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 197 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 28% -4  1% 8 - 13 3 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 C F+ F C+ +1 B+ B+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 72 Akron L 64 - 66 16% +0  36% 8 - 14 3 - 8 C+ +3 F+ -10 C+ C- F A+ +13 A+ B B
 Sat, Feb 7 190 @Appalachian St. L 60 - 65 27% -3  7% 8 - 15 C- -4 D- -8 F A A B +4 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 146 @Kent St. L 91 - 95 21% +2  54% 8 - 16 3 - 9 C -0 A+ +16 A+ C- D F -16 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 277 Western Michigan L 62 - 76 67% +2  69% 8 - 17 3 - 10 F -24 F -15 D- F+ C+ F -10 B+ F F
 Tue, Feb 17 269 Central Michigan W 66 - 54 66% +9  95% 9 - 17 4 - 10 C+ +3 F -11 C+ D+ F A+ +15 A+ B+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 139 @Toledo L 75 - 94 19% -17  0% 9 - 18 4 - 11 F+ -15 C- -2 F A C- F -12 F A+ D
 Tue, Feb 24 96 Miami (OH) L 64 - 74 24% -12  0% 9 - 19 4 - 12 D+ -8 F -14 F D+ B- B+ +7 A+ D- F
 Tue, Mar 3 211 @Buffalo L 67 - 72 31% -7  9% 9 - 20 4 - 13 C- -5 D- -8 F D+ C+ B- +3 B C D-
 Fri, Mar 6 168 Bowling Green L 69 - 77 43% -3  22% 9 - 21 4 - 14 D -11 D- -7 D+ F+ A- D+ -4 A F F
Totals 9 - 21 4 - 14 -5 D -6 F C- D C +1 C- C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C D C- C- 39% 58% 32% D D+ D+ C- D+ C- D C+ D C C+ C- B- C+ 41% 22% 37% C C+ C C C C- C- C- C-
1.01 59% 34% 33% -1 -1 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 18% .26 73% .19 1.08 56% 39% 32% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .31 16% .31 73% .19
Nov
3		 Georgia St. D- F C- F F 49% 30% 21% D F A+ C A D- F F F A+ A+ B+ C A+ 36% 26% 38% D- A D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A
1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11 0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16
Nov
10		 Pittsburgh D F D F+ F 45% 28% 26% D+ F C D- C- B+ A A+ A+ B- A- F A+ C+ 48% 22% 30% C C+ A+ F B F F A+ C
0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 0 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30 1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 +1 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20
Nov
14		 IU Indianapolis F+ F+ F D F 33% 28% 39% F F B- D+ C+ B F+ B- D- F D+ B+ F F 48% 16% 36% F F C- F F A+ D+ F+ D
1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24 1.15 63% 33% 45% +7 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17
Nov
18		 Detroit Mercy D+ B- D- B- C+ 41% 22% 37% D+ C+ C- F+ D F A+ F C+ A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 24% 48% 28% A+ A+ C+ F D+ B- D F F
1.03 63% 30% 35% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 19% .44 60% .26 0.89 46% 42% 0% -15 -5 0.63 30% 1.1 .33 17% .31 94% .29
Nov
21		 Oakland A- A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% C+ A+ F C+ F C- C- A+ B F+ C F F F 51% 12% 37% F F B D C+ F+ C+ B+ B-
1.31 73% 82% 45% +21 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21 1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21
Nov
24		 Louisville F F F F F 33% 42% 25% D- F C+ F D D+ B C B- D+ B F F D+ 40% 10% 50% C+ D+ B- B B F+ C- A B-
0.69 44% 20% 17% -19 -3 0.58 25% 0.7 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.30 57% 60% 46% +11 +2 1.27 32% 0.9 .30 12% .32 68% .22
Nov
26		 Cincinnati B- F A+ C- C+ 26% 24% 50% C- C C A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% F A+ A+ B- A+ B C+ F C-
0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39 0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21
Nov
28		 NJIT D+ A+ D+ A+ A 37% 31% 33% F A- D+ F+ D- F F D- F A- A+ C A+ A 27% 29% 44% B A D- F F A+ A- F B-
1.10 72% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.16 31% 0.9 .28 20% .22 67% .15 0.83 33% 38% 25% -12 -2 0.73 30% 1.4 .42 29% .23 82% .19
Dec
2		 Butler C F F A+ D 59% 16% 25% A C- C- B- C D+ C+ A+ A D- A+ F F D- 51% 17% 32% C- D- D F F B B- F+ C-
1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22 1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27
Dec
10		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- B A+ D+ C 44% 9% 47% B C+ F A+ F B+ C F F F C- A- A+ B+ 59% 20% 20% D B D F F D+ F F F
0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13 1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33
Dec
19		 Akron C- F F+ F+ F 55% 13% 32% A- F B- C+ B- A A+ F+ A+ F+ D F A+ B 65% 12% 23% F C+ F C- F F B F C
1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28 1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19
Dec
22		 Wright St. F+ F+ F A- F+ 57% 19% 25% B+ D- F+ F F C+ D+ D- D B+ D C A C+ 49% 18% 33% D- C C- A+ A+ B+ F A+ F
0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19 1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36
Dec
30		 Massachusetts C- D+ C C D+ 53% 28% 19% C- D+ C- D- D+ A A+ D A+ B- C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 31% 39% A A+ A D B F B+ C B
1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42 1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Ohio F+ A- F A+ B+ 33% 33% 33% F B- C- F F D+ A+ F A+ C+ F D+ B- F+ 28% 26% 46% B+ D- C A+ A+ A+ B- D+ B-
1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32 1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21
Jan
6		 Ball St. A+ C A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 48% C+ A+ A+ C- A F F B+ F B+ A C+ C+ B- 43% 20% 36% C B- B+ A+ A+ F C- F F
1.29 60% 57% 55% +19 0 1.40 48% 1.0 .48 24% .14 83% .11 0.90 42% 33% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 0.3 .06 12% .30 87% .26
Jan
10		 Western Michigan F B- D F D- 49% 6% 45% A D+ F F F F+ F F F D- F B+ F F 31% 38% 31% A+ F F C+ D- A F C F
0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11 1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38
Jan
13		 Northern Illinois D- A+ C F C 36% 36% 28% F D+ F D F B+ F A D- A- F A+ A+ B 35% 16% 49% B- B A- A+ A D C+ A B
1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
17		 Bowling Green A- B A+ B A 38% 24% 38% D+ A B F C- A F A+ D+ F C+ B- F F 51% 24% 24% B F D- F+ F+ D+ D- D F+
1.19 63% 58% 37% +8 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21 1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28
Jan
24		 Kent St. F A F F F 33% 35% 32% F F C F D A F A+ D A- C- C+ D+ D+ 32% 26% 42% A- C- B+ A+ A+ A F D- F
0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22 0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37
Jan
27		 Central Michigan F C+ A+ F D+ 38% 21% 40% D+ D+ F A+ F F B- D C+ F C F F F 50% 20% 30% F F D+ A B- F F D F
0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25 1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Massachusetts D+ A+ A- F C+ 30% 30% 41% F C D- F F+ F D+ A+ B+ C+ D+ F A+ A 55% 16% 30% F B+ B- A- B+ F F D- F
1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31 1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43
Feb
3		 Akron F+ A+ F A B 32% 32% 36% F C+ B- D- C- F B- F C A+ A+ C A A+ 31% 9% 59% D+ A+ A F+ B B B- C- C+
0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19 0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
7		 Appalachian St. D- F B- F F 30% 37% 33% F F D- A+ A A F D F B B- F A+ B 56% 10% 33% F C+ C- A+ A+ F F A+ F+
0.93 44% 40% 17% -12 -3 0.72 23% 1.9 .44 9% .10 67% .07 1.01 56% 60% 19% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.4 .12 11% .49 54% .26
Feb
11		 Kent St. A+ A+ A B A+ 33% 33% 33% F A+ A F C- D F A F F A+ F F F 28% 26% 47% A F C+ F F F F F F
1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14 1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47
Feb
14		 Western Michigan F C F A+ D 38% 28% 34% F+ D- F A F+ C+ F F F F A+ A+ F A 54% 19% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
0.96 60% 13% 44% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 12% .16 56% .09 1.18 31% 22% 54% -10 +1 0.85 39% 1.3 .50 11% .40 83% .33
Feb
17		 Central Michigan F A+ B- C- B 36% 36% 29% F C+ C- D+ D+ F D+ A+ C+ A+ D+ C+ A+ A+ 31% 38% 31% A A+ D A+ B+ B+ F A+ C
1.00 73% 40% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 27% .31 80% .25 0.81 60% 39% 13% -9 -3 0.79 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 50% .19
Feb
21		 Toledo C- A F F F+ 40% 26% 34% D- F F A+ A C- B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 54% 19% 27% F F A+ C+ A+ D F A+ D
1.05 71% 14% 28% -4 -1 0.92 24% 1.9 .45 18% .29 88% .26 1.32 79% 70% 43% +21 +1 1.46 17% 1.0 .17 13% .35 64% .22
Feb
24		 Miami (OH) F C- F C+ F 26% 37% 37% F F D- C+ D+ B- A+ F B+ B+ C+ F+ A+ A+ 29% 27% 44% A A+ C- F D- F B A- A-
0.90 57% 15% 35% -8 -3 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 15% .38 65% .25 1.04 61% 47% 19% -7 -2 0.85 25% 1.4 .34 6% .28 68% .19
Mar
3		 Buffalo D- F+ B F F 58% 22% 20% B- F F A+ D+ C+ C+ A- B- B- C- C- B B- 32% 21% 47% B+ B A+ F C D- D- D F+
1.01 52% 45% 20% -6 +1 0.92 21% 1.3 .27 17% .29 81% .23 1.08 60% 40% 32% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.8 .29 14% .38 77% .30
Mar
6		 Bowling Green D- A+ D F C 33% 39% 27% F D+ D+ F F+ A- C- C+ C D+ F A+ C+ B+ 32% 40% 28% A+ A F+ F F F F B F+
0.97 76% 35% 21% 0 -3 0.96 24% 0.8 .18 14% .31 74% .23 1.08 71% 14% 33% -6 -3 0.85 33% 1.1 .38 11% .41 69% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%