IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.8	#228
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.5	#177

Pace	66.2	#267
Improvement	-0.9	#244

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#242

First Shot	-1.2	#212
After Offensive Rebound	-1.6	#281

Layup/Dunks	+1.1	#131
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.0	#115
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.3	#290
Freethrows	+0.1	#177

Improvement	+0.6	#121

Defense
Total Defense	-0.9	#199

First Shot	+0.2	#166
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.1	#268

Layups/Dunks	-0.5	#190
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.8	#338
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.3	#102
Freethrows	+1.2	#105

Improvement	-1.5	#296

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	2.4%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	13.7	14.3

.500 or above	24.9%	49.5%	22.9%
.500 or above in Conference	33.1%	60.3%	30.8%
Conference Champion	0.7%	4.3%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	7.7%	1.9%	8.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	1.2%	2.3%	1.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	4 - 7	5 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 4	13 - 17

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	334 Georgia St.	W	71-49	82%	1 - 0			+8.4	-4.8	+13.7
Mon, Nov 10	107 @Pittsburgh	L	66-78	16%	1 - 1			-5.2	-4.6	-0.6
Fri, Nov 14	355 IU Indianapolis	L	83-90	89%	1 - 2			-24.1	-8.9	-14.5
Tue, Nov 18	298 @Detroit Mercy	W	72-62	53%	2 - 2			+5.5	-2.7	+8.2
Fri, Nov 21	149 Oakland	W	97-91	44%	3 - 2			+3.7	+13.3	-10.0
Mon, Nov 24	10 @Louisville	L	46-87	2%	3 - 3			-19.2	-16.8	-4.2
Wed, Nov 26	78 @Cincinnati	W	64-56	10%	4 - 3			+18.5	+6.2	+12.8
Fri, Nov 28	352 NJIT	W	73-55	87%	5 - 3			+2.1	-0.4	+3.4
Tue, Dec 2	54 @Butler	L	68-84	7%	5 - 4			-3.1	+3.4	-7.4
Wed, Dec 10	220 @Purdue Fort Wayne	L	65-80	37%	5 - 5			-15.4	-5.6	-10.7
Fri, Dec 19	65 @Akron	L	72-87	8%
Mon, Dec 22	143 @Wright St.	L	66-74	23%
Tue, Dec 30	152 Massachusetts	L	74-75	46%
Sat, Jan 3	175 Ohio	W	75-74	51%
Tue, Jan 6	308 @Ball St.	W	68-66	56%
Sat, Jan 10	242 @Western Michigan	L	71-73	42%
Tue, Jan 13	326 Northern Illinois	W	77-68	80%
Sat, Jan 17	125 @Bowling Green	L	66-75	20%
Sat, Jan 24	124 Kent St.	L	76-80	37%
Tue, Jan 27	322 @Central Michigan	W	72-69	60%
Sat, Jan 31	152 @Massachusetts	L	71-78	25%
Tue, Feb 3	65 Akron	L	75-84	20%
Wed, Feb 11	124 @Kent St.	L	73-83	19%
Sat, Feb 14	242 Western Michigan	W	74-70	64%
Tue, Feb 17	322 Central Michigan	W	75-66	78%
Sat, Feb 21	167 @Toledo	L	72-78	29%
Tue, Feb 24	106 Miami (OH)	L	71-76	34%
Tue, Mar 3	209 @Buffalo	L	71-75	37%
Fri, Mar 6	125 Bowling Green	L	69-72	39%
Projected Record					13 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.1					2.1	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.3	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0					3.5	3rd
4th										0.2	1.7	2.6	0.9	0.1							5.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.8	3.8	1.7	0.1	0.0							7.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.7	4.6	2.7	0.3	0.0								9.5	6th
7th							0.0	1.1	5.3	4.3	0.6	0.0									11.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.9	5.1	5.6	1.2	0.0										12.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.6	4.4	6.3	1.9	0.1											13.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	3.5	6.0	2.4	0.2												12.5	10th
11th			0.0	0.4	2.7	4.8	2.3	0.2	0.0												10.4	11th
12th			0.4	1.9	3.0	1.5	0.2	0.0													7.1	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.5	0.7	0.1	0.0														3.7	13th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.5	3.7	6.9	10.6	13.8	15.3	14.8	12.3	9.0	6.1	3.2	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	66.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1
14-4	38.4%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
15-3	0.3%		18.1%	18.1%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
14-4	0.7%		9.9%	9.9%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.6
13-5	1.6%		9.0%	9.0%		13.3													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.5
12-6	3.2%		4.8%	4.8%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		3.0
11-7	6.1%		3.5%	3.5%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1		5.8
10-8	9.0%		2.9%	2.9%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	8.7
9-9	12.3%		1.6%	1.6%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	12.1
8-10	14.8%		0.9%	0.9%		15.6																0.1	0.1	14.7
7-11	15.3%		0.2%	0.2%		15.9																0.0	0.0	15.3
6-12	13.8%																							13.8
5-13	10.6%																							10.6
4-14	6.9%																							6.9
3-15	3.7%																							3.7
2-16	1.5%																							1.5
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	14.2												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.1	98.7		0.0%