Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
213 LIU Brooklyn 38.1%   16   6 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 4 -3.3      -1.9 220 -1.3 214 72.8 90 +1.4 153 0.0 1
241 Central Connecticut St. 31.0%   4 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 10 12 - 6 -4.6      -4.0 273 -0.6 188 64.9 300 +1.2 156 0.0 1
301 Wagner 15.7%   1 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 10 - 8 -7.8      -5.2 306 -2.6 257 68.8 207 -8.1 288 0.0 1
307 Le Moyne 0.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 14 8 - 6 -8.3      -0.8 183 -7.5 357 70.9 148 -6.3 257 0.0 1
328 Mercyhurst 0.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -10.1      -6.0 329 -4.1 313 62.2 348 -9.6 306 0.0 1
337 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 17 8 - 10 -10.8      -7.7 349 -3.1 277 63.1 332 -9.1 302 0.0 1
340 Stonehill 5.7%   1 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 20 8 - 10 -11.3      -8.0 355 -3.2 282 66.4 265 -16.9 356 0.0 1
350 Chicago St. 3.8%   0 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 23 7 - 11 -12.6      -5.8 326 -6.8 349 71.0 143 -11.3 320 0.0 1
362 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.7%   0 - 8 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.9      -6.4 336 -8.5 361 71.9 120 -21.2 364 0.0 1
363 St. Francis (PA) 1.4%   0 - 8 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 10 -15.1      -9.9 361 -5.3 337 73.6 70 -16.5 353 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 352 NJIT 70 337 New Haven 64   
Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson 54 198 Fordham 75   
Sat, Dec 13 213 LIU Brooklyn 70 238 La Salle 60   
Sat, Dec 13 128 Davidson 80 328 Mercyhurst 47   
Sat, Dec 13 356 Binghamton 67 241 Central Connecticut St. 84   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 350 Chicago St. 69 263 Loyola Chicago 79 83%   
Sun, Dec 14 163 Temple 85 363 St. Francis (PA) 67 94%   
Tue, Dec 16 213 LIU Brooklyn 69 80 Mississippi St. 82 89%   
Tue, Dec 16 307 Le Moyne 68 41 Texas 91 97%   
Tue, Dec 16 125 Bowling Green 84 350 Chicago St. 66 94%   
Wed, Dec 17 335 New Hampshire 69 340 Stonehill 66 63%   
Wed, Dec 17 343 Maryland Eastern Shore 62 301 Wagner 69 74%   
Wed, Dec 17 328 Mercyhurst 58 68 Syracuse 79 96%   
Wed, Dec 17 13 Florida 94 363 St. Francis (PA) 58 100%   
Thu, Dec 18 241 Central Connecticut St. 73 305 Fairfield 66 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 2.9 23.7 27.5 20.0 12.0 7.8 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 2.1 47.7 19.6 11.2 7.3 4.3 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2
Wagner 3.5 21.2 20.2 15.6 12.3 9.6 7.3 5.5 3.8 2.5 1.2
Le Moyne 5.5 2.8 7.2 11.5 14.1 15.7 14.6 12.9 10.6 7.2 3.6
Mercyhurst 5.4 4.6 8.5 11.4 13.1 13.8 13.5 12.9 10.9 7.6 3.9
New Haven 5.1 7.4 11.0 12.2 13.1 12.7 12.1 10.9 9.1 7.0 4.4
Stonehill 5.4 6.0 9.2 10.9 12.4 12.8 12.4 11.9 10.7 8.4 5.4
Chicago St. 6.1 3.4 6.2 8.3 10.3 11.8 12.7 13.7 13.0 11.8 8.8
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.1 2.5 4.1 5.9 7.9 10.0 12.8 15.5 19.0 21.1
St. Francis (PA) 8.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.2 5.5 7.8 11.3 16.4 22.0 30.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.7 6.8 10.9 15.2 18.8 18.0 14.0 7.6 2.5
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.8 6.5 8.9 12.3 14.2 14.9 14.2 10.7 6.9
Wagner 10 - 6 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.6 4.3 7.0 9.5 12.2 13.2 13.7 12.1 9.9 6.7 4.0 1.9
Le Moyne 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.4 7.9 11.9 15.2 16.4 15.7 12.4 7.9 3.8 1.3 0.2
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.8 8.2 11.9 14.4 15.3 14.1 11.5 8.0 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.0
New Haven 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.6 7.1 10.0 12.6 13.8 13.8 11.6 9.2 6.5 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.6 8.4 11.3 13.4 13.8 13.2 10.8 8.2 5.2 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.2
Chicago St. 7 - 9 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.8 7.8 10.9 13.7 14.5 13.2 11.6 8.7 5.5 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.7 2.7 6.2 10.2 13.5 14.8 14.7 12.2 9.9 6.7 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 11 1.0 4.5 9.1 13.6 16.4 16.8 14.3 10.4 6.9 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 23.7% 14.2 7.3 1.9 0.3 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 47.7% 35.9 9.5 1.9 0.3 0.1
Wagner 21.2% 13.5 6.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
Le Moyne 2.8% 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Mercyhurst 4.6% 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
New Haven 7.4% 4.0 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
Stonehill 6.0% 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
Chicago St. 3.4% 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.1% 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 38.1% 38.1% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.6 3.6 12.9 21.0 61.9 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 33.2% 33.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 7.9 22.2 66.8 0.0%
Wagner 16.1% 16.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 15.1 83.9 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 5.7 94.3 0.0%
Chicago St. 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0 3.7 96.2 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4 98.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 38.1% 9.6% 33.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 33.2% 13.0% 26.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 16.1% 12.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 5.7% 5.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 3.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 74.3% 0.7 25.7 74.3
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0