Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.9#362
Expected Predictive Rating-21.2#364
Pace71.9#120
Improvement+0.3#163

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#336
First Shot-6.5#344
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#175
Layup/Dunks-5.1#335
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#50
Freethrows-4.6#357
Improvement-1.3#289

Defense
Total Defense-8.5#361
First Shot-11.4#365
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#20
Layups/Dunks-4.4#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.0#363
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement+1.6#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.9% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.1% 42.5% 24.4%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 31.2% 18.5% 31.7%
First Four1.7% 2.9% 1.6%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 46 - 156 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 4 @Iowa St. L 50-88 0.2%    0 - 1 -13.1 -10.6 -2.2
  Sat, Nov 8 292 @St. Peter's L 83-93 16%     0 - 2 -14.2 +5.1 -18.8
  Wed, Nov 12 41 @Texas L 58-93 1%     0 - 3 -20.1 -12.3 -6.3
  Sat, Nov 15 352 @NJIT L 81-93 32%     0 - 4 -21.9 -0.6 -20.2
  Mon, Nov 24 303 East Texas A&M L 65-70 35%     0 - 5 -15.9 -8.0 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 26 332 Army L 73-81 45%     0 - 6 -21.5 -2.5 -19.4
  Tue, Dec 2 70 @Providence L 64-94 2%     0 - 7 -19.1 -2.8 -18.3
  Wed, Dec 10 198 @Fordham L 54-75 8%     0 - 8 -20.5 -13.8 -8.2
  Mon, Dec 22 150 @Boston College L 62-81 4%    
  Mon, Dec 29 103 @Minnesota L 60-82 2%    
  Fri, Jan 2 328 @Mercyhurst L 67-75 23%    
  Sun, Jan 4 363 @St. Francis (PA) L 74-77 40%    
  Thu, Jan 8 350 Chicago St. W 78-77 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 337 @New Haven L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 213 LIU Brooklyn L 73-82 22%    
  Mon, Jan 19 301 Wagner L 72-76 35%    
  Fri, Jan 23 241 @Central Connecticut St. L 65-78 11%    
  Sun, Jan 25 307 Le Moyne L 78-82 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 340 @Stonehill L 68-75 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 301 @Wagner L 69-79 18%    
  Thu, Feb 5 340 Stonehill L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 328 Mercyhurst L 70-72 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 363 St. Francis (PA) W 77-74 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 241 Central Connecticut St. L 68-75 26%    
  Thu, Feb 19 350 @Chicago St. L 75-80 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 337 New Haven L 70-71 46%    
  Thu, Feb 26 307 @Le Moyne L 75-85 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 213 @LIU Brooklyn L 70-85 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.7 3.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 5.7 5.0 0.8 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 6.3 6.0 1.1 0.0 15.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.3 7.2 6.2 1.6 0.1 19.0 9th
10th 0.7 2.6 5.5 6.8 4.4 1.0 0.1 21.1 10th
Total 0.7 2.7 6.2 10.2 13.5 14.8 14.7 12.2 9.9 6.7 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 94.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 84.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-3 58.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 32.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 7.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 28.8% 28.8% 16.0 0.1 0.1
13-3 0.5% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.1 0.5
12-4 1.1% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.1 1.0
11-5 2.5% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.2 2.3
10-6 4.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.2 3.9
9-7 6.7% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.2 6.5
8-8 9.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.7
7-9 12.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.0
6-10 14.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.5
5-11 14.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.7
4-12 13.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.4
3-13 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
2-14 6.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.2
1-15 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.7
0-16 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 1.7 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%