Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#340
Expected Predictive Rating-16.9#356
Pace66.4#265
Improvement-1.5#285

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#355
First Shot-4.5#301
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#351
Layup/Dunks-3.7#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#71
Freethrows-5.8#365
Improvement+0.9#105

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#282
First Shot-4.6#327
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#94
Layups/Dunks-7.1#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#104
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement-2.3#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.4% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.1% 11.3% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 56.9% 64.0% 52.8%
Conference Champion 6.1% 8.1% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 7.0% 11.6%
First Four5.6% 7.0% 4.7%
First Round2.6% 3.5% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 1410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 114 @DePaul L 64-72 6%     0 - 1 -1.7 -9.1 +8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 116 @Rhode Island L 57-80 6%     0 - 2 -16.7 -12.6 -3.8
  Fri, Nov 14 305 @Fairfield L 71-73 OT 27%     0 - 3 -7.0 -10.8 +4.0
  Sat, Nov 15 338 Loyola Maryland L 63-74 49%     0 - 4 -22.1 -12.9 -9.8
  Mon, Nov 17 4 @Iowa St. L 57-96 0.4%    0 - 5 -14.1 -3.6 -10.2
  Fri, Nov 21 320 Lafayette W 74-70 54%     1 - 5 -8.4 -5.0 -3.5
  Wed, Nov 26 304 Umass Lowell L 64-75 49%     1 - 6 -21.9 -12.7 -9.4
  Sun, Nov 30 168 @Quinnipiac L 62-76 11%     1 - 7 -11.8 -7.5 -4.5
  Tue, Dec 2 297 @Bryant L 65-77 26%     1 - 8 -16.4 +0.2 -18.3
  Wed, Dec 17 335 @New Hampshire L 65-69 37%    
  Mon, Dec 22 68 @Syracuse L 58-80 2%    
  Fri, Jan 2 337 New Haven W 66-63 59%    
  Sun, Jan 4 301 @Wagner L 65-71 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 241 @Central Connecticut St. L 61-71 19%    
  Sat, Jan 10 350 Chicago St. W 73-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 328 @Mercyhurst L 63-67 35%    
  Mon, Jan 19 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 70-69 53%    
  Fri, Jan 23 213 LIU Brooklyn L 69-74 32%    
  Sun, Jan 25 241 Central Connecticut St. L 64-68 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-68 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 307 @Le Moyne L 71-77 29%    
  Thu, Feb 5 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 213 @LIU Brooklyn L 66-77 16%    
  Thu, Feb 12 350 @Chicago St. L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Feb 14 301 Wagner L 68-69 49%    
  Thu, Feb 19 337 @New Haven L 63-66 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 307 Le Moyne W 74-73 50%    
  Thu, Feb 26 363 St. Francis (PA) W 73-66 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 328 Mercyhurst W 66-64 56%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 6.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 5.8 4.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 5.8 4.8 0.7 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.3 5.0 0.9 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 5.3 1.2 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 8.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.0 5.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.6 8.4 11.3 13.4 13.8 13.2 10.8 8.2 5.2 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 97.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-1 96.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-2 82.8% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
13-3 56.4% 1.8    1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-4 27.0% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-5 7.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 37.7% 37.7% 16.0 0.1 0.1
15-1 0.7% 25.0% 25.0% 16.0 0.2 0.5
14-2 1.5% 22.1% 22.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.2
13-3 3.2% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 0.6 2.6
12-4 5.2% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.8 4.5
11-5 8.2% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.9 7.3
10-6 10.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.9 9.9
9-7 13.2% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.7 12.5
8-8 13.8% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 13.3
7-9 13.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 13.1
6-10 11.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.1
5-11 8.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-12 5.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-13 2.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-14 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7 94.3 0.0%