Stonehill
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -11.3 331
Results Rating -12.6 339
Consistency 0.15 145
Pace 66.2 240
Improvement +3.0 74

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 361 F+ D D- F C+
Defense C 150 C+ C F C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 181 F+ 49% 355 -3.5 305
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 215 C- 37% 229 -0.9 233
Three Pointers 42% 152 F+ 29% 346 -2.4 263
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 170 F+ -6.8 358
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.89 350
Second Chance D+ 26.6% 286 D- 0.90 341 D 0.24 330
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 334
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 318
Turnovers D- 19.8% 340
Freethrows F+ 0.23 357 D 69% 302 F 0.16 361
Total Offense F -11.8 361

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 329 F 16.5% 359
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 312 C+ 4.7% 168
Three Pointers B 90% 46 F 2.0% 351
Total D+ 50% 295 F 8.1% 354


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 48 B- 55% 94 +1.7 231
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 133 B 35% 55 -0.4 161
Three Pointers 35% 343 D+ 36% 258 -2.4 72
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 210 C+ -1.3 129
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 143
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 131 C- 1.07 256 C 0.31 188
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.2% 353
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 320
Turnovers F 12.3% 360
Freethrows C+ 0.29 141 B- 70% 67 C+ 0.20 112
Total Defense C +0.6 150

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 59 C+ 11.7% 136
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 177 C+ 5.9% 100
Three Pointers B+ 76% 23 D+ 0.4% 276
Total B 49% 46 B- 6.6% 101

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 313 16.8 82
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 284 0.17 178
Consistency 0.11 77 0.12 150
Improvement +0.5 165 +2.5 75

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 331 331 331
Results Rating Rank 339 339 339
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 410 - 1510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 93 @DePaul L 64 - 72 4% -8  6% 0 - 1 C +1 D- -8 D C C- A +10 A+ A- F
 Tue, Nov 11 136 @Rhode Island L 57 - 80 8% -12  11% 0 - 2 F -19 F -14 F C- F D+ -4 C- C+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 258 @Fairfield L 71 - 73 OT 20% -2  20% 0 - 3 C- -4 F -13 D- F B+ A- +8 A A F
 Sat, Nov 15 318 Loyola Maryland L 63 - 74 45% -3  12% 0 - 4 F -21 F -15 D+ F F D- -7 F D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 6 @Iowa St. L 57 - 96 0% -18  0% 0 - 5 D- -13 D -5 B+ F F F+ -8 D- A F+
 Fri, Nov 21 326 Lafayette W 74 - 70 59% +4  73% 1 - 5 D -10 F+ -9 B- F F C -1 B- C C+
 Wed, Nov 26 315 Umass Lowell L 64 - 75 55% -5  3% 1 - 6 F -24 F -17 F F+ C D- -7 C C+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 216 @Quinnipiac L 62 - 76 15% -8  17% 1 - 7 D- -14 F -11 F A F D+ -4 F A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 354 @Bryant L 65 - 77 52% -4  33% 1 - 8 F -24 D- -7 D F+ D+ F -18 F F F
 Wed, Dec 17 349 @New Hampshire L 58 - 59 49% -1  23% 1 - 9 D- -12 F -19 F F F A- +7 A C+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 83 @Syracuse L 48 - 77 3% -12  0% 1 - 10 F -19 F -17 F B- F D -6 C B- F
 Fri, Jan 2 325 New Haven L 55 - 70 59% -5  42% 1 - 11 0 - 1 F -29 F -21 F C- D F+ -9 F D+ F
 Sun, Jan 4 310 @Wagner W 69 - 60 31% +2  53% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +3 C +1 C D C+ B- +3 C+ C- D
 Thu, Jan 8 308 @Central Connecticut St. L 69 - 76 31% -6  0% 2 - 12 1 - 2 D- -13 D- -7 C+ F F D- -7 F+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 347 Chicago St. W 85 - 82 OT 69% +3  65% 3 - 12 2 - 2 D- -13 D+ -3 C+ C+ F F -11 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 291 @Mercyhurst W 62 - 57 OT 26% -2  11% 4 - 12 3 - 2 C +0 F -14 F+ D F A+ +14 B+ A+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 355 @St. Francis (PA) L 61 - 63 53% +3  70% 4 - 13 3 - 3 D- -14 F -19 F F F B+ +5 A+ C- F
 Fri, Jan 23 223 LIU Brooklyn L 63 - 66 32% +3  66% 4 - 14 3 - 4 D -9 F+ -9 C- C F C -0 A- A- F
 Mon, Jan 26 308 Central Connecticut St. W 61 - 59 53% -3  8% 5 - 14 4 - 4 D -10 F -18 D F F A- +8 D+ A- B+
 Thu, Jan 29 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 58 - 57 65% +1  51% 6 - 14 5 - 4 D- -14 F -16 F C+ D+ C+ +1 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 300 @Le Moyne W 65 - 54 29% +5  87% 7 - 14 6 - 4 B- +5 F -13 F F B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 58 - 74 42% -10  0% 7 - 15 6 - 5 F -25 F -16 F D F+ F -10 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 223 @LIU Brooklyn L 54 - 61 15% +1  55% 7 - 16 6 - 6 D+ -7 F -13 F D- D- B +4 C- A+ C
 Thu, Feb 12 347 @Chicago St. L 55 - 68 46% -14  0% 7 - 17 6 - 7 F -23 F -12 B F F F -15 F F C
 Sat, Feb 14 310 Wagner L 57 - 68 53% -4  30% 7 - 18 6 - 8 F -23 F -20 F B+ F D+ -4 B+ F+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 325 @New Haven L 51 - 64 36% -6  1% 7 - 19 6 - 9 F -21 F -21 F F+ C+ C -0 C- C D-
 Sat, Feb 21 300 Le Moyne W 77 - 68 51% +5  66% 8 - 19 7 - 9 C- -3 D+ -3 D+ D- A+ C+ +1 B+ C C
 Thu, Feb 26 355 St. Francis (PA) W 103 - 77 74% +17  94% 9 - 19 8 - 9 B- +8 A +13 B A+ A+ D -6 B F F+
 Sat, Feb 28 291 Mercyhurst L 72 - 75 OT 47% +4  71% 9 - 20 8 - 10 D- -14 F -13 F C B- C -0 A- B F
 Wed, Mar 4 300 @Le Moyne W 81 - 71 29% +4  91% 10 - 20 C+ +4 C+ +3 B- D- B+ C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Mar 7 291 @Mercyhurst L 51 - 56 26% -4  0% 10 - 21 D -10 F -22 F F B A+ +12 A A+ D+
Totals 10 - 21 8 - 10 -11 F -12 C+ F+ C+ C +1 F+ D F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F+ C- F+ F+ 39% 35% 42% C+ F+ D+ D- D D- F+ D F C B- B D+ C+ 44% 22% 35% C- C+ C+ C- C F C+ B- C+
0.92 49% 37% 29% -7 0 0.89 27% 0.9 .24 20% .23 69% .16 1.08 55% 35% 36% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.1 .31 12% .29 70% .16
Nov
7		 DePaul D- F A C- D 35% 25% 40% C D F A+ C C- F+ F F A D A+ A+ A+ 42% 17% 41% D A+ A+ F+ A- F F A+ F
0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15 0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30
Nov
11		 Rhode Island F F F F F 28% 14% 58% C- F C D C- F A- C+ B+ D+ D F A+ C 55% 14% 31% F C- C+ C+ C+ F+ D+ F F+
0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30 1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30
Nov
14		 Fairfield F F+ F A F+ 49% 16% 35% C+ D- F F F B+ F C F A- A+ A+ B+ A 34% 20% 46% C A A+ F A F F D- F
0.92 48% 10% 41% -6 +1 0.94 13% 0.8 .10 13% .16 73% .12 0.94 40% 25% 30% -12 0 0.78 17% 1.1 .19 8% .34 75% .25
Nov
15		 Loyola Maryland F C A+ F D 46% 15% 38% B D+ C F F F F C F D- B- F F+ F+ 55% 7% 38% F F B+ F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.96 63% 63% 25% +1 +1 1.06 31% 0.8 .25 26% .08 75% .06 1.12 53% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.13 21% 1.4 .30 11% .14 38% .05
Nov
17		 Iowa St. D A+ B- A- A 14% 39% 47% F B+ D- F F F F F F F+ F+ F C- F+ 42% 23% 36% B- D- A B- A F+ F B+ F
0.81 71% 40% 38% +5 -4 1.04 19% 0.5 .09 28% .04 50% .02 1.36 73% 67% 37% +14 0 1.30 30% 1.0 .30 10% .47 63% .30
Nov
21		 Lafayette F+ B A- C+ B- 45% 22% 33% B- B- B- F F F C+ F D C A A D B+ 54% 17% 29% D B- F A+ C C+ F B F
1.04 65% 45% 35% +5 0 1.14 34% 0.6 .20 21% .30 59% .18 0.98 46% 25% 36% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .21 17% .49 66% .32
Nov
26		 Umass Lowell F F F D- F 34% 20% 46% D F C- F F+ C F A- F D- D+ A B+ C 42% 13% 45% D- C C B- C+ F F A+ C
0.93 37% 27% 31% -12 0 0.79 31% 0.9 .27 13% .15 78% .12 1.09 59% 29% 29% -4 +1 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 10% .41 48% .19
Nov
30		 Quinnipiac F F B- F+ F 26% 26% 48% F F B A- A F F F F D+ D- A F F 51% 22% 27% D- F A A+ A+ D+ A+ F B
0.90 38% 38% 29% -8 -2 0.82 39% 1.2 .47 22% .15 50% .07 1.10 64% 25% 53% +8 +1 1.20 23% 0.7 .17 14% .20 83% .17
Dec
2		 Bryant D- D B D+ D- 57% 14% 29% B D C- F F+ D+ F B+ F F F D- B- F 43% 10% 47% D F F F F F D- A+ C+
1.05 52% 43% 33% -3 +2 1.00 33% 0.7 .24 15% .17 78% .13 1.25 67% 40% 30% +1 +2 1.08 35% 1.5 .52 15% .32 59% .19
Dec
17		 New Hampshire F C+ F F F 49% 21% 30% C+ F C F F F A- A A A- A+ A F A+ 47% 15% 38% D+ A B- C- C+ F D+ C+ C-
0.85 62% 11% 23% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.6 .18 31% .38 83% .32 0.86 24% 25% 40% -15 +1 0.75 22% 0.9 .20 13% .29 65% .19
Dec
22		 Syracuse F F F D F 32% 23% 45% D+ F C+ B- B- F A F B D C- A+ F C+ 45% 14% 41% D C C- B+ B- F F A+ D+
0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23 1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25
Jan
2		 New Haven F F F F F 55% 10% 35% A F C- C- C- D D- D+ D- F+ C A F F 36% 23% 42% C F A F D+ F A+ B+ A
0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17 1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10
Jan
4		 Wagner C F A+ A C- 47% 17% 36% C C C- F+ D C+ C- F D- B- A B+ F B 52% 24% 24% D- C+ C- C- C- D A+ F B-
1.13 45% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 13% .36 63% .23 0.98 42% 33% 42% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 16% .18 100% .18
Jan
8		 Central Connecticut St. D- D- A+ A C 55% 6% 39% A- C+ C F F F D- F F D- D- D+ F F 28% 40% 33% B+ F+ B- F F B+ F F+ F
1.04 50% 67% 40% +1 +3 1.10 32% 0.5 .18 20% .21 64% .13 1.15 67% 41% 43% +8 -3 1.12 24% 1.8 .44 20% .45 83% .38
Jan
10		 Chicago St. D+ A+ F B- C+ 33% 10% 58% C C+ A F C+ F B- D- C F B+ C- F D 39% 35% 26% C- D+ A+ F F F D- F+ F+
1.16 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.17 46% 0.9 .43 23% .37 71% .27 1.12 45% 40% 40% -2 -2 0.95 15% 2.6 .39 8% .31 81% .25
Jan
17		 Mercyhurst F C F F F 53% 13% 33% B+ F+ D- B- D F B+ F D A+ C A+ A+ B+ 41% 43% 16% B- B+ D+ A+ A+ D C A+ B+
0.89 58% 0% 27% -9 +2 0.89 25% 1.1 .28 21% .44 54% .24 0.82 57% 29% 22% -7 -3 0.82 28% 0.3 .09 13% .21 54% .12
Jan
19		 St. Francis (PA) F F+ F D+ F 50% 5% 45% A- F F+ F+ F F A+ B A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ 45% 25% 29% D+ A+ B F C- F F A F
0.90 55% 0% 33% -4 +3 1.00 25% 1.0 .25 31% .45 76% .34 0.93 43% 15% 33% -13 0 0.76 23% 1.2 .28 10% .46 61% .28
Jan
23		 LIU Brooklyn F+ C+ A+ F D 55% 9% 36% A- C- C- B- C F F F F C B+ B+ C B+ 31% 29% 40% A- A- A+ F A- F C D- C-
0.97 58% 50% 24% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.1 .35 23% .20 60% .12 1.02 50% 33% 33% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.1 .22 9% .29 71% .20
Jan
26		 Central Connecticut St. F A+ A F D- 47% 9% 44% B D D+ F F F A+ F A+ A- B- C+ F C- 47% 31% 22% F+ D+ A+ C- A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.93 71% 50% 15% -5 +2 0.96 29% 0.6 .17 20% .46 67% .30 0.90 54% 38% 45% +2 -1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 20% .08 50% .04
Jan
29		 Fairleigh Dickinson F F A+ F F 40% 29% 31% D F B D C+ D+ F B+ D- C+ A+ C- A+ A 36% 34% 30% A- A D+ F F F A+ F A+
0.97 44% 54% 21% -7 -1 0.87 32% 0.9 .29 17% .26 77% .20 0.95 42% 39% 19% -12 -2 0.74 34% 1.2 .42 12% .04 100% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Le Moyne F F A+ D- F 45% 13% 42% B F F+ F F B+ D B C- A+ A+ F+ A A+ 43% 19% 38% C A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22 0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13
Feb
5		 Fairleigh Dickinson F D- D- F F 26% 35% 40% F F D- C D F+ A+ F A F D+ C- C- F+ 37% 27% 37% B- D- D+ F F F D+ F F
0.91 55% 33% 24% -9 -3 0.79 22% 1.0 .22 19% .50 62% .31 1.16 61% 38% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.3 .44 13% .31 82% .25
Feb
7		 LIU Brooklyn F D- F F F 43% 17% 39% C F C+ F D- D- D- A+ B- B B- D- F C- 57% 28% 15% D+ C- D- A+ A+ C A- F B-
0.88 50% 25% 22% -13 +1 0.78 36% 0.8 .27 21% .27 92% .25 1.00 54% 46% 43% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.4 .15 20% .22 73% .16
Feb
12		 Chicago St. F C- A+ A+ B 39% 5% 55% B B F F F F F D F F F F B- F 35% 35% 30% C F F+ F F C C F D+
0.98 60% 50% 43% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.6 .13 25% .26 73% .19 1.22 67% 53% 31% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.5 .52 16% .26 83% .21
Feb
14		 Wagner F F C- F F 36% 16% 48% C- F C- A+ B+ F F B+ F D+ C- A+ D+ B+ 36% 36% 28% A B+ F B+ F+ F D F+ D-
0.87 28% 38% 25% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 21% .25 77% .19 1.03 56% 17% 36% -8 -2 0.82 45% 0.9 .43 14% .32 78% .25
Feb
19		 New Haven F F B+ D- F 42% 18% 40% C F F C F+ C+ F F F C C+ F+ A+ C+ 55% 18% 27% F C- F A+ C D- B D B-
0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09 0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16
Feb
21		 Le Moyne D+ B- D+ F D+ 43% 19% 39% C+ D+ D+ F D- A+ B+ D B- C+ A F A- B+ 33% 18% 49% B- B+ C+ C C C F B+ F+
1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26 0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28
Feb
26		 St. Francis (PA) A B F A+ B 46% 7% 47% B+ B C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F+ D A- A D+ A- 54% 21% 25% F B D F F F+ F A+ C
1.41 69% 25% 44% +12 +2 1.30 34% 1.7 .59 11% .25 81% .20 1.05 48% 25% 36% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.5 .44 15% .35 50% .18
Feb
28		 Mercyhurst F F F C+ F 44% 19% 37% C F D- A C B- B+ F C- C A B+ C- B 27% 53% 20% A+ A- C- A+ B F F D+ F
0.94 38% 20% 35% -12 +1 0.80 26% 1.3 .33 16% .43 61% .26 0.98 44% 34% 33% -6 -5 0.80 27% 0.8 .20 8% .35 76% .27
Mar
4		 Le Moyne C+ D- B+ B+ B 21% 17% 62% D B- F+ C+ D- B+ F+ C+ D- C+ B A+ A- A+ 38% 18% 45% C+ A+ F F F F C- D D+
1.15 50% 40% 39% +3 -1 1.07 23% 1.1 .26 11% .26 75% .19 1.01 52% 10% 28% -11 0 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .34 75% .25
Mar
7		 Mercyhurst F C- B+ F F 47% 14% 39% B- F F C- F B C F D A+ A+ C+ A A 33% 35% 31% C A B+ A+ A+ D+ C- F D
0.78 57% 43% 11% -14 +1 0.78 9% 1.0 .09 15% .38 62% .23 0.85 41% 39% 25% -10 -2 0.78 21% 0.6 .13 14% .23 85% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%