New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.1 #340
Expected Predictive Rating -9.1 #311
Pace 61.6 #350
Improvement -0.6 #220

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #359 D F F F D+
Defense #241 C- C C- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #268 1.23 #99 -0.6 #203
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #97 0.65 #303 +0.3 #162
Three Pointers 40% #197 0.83 #346 -4.1 #309
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #300 -4.3 #299
Freethrows 12.5 #349 68% #303 8.5 #363
Second Chance 23.3% #346 0.97 #267 0.23 #345
Turnovers 19.7% #340
Total Offense -9.1 #359

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #154 1.20 #236 -1.5 #232
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #316 0.76 #184 +1.7 #68
Three Pointers 45% #81 1.02 #207 -2.1 #272
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #243 -1.9 #243
Freethrows 15.4 #87 76% #306 11.6 #235
Second Chance 28.2% #98 1.17 #314 0.33 #201
Turnovers 16.0% #213
Total Defense -2.0 #241

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #281 1.4% #293
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.1% #289 2.2% #225
Possession Length 20.4 #363 16.6 #75
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #316 0.18 #198
Improvement -0.5 #219 +0.0 #183

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 9.4% 14.6% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.4% 80.2% 54.2%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.5% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 3.1% 11.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 410 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 4 @Connecticut L 55 - 79 0% -12  0 - 1 +0 -2 A F B+ +1 B+ C B
 Fri, Nov 7 163 Columbia L 53 - 71 23% -16  0 - 2 -22 -18 F D- F -4 F A+ A
 Sat, Nov 8 99 Penn St. L 43 - 87 11% -18  0 - 3 -42 -25 F F F -22 C F F
 Mon, Nov 10 284 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 67 25% -1  1 - 3 +2 -1 C D F +3 A+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 356 Delaware St. W 65 - 52 71% +7  2 - 3 -4 -7 C- F F +4 B+ C+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 49 @Seton Hall L 45 - 68 2% -14  2 - 4 -9 -11 D- F C+ -1 F A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 151 @Boston College L 63 - 67 9% +3  2 - 5 -1 +3 C+ C- C- -4 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 352 @NJIT L 64 - 70 46% -4  2 - 6 -16 -8 F C- A -8 F A+ D-
 Mon, Dec 22 183 @Fordham L 47 - 65 12% -5  2 - 7 -17 -19 D F F +1 D F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 9 @Vanderbilt L 53 - 96 0% -24  2 - 8 -20 -8 D+ F C -13 F D+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 344 @Stonehill W 70 - 55 40% +5  3 - 8 1 - 0 +6 -0 B D- D+ +7 A+ D F
 Sun, Jan 4 260 @Central Connecticut St. L 61 - 72 21% -10  3 - 9 1 - 1 -14 -1 F A+ F -15 F D- C-
 Thu, Jan 8 295 @Le Moyne L 47 - 73 27% -16  3 - 10 1 - 2 -31 -22 F F F -12 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 351 Fairleigh Dickinson W 65 - 55 68% +10  4 - 10 2 - 2 -6 -8 C F D+ +3 A+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 17 316 Wagner W 66 - 65 54%
 Mon, Jan 19 349 @Chicago St. L 67 - 68 46%
 Fri, Jan 23 308 Mercyhurst W 62 - 61 53%
 Sun, Jan 25 360 St. Francis (PA) W 70 - 63 74%
 Thu, Jan 29 308 @Mercyhurst L 59 - 64 30%
 Sat, Jan 31 360 @St. Francis (PA) W 67 - 66 53%
 Thu, Feb 5 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 62 - 73 16%
 Sat, Feb 7 349 Chicago St. W 70 - 65 67%
 Thu, Feb 12 260 Central Connecticut St. L 63 - 66 41%
 Sat, Feb 14 219 LIU Brooklyn L 65 - 70 33%
 Thu, Feb 19 344 Stonehill W 64 - 61 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 351 @Fairleigh Dickinson L 66 - 67 47%
 Thu, Feb 26 316 @Wagner L 63 - 68 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 295 Le Moyne L 68 - 69 49%
Totals 11 - 17 9 - 9 -11 -9 D F F -2 C- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 4.9 5.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.6 6.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 16.6 4th
5th 0.8 6.3 7.6 1.9 0.1 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.3 4.3 7.1 2.0 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 6.3 2.3 0.1 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.5 2.6 0.2 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.8 2.2 0.3 6.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 3.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.1 9.5 14.3 17.2 17.7 14.1 10.0 5.7 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-1 96.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-2 68.6% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1
13-3 28.7% 0.7    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-4 9.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
11-5 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.2% 0.2
14-2 1.0% 1.0
13-3 2.6% 2.6
12-4 5.7% 5.7
11-5 10.0% 10.0
10-6 14.1% 14.1
9-7 17.7% 17.7
8-8 17.2% 17.2
7-9 14.3% 14.3
6-10 9.5% 9.5
5-11 5.1% 5.1
4-12 2.1% 2.1
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%