Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.1 308
Results Rating -6.0 254
Consistency 0.18 324
Pace 63.7 308
Improvement -3.9 312

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 262 C- D C D+ F
Defense D 326 C- C- F+ C+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 343 C+ 59% 136 -4.0 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 41 C 39% 144 +5.0 12
Three Pointers 36% 286 C 34% 181 -2.5 267
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.1 357 C +0.6 136
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 225
Second Chance D+ 26.4% 291 D+ 0.96 284 D 0.25 307
Opponents' Steals C- 10.2% 260
Other Turnovers C+ 6.8% 124
Turnovers C 16.9% 205
Freethrows D- 0.25 336 B+ 78% 21 D+ 0.19 284
Total Offense D+ -3.3 262

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 154 B- 9.4% 98
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 272 B- 3.6% 74
Three Pointers D+ 80% 277 F 2.2% 357
Total D 49% 310 B- 4.9% 94


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 57 C+ 56% 130 +2.0 247
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 356 D+ 41% 284 -2.3 19
Three Pointers 43% 111 D+ 35% 253 +2.0 286
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.2 360 C +0.4 199
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 239
Second Chance C- 31.7% 248 C 1.03 172 C- 0.33 228
Turnovers from Steals D 7.6% 310
Other Turnovers F 5.1% 359
Turnovers F+ 12.7% 356
Freethrows B- 0.27 74 F 80% 364 C+ 0.21 141
Total Defense D -5.8 326

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 171 C 11.4% 153
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 218 B- 7.0% 60
Three Pointers D 88% 297 C+ 1.1% 119
Total D+ 59% 257 C+ 6.3% 122

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 319 17.3 187
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 353 0.16 149
Consistency 0.16 359 0.15 350
Improvement -1.1 251 -2.7 305

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 308 308 307
Results Rating Rank 255 255 254
Conference Record 12 - 4 12 - 4 12 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 31 - 32 - 4
Quad 414 - 816 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 216 @Quinnipiac L 49 - 71 20% -12  2% 0 - 1 F -22 F -24 F D A- C+ +1 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 131 @Boston College W 60 - 59 10% -4  8% 1 - 1 B- +6 D -5 B- F+ D- A +11 A A C
 Sun, Nov 16 197 @Massachusetts L 77 - 84 17% -12  0% 1 - 2 D+ -6 D- -6 D+ D+ C C+ +1 B F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 101 @Rutgers W 67 - 54 7% +5  80% 2 - 2 A +21 B- +4 C- F+ A+ A+ +18 A A+ B-
 Mon, Nov 24 289 Sacred Heart W 108 - 106 OT 55% +2  66% 3 - 2 D -8 A- +10 A- A+ C F -18 F D- F+
 Wed, Dec 3 52 @Seton Hall L 61 - 77 3% -9  2% 3 - 3 C- -2 C+ +3 A+ F C- D- -7 F A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 7 293 @Northeastern L 56 - 73 33% -14  4% 3 - 4 F -22 F -23 F F B+ C+ +1 C- C D
 Sat, Dec 13 358 @Binghamton W 84 - 67 67% +8  87% 4 - 4 C+ +3 B +7 A+ D- F C- -3 D+ D+ F+
 Thu, Dec 18 258 Fairfield L 70 - 84 47% -14  16% 4 - 5 F -22 D -6 F B A- F -17 F D+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 223 @LIU Brooklyn L 78 - 84 20% -1  33% 4 - 6 0 - 1 D+ -6 A+ +19 A+ C A F -26 F F F
 Sun, Jan 4 325 New Haven W 72 - 61 67% +10  99% 5 - 6 1 - 1 C- -3 B +7 A- C C+ D- -8 C+ F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 331 Stonehill W 76 - 69 69% +6  98% 6 - 6 2 - 1 D+ -7 B- +4 B+ A F F -11 F B+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 300 @Le Moyne W 69 - 59 36% +6  89% 7 - 6 3 - 1 C+ +4 F+ -9 F D D- A+ +13 A+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 98 - 90 61% +7  98% 8 - 6 4 - 1 C- -4 A+ +18 A F A+ F -22 F+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 291 @Mercyhurst L 61 - 79 33% -14  0% 8 - 7 4 - 2 F -23 D- -7 F B C+ F -18 F D+ D
 Fri, Jan 23 336 Fairleigh Dickinson L 66 - 76 72% -4  42% 8 - 8 4 - 3 F -25 D -4 D- B- F+ F -23 F B+ F
 Mon, Jan 26 331 @Stonehill L 59 - 61 47% +3  79% 8 - 9 4 - 4 D -10 F -10 C+ F F C -0 D B+ C
 Thu, Jan 29 310 @Wagner W 62 - 55 39% +2  63% 9 - 9 5 - 4 C +1 D -6 D+ F+ D+ A- +8 A+ C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 223 LIU Brooklyn L 59 - 80 40% -2  40% 9 - 10 5 - 5 F -27 F -15 F F B- F -14 F+ D F
 Thu, Feb 5 347 Chicago St. W 78 - 67 76% +3  66% 10 - 10 6 - 5 D+ -5 B- +4 B A- F D- -8 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 310 Wagner W 84 - 67 62% +9  91% 11 - 10 7 - 5 C+ +5 B+ +9 A- A+ D+ C- -3 B+ C- F
 Thu, Feb 12 325 @New Haven W 81 - 76 44% +6  87% 12 - 10 8 - 5 C- -3 B +6 A+ F F F+ -9 C+ F D
 Sat, Feb 14 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 63 - 57 51% +5  93% 13 - 10 9 - 5 C- -3 C- -2 F C- B+ C+ +0 A+ F D
 Thu, Feb 19 300 Le Moyne W 78 - 77 59% +8  99% 14 - 10 10 - 5 D -11 D+ -3 B+ F B- D- -8 F A D-
 Sat, Feb 21 347 @Chicago St. L 51 - 70 55% -5  23% 14 - 11 10 - 6 F -29 F -23 F C- F+ F+ -9 C+ F F
 Thu, Feb 26 291 Mercyhurst W 80 - 78 56% +0  51% 15 - 11 11 - 6 D -9 C+ +3 B- A- A F -12 F C F
 Sat, Feb 28 355 St. Francis (PA) W 69 - 64 80% +1  61% 16 - 11 12 - 6 D- -13 F -11 C- F D C- -2 C C C+
 Wed, Mar 4 310 Wagner L 60 - 70 62% -1  44% 16 - 12 F -22 F -12 F D- B F -11 D+ C+ F
Totals 16 - 12 12 - 6 -9 D+ -3 F+ C F D -6 C B+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C+ C C C 31% 52% 36% F C- D+ D+ D C D- B+ D+ D C+ D+ D+ C 43% 14% 43% F+ C- C- C C- F+ B- F C+
1.04 59% 39% 34% +1 -2 0.99 26% 1.0 .25 17% .25 78% .19 1.17 56% 41% 35% 0 +1 1.05 32% 1.0 .33 13% .27 80% .20
Nov
6		 Quinnipiac F F F+ F F 26% 34% 40% F F D C- D A- D- F F+ C+ B D- D+ C- 47% 17% 37% F D+ A- A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
0.71 36% 28% 19% -18 -3 0.60 28% 1.0 .28 13% .23 64% .15 1.03 50% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 26% 0.6 .16 7% .11 71% .08
Nov
11		 Boston College D F+ A- A B+ 31% 33% 37% F+ B- B F F+ D- F F+ F A B+ D A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% D A D A+ A C A+ F B+
0.92 47% 44% 39% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.4 .14 18% .19 60% .11 0.90 50% 44% 21% -11 0 0.80 34% 0.6 .20 15% .16 89% .14
Nov
16		 Massachusetts D- C+ F A- C- 43% 31% 27% D- D+ F A+ D+ C A+ D- A- C+ A B- C- B+ 40% 19% 40% D+ B F F+ F B+ F A+ B-
0.99 62% 27% 38% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.6 .25 17% .48 68% .32 1.08 48% 36% 35% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.3 .56 22% .41 48% .20
Nov
21		 Rutgers B- C- D A C+ 31% 37% 33% F C- C+ F F+ A+ C D+ C- A+ A- A A A+ 35% 29% 37% C- A A- A+ A+ B- A+ B A+
1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18 0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13
Nov
24		 Sacred Heart A- A+ B A- A 46% 28% 26% D A- D A+ A+ C A+ B+ A+ F C- F F F 39% 16% 44% D F C- F D- F+ F F F
1.32 77% 44% 40% +13 0 1.26 28% 1.9 .52 13% .47 76% .35 1.30 58% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.21 27% 1.2 .33 15% .37 96% .36
Dec
3		 Seton Hall C+ B+ F A+ A+ 41% 18% 41% C+ A+ D F F C- F B+ F+ D- A+ C F F 49% 16% 35% F+ F B A+ A+ D- A- F B-
0.96 61% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.14 26% 0.3 .06 24% .25 75% .19 1.21 44% 38% 61% +7 +1 1.20 32% 0.5 .18 13% .27 80% .22
Dec
7		 Northeastern F F F F F 44% 25% 31% D+ F F F F B+ F+ F F C+ C+ D+ C C+ 44% 10% 46% F+ C- A F C D B- F D+
0.82 50% 14% 24% -14 0 0.73 21% 0.7 .15 13% .29 59% .17 1.07 57% 40% 33% -1 +2 1.04 19% 1.5 .29 15% .24 86% .21
Dec
13		 Binghamton B A+ C A+ A+ 42% 19% 38% C- A+ F+ C- D- F F C+ F C- D A+ A C 56% 9% 35% F D+ C F D+ F+ F C F
1.29 82% 40% 45% +17 0 1.37 25% 1.0 .25 18% .21 73% .15 1.03 63% 25% 27% -3 +3 1.02 19% 1.0 .19 17% .44 75% .33
Dec
18		 Fairfield D F D+ C F 30% 22% 48% F F C- A+ B A- F+ A+ D+ F D F F F 40% 15% 45% D- F B- F D+ D B- F C
1.06 31% 33% 35% -9 -1 0.83 30% 1.3 .40 12% .22 85% .19 1.27 59% 50% 44% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.1 .34 14% .23 77% .17
Jan
2		 LIU Brooklyn A+ B+ B A+ A+ 37% 30% 33% F A+ C C- C A C- B+ C+ F A F F F 42% 10% 48% F F F C F F F C+ F+
1.33 65% 43% 53% +13 -1 1.26 35% 1.0 .35 14% .32 75% .24 1.43 45% 60% 48% +7 +2 1.19 54% 0.9 .51 9% .37 65% .24
Jan
4		 New Haven B C- B+ A+ A+ 29% 23% 48% F+ A- D+ A- C C+ F F+ F D- B- B- B+ B- 37% 12% 51% F+ C+ F F F C+ A+ B+ A+
1.23 57% 45% 48% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .32 15% .14 71% .10 1.04 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 19% .06 67% .04
Jan
8		 Stonehill B- A- B A+ A 28% 40% 33% F B+ D A+ A F A+ A+ A+ F B- F F F 55% 6% 39% F F F+ A+ B+ C B- B+ B-
1.15 67% 41% 43% +8 -3 1.12 24% 1.8 .44 20% .45 83% .38 1.04 50% 67% 40% +1 +3 1.10 32% 0.5 .18 20% .21 64% .13
Jan
10		 Le Moyne F+ C+ A+ F D- 24% 39% 37% F F B- F D D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ 51% 6% 43% F A+ C- C C- D+ B+ F C-
0.97 58% 47% 17% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.8 .26 17% .44 81% .36 0.83 37% 33% 17% -22 +3 0.64 25% 1.0 .25 18% .28 88% .24
Jan
17		 St. Francis (PA) A+ A+ B A+ A+ 28% 34% 38% F A F B F A+ A+ A A+ F C- D- F F 18% 30% 52% A+ F+ F D- F F F D F
1.43 85% 44% 56% +22 -2 1.40 16% 1.3 .20 10% .55 79% .44 1.32 60% 41% 41% +7 -3 1.11 41% 1.1 .44 9% .35 73% .26
Jan
19		 Mercyhurst D- D F F F 35% 25% 40% D- F B C+ B C+ F A+ D- F B- F F F 37% 33% 29% D+ F F A- D+ D A+ F A+
0.99 53% 25% 21% -13 -1 0.75 38% 1.1 .40 16% .29 80% .23 1.28 53% 59% 60% +16 -2 1.31 33% 0.9 .30 13% .07 100% .07
Jan
23		 Fairleigh Dickinson D F A+ F+ D 36% 34% 30% F D- A- D B- F+ F+ A+ D+ F F A+ F F 40% 20% 40% D+ F A+ D B+ F A- F B-
1.12 50% 60% 31% +3 -2 1.05 36% 0.9 .32 19% .27 85% .23 1.29 70% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 21% 1.0 .21 9% .20 82% .17
Jan
26		 Stonehill F C- C+ A+ B- 47% 31% 22% D C+ F D+ F F F F F C F F A+ C- 47% 9% 44% F D D+ A+ B+ C F B- F
0.90 54% 38% 45% +2 -1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 20% .08 50% .04 0.93 71% 50% 15% -5 +2 0.96 29% 0.6 .17 20% .46 67% .30
Jan
29		 Wagner D B+ F F+ D+ 43% 13% 43% C+ D+ F A- F+ D+ D- B- D A- A F A+ A+ 40% 7% 53% F A+ C+ B- C+ F F B F
1.03 65% 17% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 15% .31 75% .24 0.92 41% 67% 17% -18 +2 0.70 31% 1.0 .31 12% .41 68% .28
Jan
31		 LIU Brooklyn F D+ F F+ F 25% 33% 41% F F D- F F B- D A+ B+ F D+ B+ F D- 51% 19% 30% F+ F+ B- F D F F F F
0.89 54% 18% 29% -11 -3 0.75 27% 0.8 .22 17% .29 94% .27 1.21 63% 33% 43% +5 +1 1.15 31% 1.2 .38 14% .44 76% .33
Feb
5		 Chicago St. B- A+ A+ B A- 24% 17% 59% F+ B B- A A- F B+ A+ A+ D- F+ A+ C+ C- 35% 24% 41% F D+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F C-
1.25 80% 57% 38% +12 -1 1.24 39% 1.3 .52 24% .40 89% .36 1.07 63% 23% 32% -3 -1 0.94 17% 0.7 .11 5% .24 86% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Wagner B+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 43% 21% F A- C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C- A+ D- A A 41% 20% 39% D B+ C+ D C- F B- C B-
1.28 87% 28% 56% +13 -3 1.21 32% 1.7 .55 15% .56 77% .43 1.02 39% 45% 27% -10 0 0.82 31% 1.2 .36 14% .25 71% .18
Feb
12		 New Haven B A+ B A+ A+ 30% 35% 35% F A+ F+ F F F A+ D- A+ F+ A- F+ A B 50% 19% 31% F C+ D- F F D F F F
1.17 79% 44% 56% +20 -2 1.37 19% 0.6 .12 22% .41 73% .30 1.10 50% 44% 27% -6 +1 0.92 26% 1.6 .42 16% .38 95% .36
Feb
14		 Fairleigh Dickinson C- C B+ F F+ 18% 49% 33% F F B+ F C- B+ C A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 14% 48% F+ A+ F F F D F F F
1.12 63% 45% 27% +1 -5 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 12% .34 94% .32 1.01 44% 17% 10% -26 +1 0.52 44% 1.1 .49 16% .48 83% .40
Feb
19		 Le Moyne D+ A+ A+ D+ A 21% 32% 48% F B+ F F F B- F A+ F D- A- F+ F F 42% 21% 37% C+ F B+ A+ A D- B D- C+
1.10 77% 55% 33% +9 -3 1.14 17% 0.8 .14 13% .02 100% .02 1.09 50% 45% 53% +8 0 1.19 19% 0.7 .13 17% .29 76% .22
Feb
21		 Chicago St. F F C- F F 39% 17% 43% D+ F C- D+ C- F+ D+ B C- F+ C- A- A B 38% 19% 43% F C+ C- F F F B F C+
0.82 33% 38% 20% -19 0 0.65 35% 1.1 .38 23% .31 80% .25 1.13 55% 30% 26% -8 0 0.87 30% 1.5 .43 8% .21 83% .18
Feb
26		 Mercyhurst C+ B B A B+ 43% 36% 21% F B- F A+ A- A A C A F C- F A- F 44% 29% 27% F F B- D- C F C- F D-
1.18 65% 41% 40% +6 -2 1.11 22% 2.0 .44 13% .47 71% .34 1.15 58% 63% 27% +4 -1 1.09 23% 1.1 .26 10% .23 86% .20
Feb
28		 St. Francis (PA) F C+ A+ C C 43% 28% 30% F+ C- D F F D F A+ F C- F A+ A+ B- 51% 18% 31% F C D B+ C C+ F D F
1.06 65% 54% 36% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.5 .14 20% .21 91% .19 0.99 70% 13% 21% -5 +1 0.96 31% 0.8 .25 20% .35 72% .25
Mar
4		 Wagner F F D C- F+ 29% 41% 29% F F C- F D- B F F+ F F A- D- F+ C- 42% 22% 36% D+ D+ A F C+ F A- F C
0.98 47% 33% 33% -6 -3 0.84 29% 0.8 .23 11% .28 67% .18 1.14 43% 45% 39% -2 0 0.98 25% 1.3 .31 8% .21 92% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%