Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#307
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#257
Pace70.9#148
Improvement-0.6#215

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#183
First Shot-0.1#175
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#218
Layup/Dunks-2.3#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#69
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement+0.9#102

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#357
First Shot-4.7#330
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#338
Layups/Dunks+0.7#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#357
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement-1.5#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 44.9% 80.7% 44.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.7% 78.3% 57.4%
Conference Champion 2.8% 7.2% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 2.4% 7.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 411 - 712 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 77 @Xavier L 69-74 5%     0 - 1 +5.6 +3.3 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 9 125 @Bowling Green L 60-83 11%     0 - 2 -17.6 -9.0 -8.4
  Thu, Nov 13 152 @Massachusetts L 80-94 14%     0 - 3 -10.5 +3.4 -12.7
  Mon, Nov 17 353 Niagara W 74-68 77%     1 - 3 -10.1 -2.1 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 22 305 Fairfield L 83-97 60%     1 - 4 -25.0 +4.3 -29.1
  Fri, Nov 28 320 @Lafayette W 76-63 43%     2 - 4 +6.6 +2.6 +4.3
  Sat, Nov 29 206 Monmouth W 83-79 30%     3 - 4 +1.1 +10.6 -9.4
  Sun, Nov 30 308 Ball St. L 85-96 50%     3 - 5 -19.3 +12.4 -32.1
  Sat, Dec 6 356 @Binghamton W 78-63 61%     4 - 5 +3.8 +3.8 +0.9
  Tue, Dec 16 41 @Texas L 68-91 1%    
  Sat, Dec 20 113 @St. Bonaventure L 68-83 8%    
  Sun, Dec 28 150 @Boston College L 68-80 13%    
  Fri, Jan 2 363 @St. Francis (PA) W 80-76 64%    
  Sun, Jan 4 328 @Mercyhurst L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Jan 8 337 New Haven W 75-69 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 241 Central Connecticut St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 350 @Chicago St. W 80-79 55%    
  Fri, Jan 23 301 Wagner W 77-75 59%    
  Sun, Jan 25 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-78 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 340 Stonehill W 77-71 71%    
  Thu, Feb 5 301 @Wagner L 74-78 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 350 Chicago St. W 83-76 74%    
  Thu, Feb 19 241 @Central Connecticut St. L 70-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 340 @Stonehill L 73-74 50%    
  Thu, Feb 26 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 85-75 80%    
  Sat, Feb 28 337 @New Haven L 72-73 48%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.2 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.3 3.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 6.6 4.8 0.7 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 7.0 5.9 1.0 0.0 15.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 6.2 5.9 1.1 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.6 1.4 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.7 4.6 1.5 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.8 1.1 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 3.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.4 7.9 11.9 15.2 16.4 15.7 12.4 7.9 3.8 1.3 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 88.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 64.6% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 30.6% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 6.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.2% 0.2
13-3 1.3% 1.3
12-4 3.8% 3.8
11-5 7.9% 7.9
10-6 12.4% 12.4
9-7 15.7% 15.7
8-8 16.4% 16.4
7-9 15.2% 15.2
6-10 11.9% 11.9
5-11 7.9% 7.9
4-12 4.4% 4.4
3-13 1.9% 1.9
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%