IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-3.7	#224
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.1	#163

Pace	70.0	#152
Improvement	-1.3	#247

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#233	C	B-	D-	D	C-
Defense	#225	C-	D	C+	C	D

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	44%	#46	1.12	#222	+2.5	#100
2 Pt. Jumpers	26%	#77	0.84	#71	+3.1	#48
Three Pointers	30%	#355	1.04	#147	-5.4	#334
1st FG Attempt			1.02	#167	+0.2	#168
Freethrows	0.28	#244	64%	#362	0.18	#312
Second Chance	36.1%	#38	1.01	#231	0.36	#87
Turnovers					19.8%	#346
Total Offense					-2.4	#233

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	47%	#9	1.13	#140	-4.2	#317
2 Pt. Jumpers	19%	#215	0.77	#202	+0.4	#156
Three Pointers	34%	#346	1.08	#274	+2.5	#88
1st FG Attempt			1.04	#216	-1.2	#218
Freethrows	0.32	#239	68%	#24	0.21	#170
Second Chance	33.7%	#305	1.13	#289	0.38	#318
Turnovers					17.5%	#111
Total Defense					-1.4	#225

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.5%	#227	1.6%	#316
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	1.0%	#157	0.8%	#197
Possession Length	17.2	#156	17.1	#139
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.24	#38	0.20	#267
Improvement	-1.9	#284	+0.6	#154

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	52.8%	54.0%	49.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.4	15.7

.500 or above	99.6%	99.9%	98.8%
.500 or above in Conference	100.0%	100.0%	99.9%
Conference Champion	69.3%	81.2%	41.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	10.9%	9.3%	14.6%
First Round	47.5%	49.6%	42.7%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

16 seed

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	20 - 4	21 - 11

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	81 @Notre Dame	L	67 - 89	10%	-15	0 - 1		-12	-2	D+	C+	F	-10	D+	F	A+
Thu, Nov 6	340 @IU Indianapolis	W	94 - 90	67%	-1	1 - 1		-4	-3	B-	C	F	-2	B-	D-	C
Tue, Nov 11	347 @Air Force	W	76 - 72	69%	+0	2 - 1		-5	+3	C	B-	F	-7	C	F	D+
Sat, Nov 15	210 James Madison	W	88 - 79	59%	+10	3 - 1		+3	+3	A+	F	F	-1	D+	C	B
Thu, Nov 20	198 @Fordham	L	53 - 69	33%	-11	3 - 2		-15	-15	F	F+	F+	-2	D-	A+	D
Sat, Nov 22	5 @Illinois	L	58 - 98	1%	-26	3 - 3		-16	-7	B	D-	F	-8	F+	F	B+
Mon, Nov 24	177 @Missouri St.	W	75 - 61	30%	-1	4 - 3		+16	+12	A+	B-	F+	+5	A+	F	D+
Tue, Dec 2	124 Winthrop	L	92 - 94 OT	39%	-4	4 - 4		-3	+10	B+	A-	D+	-13	B	F	D+
Sat, Dec 6	303 @Lehigh	W	87 - 82	56%	+7	5 - 4		-0	+9	C	A+	D-	-9	C-	F	A+
Sat, Dec 13	200 La Salle	W	70 - 60	57%	+5	6 - 4		+4	-1	D	A+	F	+6	B+	F+	A+
Tue, Dec 16	85 @Mississippi St.	L	83 - 87	11%	-3	6 - 5		+6	+14	A	B-	A+	-8	C	F	D
Sat, Dec 20	181 @Florida International	L	79 - 86	30%	-2	6 - 6		-5	+0	C	C+	F	-5	F	C-	B+
Mon, Dec 29	28 @Georgia	L	74 - 89	3%	-1	6 - 7		+3	+4	C+	C+	D+	-0	B-	D+	B+
Fri, Jan 2	296 Central Connecticut St.	W	84 - 78	75%	+1	7 - 7	1 - 0	-5	+21	B	A+	A	-24	F	D-	D
Sun, Jan 4	358 @Chicago St.	W	74 - 55	78%	+11	8 - 7	2 - 0	+7	+2	B-	C	F	+7	B+	A	D
Thu, Jan 8	306 Mercyhurst	W	60 - 58	77%	+4	9 - 7	3 - 0	-9	-6	D+	D-	C	-3	C+	F+	C
Sat, Jan 10	355 St. Francis (PA)	W	67 - 63	88%	+1	10 - 7	4 - 0	-13	-15	F	A+	F	+2	D	A	B
Sat, Jan 17	346 @Fairleigh Dickinson	W	66 - 59	69%	+2	11 - 7	5 - 0	-2	-6	C-	C	F	+5	B	B-	C+
Mon, Jan 19	274 @Le Moyne	L	77 - 83	49%	-4	11 - 8	5 - 1	-9	+0	D-	A	D	-10	F	A	C+
Fri, Jan 23	334 @Stonehill	W	66 - 63	66%	-3	12 - 8	6 - 1	-5	-1	D-	D	B	-4	D	F+	B-
Thu, Jan 29	274 Le Moyne	W	79 - 73	70%
Sat, Jan 31	296 @Central Connecticut St.	W	74 - 73	53%
Thu, Feb 5	333 New Haven	W	72 - 62	83%
Sat, Feb 7	334 Stonehill	W	73 - 63	83%
Thu, Feb 12	324 @Wagner	W	74 - 71	62%
Sat, Feb 14	333 @New Haven	W	69 - 65	65%
Thu, Feb 19	355 @St. Francis (PA)	W	78 - 71	74%
Sat, Feb 21	306 @Mercyhurst	W	69 - 67	56%
Thu, Feb 26	358 Chicago St.	W	80 - 66	90%
Sat, Feb 28	346 Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79 - 68	85%
Totals						19 - 11	13 - 4	-4	-2	C	B-	D-	-1	C-	D	C+

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st											0.0	0.7	6.5	18.3	23.1	16.1	4.8	69.3	1st
2nd										0.0	0.5	4.1	9.1	6.2	1.5	0.1		21.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.4	3.3	1.2	0.1				6.0	3rd
4th										0.3	1.3	0.5	0.0					2.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	0.3	0.0						0.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0							0.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	7th
8th							0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0	8th
9th																			9th
10th																			10th

Total							0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	3.5	8.6	16.7	24.5	24.5	16.2	4.8		Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way
16-0	100.0%	4.8	4.8
15-1	99.4%	16.1	15.3	0.7
14-2	93.9%	23.1	19.0	4.0	0.0
13-3	74.6%	18.3	10.4	7.1	0.7	0.0
12-4	38.7%	6.5	1.7	3.2	1.4	0.2	0.0
11-5	7.9%	0.7	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	69.3%	69.3	51.3	15.2	2.4	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0	4.8%	67.3%	67.3%		14.1												0.0	0.6	1.7	0.9	0.0	1.6
15-1	16.2%	60.8%	60.8%		15.0													0.1	1.5	6.3	1.9	6.3
14-2	24.5%	57.8%	57.8%		15.5													0.0	0.3	6.4	7.4	10.4
13-3	24.5%	53.0%	53.0%		15.7														0.1	3.1	9.8	11.5
12-4	16.7%	46.5%	46.5%		15.9														0.0	1.1	6.7	8.9
11-5	8.6%	39.0%	39.0%		15.9															0.3	3.0	5.2
10-6	3.5%	32.5%	32.5%		15.9															0.1	1.1	2.4
9-7	1.0%	24.4%	24.4%		16.0															0.0	0.2	0.7
8-8	0.2%	18.9%	18.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2
7-9	0.0%																				0.0	0.0
6-10	0.0%																					0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16

Total	100%	52.8%	52.8%	0.0%	15.5																	47.3	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	3.2%	100.0%	14.1	1.1	18.8	53.5	26.4	0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.7%