Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-22.7#365
Expected Predictive Rating-18.9#359
Pace70.8#150
Improvement-0.9#241

Offense
Total Offense-13.6#365
First Shot-8.0#356
After Offensive Rebound-5.7#364
Layup/Dunks-8.8#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#342
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-1.9#311

Defense
Total Defense-9.0#363
First Shot-7.5#361
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#289
Layups/Dunks-0.3#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#360
Freethrows-1.7#289
Improvement+1.0#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 89.3% 84.3% 89.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tarleton St. (Home) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 42 - 192 - 29


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 110 @UAB L 55-106 1%     0 - 1 -44.2 -23.8 -11.5
  Fri, Nov 7 100 @Murray St. L 60-108 1%     0 - 2 -40.1 -17.1 -18.4
  Wed, Nov 12 111 @Hawaii L 56-88 1%     0 - 3 -25.5 -6.6 -20.7
  Fri, Nov 14 262 Utah Tech L 75-81 2OT 6%     0 - 4 -11.5 -3.8 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 15 321 Manhattan L 73-80 11%     0 - 5 -16.5 -1.0 -16.1
  Sat, Nov 22 312 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-86 7%     0 - 6 -21.7 -9.7 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 25 49 @Texas A&M L 84-120 0.3%    0 - 7 -22.2 +1.5 -16.8
  Wed, Dec 3 358 @Louisiana Monroe L 52-66 14%     0 - 8 -25.3 -22.4 -3.9
  Mon, Dec 8 67 @Kansas St. L 49-108 0.5%    0 - 9 -47.7 -23.6 -19.4
  Tue, Dec 16 199 Tarleton St. L 64-81 5%    
  Fri, Dec 19 105 @Florida St. L 63-93 0.3%   
  Mon, Dec 22 63 @West Virginia L 50-84 0.1%   
  Mon, Dec 29 44 @Oklahoma L 57-94 0.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 264 Alabama St. L 67-81 10%    
  Mon, Jan 5 290 Alabama A&M L 63-75 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 327 @Prairie View L 67-83 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 306 @Texas Southern L 64-81 6%    
  Sat, Jan 17 223 Bethune-Cookman L 64-80 7%    
  Mon, Jan 19 341 Florida A&M L 69-77 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 284 @Grambling St. L 59-78 4%    
  Mon, Jan 26 203 @Southern L 65-88 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 316 Jackson St. L 65-76 17%    
  Mon, Feb 9 331 Alcorn St. L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 290 @Alabama A&M L 60-78 5%    
  Mon, Feb 16 264 @Alabama St. L 64-84 4%    
  Thu, Feb 19 327 @Prairie View L 67-83 8%    
  Sat, Feb 21 306 Texas Southern L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 69-82 12%    
  Tue, Mar 3 331 @Alcorn St. L 66-81 8%    
  Thu, Mar 5 316 @Jackson St. L 62-79 7%    
Projected Record 2 - 29 2 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.6 2.9 4.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.5 11th
12th 20.2 27.8 20.6 9.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 80.6 12th
Total 20.2 28.4 23.6 14.7 7.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 0.5% 0.5
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 7.8% 7.8
3-15 14.7% 14.7
2-16 23.6% 23.6
1-17 28.4% 28.4
0-18 20.2% 20.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.4%