Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -8.7 303
Results Rating -9.5 313
Consistency 0.14 113
Pace 76.3 21
Improvement +4.3 50

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 323 D- D B- B F+
Defense C- 253 C- D- C+ D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 271 D 53% 298 -3.4 302
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 20 C- 36% 244 +4.3 25
Three Pointers 31% 350 D 31% 308 -6.6 353
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.8 351 D -3.9 313
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 339
Second Chance D- 23.8% 337 C- 1.00 226 D 0.24 332
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 73
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 184
Turnovers B- 15.5% 105
Freethrows B- 0.33 78 B- 75% 100 B 0.25 65
Total Offense D -6.2 323

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 27% 363 C- 11.4% 206
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 114 B- 3.9% 105
Three Pointers D+ 80% 272 B+ 0.3% 36
Total F 40% 362 C 5.5% 176


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 77 C 57% 154 +2.0 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 199 C 38% 180 -0.3 166
Three Pointers 37% 280 D 37% 308 -0.3 168
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 250 C- +1.0 224
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 228
Second Chance F+ 35.6% 343 D+ 1.10 283 D- 0.39 341
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 224
Other Turnovers A- 9.0% 22
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 106
Freethrows D- 0.36 336 C 73% 218 D- 0.26 333
Total Defense C- -2.5 253

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 271 C+ 12.7% 99
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 269 A 9.9% 14
Three Pointers C+ 81% 107 B- 1.5% 65
Total C- 57% 224 B+ 7.9% 32

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 90 16.0 11
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 95 0.17 171
Consistency 0.10 17 0.11 88
Improvement -0.3 203 +4.6 15

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 314 305 299
Results Rating Rank 328 328 303
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41% 100% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four41% 100% 0%
First Round18% 44% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 10 - 6
Quad 413 - 1213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 82 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 5% -18  0% 0 - 1 F -33 F -13 F A F F -16 F D+ D+
 Wed, Nov 12 58 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 3% -16  1% 0 - 2 D- -14 F -13 D+ F B B- +2 B+ F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 47 @Missouri L 73 - 91 3% -19  2% 0 - 3 C- -3 D+ -3 F+ D+ A+ C+ +1 C C- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 232 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 34% +2  57% 0 - 4 D+ -5 D -5 F D A- C -1 D+ B B
 Sun, Nov 23 339 North Florida W 85 - 82 64% -5  9% 1 - 4 D -9 D -5 D- F D+ D -5 F F+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 135 @North Texas L 69 - 72 11% +2  69% 1 - 5 C +2 C +0 C- D+ A+ C+ +1 F A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 284 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 33% -9  12% 1 - 6 F+ -16 C- -2 C- D D F -13 D F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 59 @LSU L 90 - 104 3% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -1 A +13 A+ D+ C+ F -13 C+ F C
 Mon, Dec 29 35 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 2% -22  0% 1 - 8 D- -12 C- -1 D- B B D -5 D+ D- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 307 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 40% -4  1% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -10 D -6 F C- F D+ -4 F D A+
 Mon, Jan 5 276 @Southern W 89 - 85 31% +5  84% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C +0 B- +5 B- B C+ D+ -4 C D C+
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 70 - 69 93% -2  21% 3 - 9 2 - 1 F -25 F -17 F+ F B- D- -8 F+ F A
 Mon, Jan 12 321 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 61 67% +6  85% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C -1 F+ -9 D F A+ A- +8 A+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 346 @Jackson St. L 78 - 82 56% -4  13% 4 - 10 3 - 2 D- -14 D- -8 F D C+ D- -7 F D A
 Mon, Jan 19 351 @Alcorn St. L 75 - 76 61% -3  14% 4 - 11 3 - 3 D- -12 D+ -4 C+ F B+ F+ -8 C- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 324 Alabama St. L 80 - 95 68% -12  0% 4 - 12 3 - 4 F -28 F -13 F A- F F -13 F C- C-
 Tue, Jan 27 311 Alabama A&M L 60 - 80 64% -12  8% 4 - 13 3 - 5 F -32 F -21 F F C- F -12 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 317 Texas Southern W 85 - 78 65% +2  57% 5 - 13 4 - 5 D+ -6 C- -1 D- D A+ D -5 D+ F C
 Sat, Feb 7 248 @Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 82 26% -0  44% 5 - 14 4 - 6 D+ -8 D -5 F D A+ C- -2 A+ F D-
 Mon, Feb 9 312 @Florida A&M L 96 - 100 41% -13  2% 5 - 15 4 - 7 D -10 C+ +3 C+ C- D- F -12 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 276 Southern L 82 - 87 53% -0  45% 5 - 16 4 - 8 D- -15 D -6 D F B F+ -8 D F D
 Mon, Feb 16 307 Grambling St. W 68 - 63 63% +3  67% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D+ -7 F+ -9 F B+ A+ B- +2 A- F A-
 Thu, Feb 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 72 - 62 85% +6  89% 7 - 16 6 - 8 D -10 F+ -9 F A- D- C -1 A- F+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 321 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 82 - 84 44% -3  11% 7 - 17 6 - 9 D -9 B- +5 D A- F F -14 F F D-
 Thu, Feb 26 346 Jackson St. W 85 - 76 OT 77% +1  61% 8 - 17 7 - 9 D+ -7 D+ -4 F A+ C+ D+ -4 D F B+
 Sat, Feb 28 351 Alcorn St. W 72 - 51 80% +14  99% 9 - 17 8 - 9 C+ +4 F -11 D F A- A+ +14 A+ A C+
 Thu, Mar 5 317 @Texas Southern W 70 - 59 42% +6  61% 10 - 17 9 - 9 C+ +4 D -5 C F C- A +10 A+ C- F+
 Tue, Mar 10 351 Alcorn St. W 65 - 56 71% -2  32% 11 - 17 D+ -5 F -13 F F A+ A- +8 A B- D
 Wed, Mar 11 248 Bethune-Cookman W 71 - 67 36% +0  45% 12 - 17 C -1 C- -1 A+ F D- C -0 A F C
 Fri, Mar 13 311 Alabama A&M W 74 - 55 52% +11  71% 13 - 17 B +10 C +1 B F A A +11 A+ F C-
 Sat, Mar 14 276 Southern L 79 - 81 42%
Totals 13 - 18 9 - 9 -9 D -6 A- D F+ C- -3 D B- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D C- D D 36% 58% 31% F+ D- D- C- D B- B- B- B C- C C D C- 43% 20% 37% C- C- F+ D+ D- C+ D- C D-
1.00 53% 36% 31% -4 -2 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 16% .33 75% .25 1.12 57% 38% 37% +1 0 1.05 36% 1.1 .39 18% .36 73% .24
Nov
8		 Wichita St. F F F F F 27% 46% 27% F F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 42% 13% 44% F F D+ D+ D+ D+ F F+ F
0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37 1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46
Nov
12		 Oklahoma St. F F+ C- C+ D+ 41% 19% 40% C D+ F D- F B D- F F B- B+ B- D+ B+ 45% 16% 39% B- B+ F F F A- F+ B+ D+
0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12 1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29
Nov
17		 Missouri D+ F F B- F 35% 28% 37% C F+ F A+ D+ A+ D A+ C C+ C+ A+ F C+ 50% 11% 39% D- C C+ D C- C+ D+ C+ C-
0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21 1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27
Nov
22		 Tennessee Martin D D C+ F F+ 23% 45% 32% F F D- C- D A- A+ A A+ C D F A+ C- 40% 18% 43% D D+ A- C B B F D F
0.98 55% 38% 20% -8 -4 0.79 27% 0.9 .24 16% .53 77% .41 0.99 63% 57% 24% -2 +1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .56 70% .39
Nov
23		 North Florida D A- C D- C- 24% 39% 37% F D- A- F F D+ A+ C- A+ D D F F F 36% 11% 53% D+ F F B+ F+ A+ F B+ F
1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36 1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31
Nov
30		 North Texas C D+ B- F D+ 49% 27% 24% C+ C- F A+ D+ A+ C A+ B+ C+ F A+ F F 52% 20% 27% C- F C- A+ A A+ F C F
0.98 54% 38% 25% -5 0 0.92 18% 1.5 .27 16% .37 82% .30 1.02 74% 0% 50% +7 +1 1.18 34% 0.6 .21 27% .51 69% .35
Dec
13		 South Dakota C- D+ A+ D D+ 67% 12% 22% A C- D D+ D D C- D+ C- F C F B+ D 52% 19% 29% D D F C- F C- F D+ F
1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20 1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51
Dec
22		 LSU A B F A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% F+ A+ D- B D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F A- B 53% 9% 38% F C+ F F+ F C F F F
1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41 1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67
Dec
29		 Texas A&M C- F C D+ D+ 31% 36% 33% F D- F A+ B B A+ B+ A+ D D A- F D 45% 10% 45% C D+ C- F D- B- F A- F
0.95 44% 38% 32% -5 -3 0.86 20% 1.7 .33 17% .44 77% .34 1.29 67% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.22 34% 1.1 .39 16% .48 69% .33
Jan
3		 Grambling St. D F+ F C+ F+ 33% 31% 35% F F C D C- F A+ B+ A+ D+ F A F F 33% 37% 30% A+ F F+ C D A+ F A- F
0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37 1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42
Jan
5		 Southern B- B A+ C+ A- 33% 41% 26% F B- F A+ B C+ C+ D- C- D+ A A F B- 49% 24% 27% F+ C F C+ D C+ F F F
1.17 67% 55% 36% +10 -3 1.17 23% 1.9 .42 17% .38 71% .27 1.12 46% 25% 46% -4 0 0.94 36% 1.0 .36 17% .56 80% .44
Jan
10		 Mississippi Valley F F B B- D 24% 40% 36% F F+ F F F B- A+ F A- D- B+ F D- F+ 35% 37% 29% D F+ F C+ F A F A D
0.99 45% 44% 38% +1 -3 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 15% .60 61% .37 0.97 47% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .32 25% .36 63% .23
Jan
12		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F+ F B A+ C 33% 38% 29% F D D F F A+ A+ F B- A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C- A+ D- C+ D+ B F A+ D+
1.05 44% 44% 43% +1 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30 0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 0 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25
Jan
17		 Jackson St. D- D- C- D F 31% 31% 39% F F F+ C+ D C+ A+ B- A+ D- F B D F 37% 17% 46% F F F A+ D A F+ B+ D
1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43 1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25
Jan
19		 Alcorn St. D+ B+ D A+ B- 38% 29% 33% F C+ F F F B+ C- A+ B- F+ C+ F A+ C 44% 17% 39% F C- F A- F C D+ F D-
1.07 70% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 14% .32 84% .27 1.09 54% 56% 24% -5 +1 0.94 48% 0.8 .38 19% .28 81% .23
Jan
24		 Alabama St. F B- F F F 40% 33% 27% F F D A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ F D+ D F F 44% 17% 39% F+ F B+ F C- C- D- B D+
0.95 63% 25% 23% -7 -2 0.85 29% 1.6 .46 27% .56 88% .49 1.13 58% 40% 52% +11 +1 1.25 25% 1.1 .28 17% .33 65% .21
Jan
27		 Alabama A&M F C- F F F 43% 34% 23% F F C+ F F C- F B- F F F F+ D- F 37% 33% 30% B F C- A- B- C+ A+ F B
0.88 58% 26% 23% -8 -1 0.84 34% 0.3 .11 16% .21 75% .16 1.17 75% 44% 38% +10 -2 1.19 26% 0.9 .22 18% .23 92% .21
Jan
31		 Texas Southern C- B F F+ D 35% 23% 42% D- D- F B+ D A+ C+ A+ B+ D A- D F D+ 42% 28% 30% C D+ F F F C F A F
1.14 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 9% .37 80% .30 1.05 48% 43% 40% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.5 .53 17% .44 63% .28
Feb
7		 Bethune-Cookman D F+ A+ F F 42% 24% 34% D- F F+ C+ D A+ B+ C+ B+ C- A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 19% 23% F A+ F D+ F D- F D+ F
1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27 1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37
Feb
9		 Florida A&M C+ B F A+ C+ 52% 22% 26% C+ C+ D- A- C- D- A+ F A+ F F+ A+ F F 47% 27% 25% C- F F F F A+ F B F
1.12 64% 25% 43% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.1 .27 21% .59 68% .40 1.16 65% 20% 71% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.2 .45 27% .46 66% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Southern D C- C C D 37% 25% 38% D+ D F B- F B A+ C+ A+ F+ D- F A+ C- 52% 21% 27% F D F+ D- F D F F F
1.07 58% 38% 35% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .20 16% .49 78% .38 1.13 63% 45% 21% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .42 14% .50 76% .38
Feb
16		 Grambling St. F+ C F F F 42% 38% 21% F F F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A A+ B- A+ B+ F B+ 40% 38% 23% A+ A- F F F A- A+ F B
0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38 0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19
Feb
19		 Mississippi Valley F+ F A F F 39% 30% 30% F+ F B B+ A- D- A F B- C A F A+ A 28% 38% 34% C- A- B F F+ F D- F F
1.06 39% 50% 21% -10 -1 0.80 42% 1.4 .58 19% .49 67% .33 0.91 43% 47% 12% -12 -3 0.72 20% 1.4 .29 16% .33 89% .30
Feb
21		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B- D+ A+ F D+ 36% 30% 34% F D C+ A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ F F F B+ F 39% 20% 41% D F C+ F F D- D C D
1.21 56% 62% 20% -1 -1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 21% .52 89% .46 1.24 79% 60% 30% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.5 .36 15% .35 75% .26
Feb
26		 Jackson St. D+ F F A F 34% 36% 29% F F A- A+ A+ C+ B- A+ A+ D+ F A D+ D- 24% 30% 46% B D F F+ F B+ F D+ F
1.14 40% 14% 41% -12 -2 0.74 45% 1.5 .66 15% .38 92% .35 1.02 67% 27% 35% -1 -2 0.96 38% 1.1 .44 21% .38 77% .29
Feb
28		 Alcorn St. F B+ C F+ C- 38% 35% 27% F D D- F F A- F F F A+ A+ A+ B A+ 53% 22% 25% F A+ A+ D+ A C+ C+ F D
1.02 70% 39% 29% +3 -2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .25 60% .15 0.72 37% 9% 31% -19 +1 0.67 13% 1.0 .13 20% .25 86% .21
Mar
5		 Texas Southern D F D- A+ C+ 31% 24% 45% F+ C F+ F F C- F F F A A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B A+ F A+ C- F+ F B- F+
1.04 40% 33% 50% +4 -1 1.08 26% 0.7 .18 16% .29 63% .18 0.88 48% 22% 13% -18 -2 0.63 38% 0.8 .29 13% .38 68% .26
Mar
10		 Alcorn St. F F C F F 28% 46% 26% F F F+ F F A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 48% 25% 27% D A B+ D+ B- D F B- F
0.98 38% 38% 25% -9 -4 0.76 29% 1.0 .29 11% .45 74% .34 0.84 33% 45% 25% -14 0 0.75 19% 1.0 .19 17% .54 67% .36
Mar
11		 Bethune-Cookman C- B+ C A+ A+ 44% 30% 26% F+ A+ C F F D- B+ F D+ C B- A A+ A 52% 26% 22% C- A F+ F F C D C D+
1.08 63% 38% 64% +14 -1 1.28 33% 0.5 .17 18% .37 55% .20 1.02 54% 25% 20% -10 0 0.83 34% 1.3 .46 18% .35 68% .24
Mar
13		 Alabama A&M C A+ A- F B+ 50% 20% 30% C+ B F F F A A+ B A+ A A+ A+ F+ A+ 38% 34% 28% B A+ F+ F F C- F A+ B-
1.17 82% 44% 23% +8 +1 1.20 22% 0.3 .07 11% .45 76% .34 0.87 33% 13% 38% -16 -2 0.66 31% 1.3 .38 16% .45 50% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 41.3% 41.3% 16.0 41.3 58.7
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 41.3% 41.3% 0.0% 16.0 58.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 41.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 58.7%