Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#330
Pace71.8#121
Improvement+1.3#96

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#337
First Shot-1.9#226
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#358
Layup/Dunks+3.3#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows-4.3#353
Improvement+1.7#60

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#330
First Shot-4.3#317
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#222
Layups/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#242
Freethrows-2.1#307
Improvement-0.5#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 4.8% 7.9% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 26.1% 32.3% 20.9%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.1% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 4.9% 8.8%
First Four2.0% 2.4% 1.6%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 86 @South Florida L 67-102 4%     0 - 1 -25.5 -10.0 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 8 160 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 21%     0 - 2 -22.9 -12.9 -7.4
  Tue, Nov 11 57 @Central Florida L 60-97 2%     0 - 3 -24.5 -12.6 -9.7
  Mon, Nov 17 19 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.0 -11.9 +3.4
  Tue, Dec 2 291 @Jacksonville L 82-85 OT 24%     0 - 5 -7.2 +4.1 -11.1
  Wed, Dec 17 291 Jacksonville L 70-71 46%    
  Fri, Dec 19 199 @Tarleton St. L 69-81 14%    
  Sun, Dec 21 45 @TCU L 60-85 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 131 @Georgia Tech L 65-81 6%    
  Sat, Jan 3 223 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 203 Southern L 75-81 31%    
  Mon, Jan 12 284 Grambling St. L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 77-79 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 331 Alcorn St. W 76-74 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 316 Jackson St. W 73-72 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 290 @Alabama A&M L 67-74 26%    
  Mon, Feb 2 264 @Alabama St. L 71-80 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 306 Texas Southern L 74-75 49%    
  Mon, Feb 9 327 Prairie View W 77-76 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 316 @Jackson St. L 70-75 32%    
  Mon, Feb 16 331 @Alcorn St. L 73-77 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 290 Alabama A&M L 70-71 46%    
  Thu, Feb 19 264 Alabama St. L 74-77 40%    
  Thu, Feb 26 203 @Southern L 72-84 15%    
  Thu, Feb 26 284 @Grambling St. L 66-74 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 223 Bethune-Cookman L 71-76 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.5 0.1 4.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 2.6 0.4 0.0 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 2.0 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.3 3.8 0.3 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.5 5.1 0.9 0.0 13.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.5 5.6 1.4 0.0 17.5 10th
11th 0.4 2.3 4.8 6.3 4.0 1.1 0.1 18.9 11th
12th 0.3 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.5 12th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.5 6.3 10.0 12.8 14.0 13.7 12.0 9.6 7.1 4.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 89.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 75.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 41.4% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 9.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 23.2% 23.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 20.4% 20.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.4% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.2
12-6 2.7% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.4
11-7 4.6% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 4.2
10-8 7.1% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 6.6
9-9 9.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 9.3
8-10 12.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 11.7
7-11 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 14.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 12.8% 12.8
4-14 10.0% 10.0
3-15 6.3% 6.3
2-16 3.5% 3.5
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%