Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.8 #248
Expected Predictive Rating -4.9 #239
Pace 71.4 #114
Improvement +0.3 #170

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #249 C- D+ C C- C
Defense #240 C D D+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #72 1.16 #171 +2.3 #102
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #92 0.71 #253 +1.0 #122
Three Pointers 33% #333 0.98 #228 -4.8 #325
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #221 -1.4 #219
Freethrows 0.30 #201 70% #258 0.21 #213
Second Chance 26.9% #281 0.98 #260 0.26 #289
Turnovers 16.8% #202
Total Offense -2.8 #249

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #52 1.09 #98 -1.6 #235
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #289 0.79 #241 +1.0 #117
Three Pointers 39% #231 1.03 #207 +0.6 #151
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #177 +0.1 #178
Freethrows 0.31 #227 73% #220 0.23 #240
Second Chance 32.6% #269 1.17 #321 0.38 #320
Turnovers 14.5% #298
Total Defense -2.0 #240

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #223 1.7% #320
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.3% #211 -1.8% #150
Possession Length 17.5 #190 16.9 #100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #41 0.17 #192
Improvement -2.0 #290 +2.3 #57

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.9% 26.0% 21.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 55.0% 67.2% 38.9%
.500 or above in Conference 98.1% 99.5% 96.2%
Conference Champion 48.8% 59.8% 34.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.3% 12.8% 14.1%
First Round17.9% 20.2% 14.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Away) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 8
Quad 31 - 11 - 9
Quad 415 - 716 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 25 @Auburn L 90 - 95 OT 3% -1  0 - 1 +13 +13 A+ D- B- +1 A C- C
 Thu, Nov 6 39 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 101 4% -20  0 - 2 -24 -6 F B B+ -17 F A- F
 Sat, Nov 15 86 @Dayton L 82 - 91 9% -6  0 - 3 +1 +18 C A+ A+ -18 F F B
 Wed, Nov 19 214 @Ohio W 76 - 73 33% +4  1 - 3 +3 +6 A+ F A -3 C B- F
 Mon, Nov 24 283 Jacksonville L 64 - 69 59% +2  1 - 4 -12 -6 F D- B- -7 D C D-
 Tue, Nov 25 236 Stony Brook L 54 - 61 48% +2  1 - 5 -11 -15 F F+ D +3 B+ C- A
 Sat, Nov 29 31 @Indiana L 56 - 100 3% -26  1 - 6 -26 -11 F D+ B- -15 F+ B- F+
 Fri, Dec 5 359 South Carolina St. W 80 - 59 89% +12  2 - 6 +3 +4 A- F A +0 A+ C C
 Sun, Dec 14 54 @Missouri L 60 - 82 6% -15  2 - 7 -9 -5 D- B+ F -5 C F A
 Wed, Dec 17 26 @Saint Louis L 53 - 112 3% -31  2 - 8 -41 -15 F C- D -20 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 2 @Arizona L 71 - 107 1% -15  2 - 9 -9 +4 A+ D F -8 F C- A
 Mon, Dec 29 63 @Oklahoma St. L 77 - 103 7% -13  2 - 10 -14 -1 B+ F+ F -10 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 3 315 Florida A&M W 87 - 83 76% +4  3 - 10 1 - 0 -8 +8 B D B+ -16 D- F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 285 Grambling St. W 74 - 65 70% +8  4 - 10 2 - 0 -1 -7 F+ C D +5 C+ A+ B
 Mon, Jan 12 254 Southern L 73 - 77 63% +4  4 - 11 2 - 1 -12 -4 C F F+ -8 B+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79 - 63 93% +12  5 - 11 3 - 1 -5 +4 A A F -8 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 325 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 87 - 82 OT 59% -2  6 - 11 4 - 1 -2 +1 F+ A- F -3 D C- B+
 Sat, Jan 24 336 Jackson St. W 85 - 48 81% +16  7 - 11 5 - 1 +23 +1 D- A- C+ +20 A+ C C-
 Mon, Jan 26 350 Alcorn St. W 82 - 73 84% +11  8 - 11 6 - 1 -6 +2 B- F C -8 B F F
 Sat, Jan 31 318 @Alabama St. W 78 - 76 57%
 Mon, Feb 2 298 @Alabama A&M L 72 - 73 50%
 Sat, Feb 7 345 Prairie View W 84 - 74 83%
 Mon, Feb 9 308 Texas Southern W 81 - 74 73%
 Sat, Feb 14 350 @Alcorn St. W 78 - 73 66%
 Mon, Feb 16 336 @Jackson St. W 79 - 76 63%
 Thu, Feb 19 318 Alabama St. W 81 - 73 76%
 Sat, Feb 21 298 Alabama A&M W 75 - 69 71%
 Thu, Feb 26 285 @Grambling St. L 72 - 73 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 254 @Southern L 74 - 77 40%
 Thu, Mar 5 315 @Florida A&M W 73 - 72 55%
Totals 15 - 15 12 - 5 -5 -3 C- D+ C -2 C D D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.4 10.0 17.6 13.1 5.5 1.2 48.8 1st
2nd 0.3 6.5 10.3 3.5 0.3 20.9 2nd
3rd 2.2 7.3 2.3 0.2 12.0 3rd
4th 0.2 4.6 2.6 0.1 7.5 4th
5th 1.0 3.3 0.2 4.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 0.7 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.0 11.2 18.0 22.7 21.2 13.4 5.5 1.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 1.2    1.2
15-3 100.0% 5.5    5.3 0.1
14-4 97.8% 13.1    11.4 1.7 0.0
13-5 82.9% 17.6    10.6 6.0 1.0 0.0
12-6 44.3% 10.0    2.4 4.3 2.6 0.6 0.1
11-7 7.9% 1.4    0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 48.8% 48.8 30.9 12.4 4.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 1.2% 40.3% 40.3% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 5.5% 35.0% 35.0% 15.3 0.1 1.0 0.8 3.6
14-4 13.4% 33.0% 33.0% 15.7 0.0 1.1 3.3 9.0
13-5 21.2% 27.5% 27.5% 15.9 0.5 5.3 15.4
12-6 22.7% 23.3% 23.3% 15.9 0.3 4.9 17.4
11-7 18.0% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.1 3.3 14.7
10-8 11.2% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 2.0 9.2
9-9 5.0% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 0.6 4.4
8-10 1.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.1 1.5
7-11 0.3% 0.3
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.9% 23.9% 0.0% 15.8 76.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.1 16.5 61.2 22.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%