Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#306
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#342
Pace73.6#69
Improvement+1.9#67

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#314
First Shot-4.9#308
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks-1.1#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#322
Freethrows-1.2#259
Improvement-0.8#241

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#267
First Shot-1.6#228
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#275
Layups/Dunks-0.7#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#160
Freethrows-3.7#349
Improvement+2.7#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 11.8% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 18.0% 43.4% 16.1%
.500 or above in Conference 56.6% 73.6% 55.3%
Conference Champion 5.6% 10.5% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four5.3% 7.9% 5.1%
First Round4.1% 8.3% 3.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 5 @Gonzaga L 43-98 1%     0 - 1 -30.2 -19.9 -8.5
  Thu, Nov 6 49 @Texas A&M L 70-104 3%     0 - 2 -20.2 -3.2 -13.8
  Wed, Nov 12 232 Samford L 90-93 OT 45%     0 - 3 -10.0 +3.7 -13.4
  Sat, Nov 15 239 @Texas St. L 67-77 26%     0 - 4 -11.4 -5.7 -5.5
  Thu, Nov 20 11 @Vanderbilt L 74-109 1%     0 - 5 -13.7 +4.4 -15.9
  Sat, Dec 6 126 Sam Houston St. L 70-82 23%     0 - 6 -12.6 -12.5 +1.3
  Sun, Dec 14 103 @Minnesota L 61-77 7%    
  Wed, Dec 17 29 @North Carolina St. L 66-91 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 221 Abilene Christian L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 203 @Southern L 75-83 22%    
  Mon, Jan 5 284 @Grambling St. L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-75 76%    
  Mon, Jan 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 81-64 94%    
  Sat, Jan 17 331 @Alcorn St. L 75-76 47%    
  Mon, Jan 19 316 @Jackson St. L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 290 Alabama A&M W 72-70 57%    
  Mon, Jan 26 264 Alabama St. W 77-76 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 327 @Prairie View L 77-78 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 341 @Florida A&M W 75-74 51%    
  Mon, Feb 9 223 @Bethune-Cookman L 70-78 25%    
  Sat, Feb 14 284 Grambling St. W 71-70 55%    
  Mon, Feb 16 203 Southern L 78-80 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-78 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 365 @Mississippi Valley W 78-67 84%    
  Thu, Feb 26 331 Alcorn St. W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 316 Jackson St. W 74-70 63%    
  Thu, Mar 5 327 Prairie View W 80-75 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 4.3 3.4 0.8 0.1 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.2 1.0 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 5.9 1.9 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.5 3.1 0.2 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 3.8 1.0 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 3.4 1.0 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.5 8.6 10.9 13.3 14.1 13.2 11.1 8.4 5.4 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 88.5% 1.2    0.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 63.7% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 32.5% 1.8    0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
12-6 7.3% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 56.5% 56.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 37.8% 37.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
15-3 1.3% 26.7% 26.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0
14-4 2.6% 25.6% 25.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0
13-5 5.4% 19.2% 19.2% 15.9 0.1 1.0 4.4
12-6 8.4% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1 7.3
11-7 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1 10.0
10-8 13.2% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 1.0 12.2
9-9 14.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.8 13.3
8-10 13.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.0
7-11 10.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
6-12 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.3 93.3 0.0%