Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 #336
Expected Predictive Rating -6.9 #273
Pace 73.9 #58
Improvement +1.5 #114

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #318 D- D- D D+ D-
Defense #330 D D- C- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #353 1.04 #308 -7.2 #355
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #71 0.75 #190 +2.1 #74
Three Pointers 45% #111 0.91 #314 -0.7 #203
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #336 -5.8 #336
Freethrows 0.25 #327 77% #28 0.19 #286
Second Chance 24.4% #332 0.95 #311 0.23 #341
Turnovers 18.8% #319
Total Offense -5.7 #318

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #178 1.32 #342 -3.4 #292
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #342 0.63 #18 +3.2 #3
Three Pointers 47% #47 1.06 #247 -3.9 #326
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #308 -4.0 #306
Freethrows 0.33 #270 73% #206 0.24 #272
Second Chance 35.9% #341 1.10 #262 0.39 #331
Turnovers 15.4% #236
Total Defense -5.5 #330

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #329 1.6% #317
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.8% #320 6.3% #299
Possession Length 17.6 #200 15.4 #5
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #169 0.23 #339
Improvement +2.8 #48 -1.3 #262

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.4% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.7% 4.7% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 88.5% 95.7% 82.0%
Conference Champion 18.1% 26.9% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.2% 5.0% 3.5%
First Round2.0% 2.5% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 412 - 1012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 5 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0 - 1 -34 -13 D F D- -17 F+ F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 18 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1% -22  0 - 2 -16 -1 B+ F B -11 D+ D+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 221 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 16% -3  0 - 3 -18 -18 F D- F+ -0 B- D+ B-
 Wed, Nov 19 25 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  0 - 4 -28 -5 C- C- F -19 F B D+
 Fri, Nov 21 19 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  0 - 5 -34 -10 F B F -20 F D+ F+
 Sun, Nov 23 124 Winthrop L 62 - 80 17% -8  0 - 6 -19 -7 C F+ F+ -14 F+ D D+
 Fri, Nov 28 314 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 32% +5  1 - 6 -0 -16 F F D- +16 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 156 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 9% -9  1 - 7 -12 -2 F B- F+ -9 A F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 4 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  1 - 8 -18 -20 D+ F F -2 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 13 61 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 3% -18  1 - 9 -28 -17 F F C- -10 D C B-
 Thu, Dec 18 234 Hampton L 77 - 84 25% -5  1 - 10 -11 +2 C+ D- C- -13 D F B
 Fri, Dec 19 295 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 37% -11  1 - 11 -18 -6 D- D+ F -11 F B C+
 Mon, Dec 29 44 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  1 - 12 -36 -3 D B D -31 F B F+
 Sat, Jan 3 350 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 66% +7  2 - 12 1 - 0 -12 +9 B F B+ -22 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 318 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 32% +7  3 - 12 2 - 0 +5 -7 F F+ D+ +11 A+ F+ A+
 Mon, Jan 12 298 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 27% -6  3 - 13 2 - 1 -14 +4 D D- A- -16 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 345 Prairie View W 82 - 78 64% +4  4 - 13 3 - 1 -11 -2 C+ C- F -10 C F+ C
 Mon, Jan 19 308 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 51% +5  5 - 13 4 - 1 -7 +11 A- F B- -18 F C- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 248 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 19% -16  5 - 14 4 - 2 -39 -28 F F D- -9 C+ F D+
 Mon, Jan 26 315 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 32% -3  6 - 14 5 - 2 -5 +1 D- B D+ -6 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 285 Grambling St. L 74 - 75 47%
 Mon, Feb 2 254 Southern L 76 - 79 39%
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77 - 67 82%
 Mon, Feb 9 325 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 79 - 83 36%
 Sat, Feb 14 315 Florida A&M W 75 - 74 54%
 Mon, Feb 16 248 Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 79 37%
 Sat, Feb 21 350 @Alcorn St. L 76 - 78 44%
 Thu, Feb 26 345 @Prairie View L 79 - 81 41%
 Sat, Feb 28 308 @Texas Southern L 77 - 83 30%
 Tue, Mar 3 325 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82 - 80 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 80 - 64 93%
Totals 12 - 19 11 - 7 -11 -6 D- D- D -5 D D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 5.6 6.8 3.7 1.0 0.1 18.1 1st
2nd 0.5 7.1 8.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 18.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 4.0 9.3 2.3 0.1 15.7 3rd
4th 0.7 8.6 3.7 0.2 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 4.1 6.4 0.4 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 6.6 1.5 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 3.6 0.1 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.1 0.5 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 1.3 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.0 7.9 15.5 21.0 21.5 16.4 9.1 3.9 1.0 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 99.5% 1.0    0.9 0.0
14-4 93.9% 3.7    3.0 0.7 0.0
13-5 74.5% 6.8    3.4 2.8 0.6 0.0
12-6 33.9% 5.6    1.0 2.3 1.8 0.4 0.0
11-7 4.5% 1.0    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.1% 18.1 8.5 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 28.0% 28.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 1.0% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
14-4 3.9% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.3 3.6
13-5 9.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.7 8.4
12-6 16.4% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 1.0 15.4
11-7 21.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 1.1 20.3
10-8 21.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.7 20.3
9-9 15.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 15.1
8-10 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
7-11 3.0% 3.0
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 95.6 0.0%