West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Gonzaga 100.0%   2   10 - 1 0 - 0 29 - 2 17 - 1 +21.8      +11.8 6 +9.9 9 74.3 58 +26.4 5 0.0 1
38 St. Mary's 49.1%   8 - 1 0 - 0 24 - 6 14 - 4 +12.2      +4.9 70 +7.3 20 64.8 301 +17.0 21 0.0 1
73 Santa Clara 8.7%   7 - 3 0 - 0 20 - 10 11 - 7 +7.7      +5.2 64 +2.5 94 71.4 131 +9.7 63 0.0 1
96 San Francisco 2.0%   5 - 5 0 - 0 17 - 13 10 - 8 +5.4      +2.9 105 +2.5 95 66.3 266 +3.5 124 0.0 1
119 Seattle 0.8%   6 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 12 9 - 9 +3.2      +0.4 158 +2.8 86 67.1 247 +2.9 133 0.0 1
129 Pacific 0.5%   6 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 13 9 - 9 +2.1      +0.6 148 +1.5 120 66.1 270 +3.4 125 0.0 1
134 Loyola Marymount 0.3%   6 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 13 9 - 9 +1.7      -2.0 224 +3.6 70 67.7 230 +3.1 130 0.0 1
157 Oregon St. 0.1%   6 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 17 8 - 10 +0.1      0.0 169 +0.2 160 63.2 330 -1.5 190 0.0 1
165 Washington St. 0.1%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 19 7 - 11 -0.4      +1.8 123 -2.3 251 70.5 164 -6.0 253 0.0 1
246 San Diego 0.0%   3 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 13 -4.8      -1.3 202 -3.5 290 74.7 55 -7.5 275 0.0 1
269 Portland 0.0%   4 - 4 0 - 0 9 - 20 5 - 13 -5.7      -3.0 246 -2.8 266 71.6 128 -3.7 232 0.0 1
293 Pepperdine 0.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 7 - 22 4 - 14 -7.3      -6.1 331 -1.2 209 66.5 261 -10.1 311 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 13 5 Gonzaga 82 30 UCLA 72   
Sat, Dec 13 61 Arizona St. 82 73 Santa Clara 79   
Sat, Dec 13 42 Saint Louis 85 96 San Francisco 75   
Sat, Dec 13 174 Montana St. 57 157 Oregon St. 67   
Sat, Dec 13 270 Northern Arizona 69 246 San Diego 78   
Sat, Dec 13 312 Cal St. Bakersfield 62 293 Pepperdine 70   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 46 Boise St. 66 38 St. Mary's 68 55%   
Sun, Dec 14 34 USC 89 165 Washington St. 73 93%   
Sun, Dec 14 124 Kent St. 85 269 Portland 79 71%   
Tue, Dec 16 134 Loyola Marymount 71 89 UC San Diego 73 54%   
Tue, Dec 16 9 BYU 82 129 Pacific 62 96%   
Wed, Dec 17 157 Oregon St. 74 126 Sam Houston St. 73 53%   
Wed, Dec 17 146 North Texas 66 73 Santa Clara 73 75%   
Wed, Dec 17 119 Seattle 71 201 UC Davis 68 61%   
Wed, Dec 17 240 Eastern Washington 79 165 Washington St. 83 65%   
Wed, Dec 17 263 Loyola Chicago 64 96 San Francisco 78 90%   
Wed, Dec 17 66 Oregon 84 269 Portland 67 93%   
Wed, Dec 17 226 Campbell 65 5 Gonzaga 94 99%   
Thu, Dec 18 279 Long Beach St. 71 293 Pepperdine 67 65%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Gonzaga 1.1 93.2 6.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Mary's 2.4 11.6 56.9 18.1 7.4 3.3 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Santa Clara 4.0 2.2 20.1 27.4 18.7 12.8 8.3 5.2 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
San Francisco 5.0 0.6 9.3 17.6 18.4 16.7 13.5 10.2 6.9 4.0 1.9 0.8 0.2
Seattle 5.6 0.3 5.9 12.9 16.3 16.5 15.0 12.0 9.0 6.5 3.5 1.6 0.5
Pacific 5.5 0.3 7.0 14.8 15.9 15.4 14.1 11.5 8.8 6.0 3.4 2.0 0.7
Loyola Marymount 6.2 0.1 4.6 10.4 12.6 13.6 13.9 13.1 11.9 9.3 6.3 3.2 1.1
Oregon St. 7.2 0.0 1.5 5.8 8.3 10.8 12.6 14.3 14.6 13.7 10.1 6.1 2.3
Washington St. 7.5 0.0 1.2 3.7 6.7 9.7 12.4 14.7 15.7 14.4 11.1 7.1 3.2
San Diego 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.1 7.9 11.6 16.5 19.5 19.2 14.4
Portland 9.9 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.4 9.0 13.7 19.5 23.8 22.4
Pepperdine 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.1 6.5 10.3 17.4 25.2 34.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Gonzaga 17 - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.7 18.6 35.4 36.5
St. Mary's 14 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.8 7.2 12.3 17.8 20.6 19.0 11.8 4.2 0.7
Santa Clara 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.1 6.1 9.6 14.0 16.9 16.7 14.1 10.0 4.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
San Francisco 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.2 7.6 11.3 15.1 16.6 15.8 12.5 8.1 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Seattle 9 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.4 6.6 9.9 13.6 16.0 15.8 13.7 9.5 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Pacific 9 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 6.4 9.6 13.0 15.0 15.1 13.2 10.3 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
Loyola Marymount 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.1 9.2 12.4 14.7 14.6 13.3 10.4 7.1 4.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
Oregon St. 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 6.1 10.0 13.1 15.4 15.3 13.3 10.0 6.5 3.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.1
Washington St. 7 - 11 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.6 6.8 11.1 14.2 16.1 15.5 12.9 8.8 5.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
San Diego 5 - 13 0.7 2.9 6.9 11.8 15.9 17.3 15.8 11.9 8.1 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Portland 5 - 13 1.3 5.1 11.0 15.8 17.7 17.4 13.2 8.9 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Pepperdine 4 - 14 2.8 8.6 15.4 19.5 18.6 15.0 9.9 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 93.2% 85.3 7.6 0.3 0.0
St. Mary's 11.6% 5.3 5.9 0.3 0.0
Santa Clara 2.2% 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
San Francisco 0.6% 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Seattle 0.3% 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Pacific 0.3% 0.1 0.2 0.0
Loyola Marymount 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
San Diego 0.0% 0.0
Portland
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 78.8% 21.1% 2   23.8 26.4 19.2 15.1 7.9 4.2 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.8%
St. Mary's 49.1% 14.1% 35.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.5 7.2 12.4 16.4 0.6 50.9 40.7%
Santa Clara 8.7% 3.7% 5.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.0 4.8 0.5 0.0 91.3 5.2%
San Francisco 2.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0 0.3%
Seattle 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 99.2 0.1%
Pacific 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Washington St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 99.9% 95.2% 71.9% 45.0% 25.4% 13.5% 6.9%
St. Mary's 49.1% 14.7% 42.5% 21.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Santa Clara 8.7% 3.2% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 2.0% 0.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.6 42.6 53.3 4.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.5 49.5 47.9 2.6 0.0
2nd Round 96.9% 1.2 3.1 74.2 22.3 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 74.4% 0.8 25.7 70.1 4.2 0.0
Elite Eight 46.5% 0.5 53.5 45.6 0.9
Final Four 26.0% 0.3 74.0 25.9 0.1
Final Game 13.8% 0.1 86.2 13.8 0.0
Champion 7.0% 0.1 93.0 7.0