San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.7 226
Results Rating -4.2 237
Consistency 0.13 75
Pace 69.9 135
Improvement +0.1 182

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 182 C+ D+ D+ D- C-
Defense D+ 263 D D+ B- D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 334 C+ 60% 122 -3.3 297
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 169 C+ 39% 135 +0.4 153
Three Pointers 47% 57 B- 36% 88 +4.7 39
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 258 B- +2.3 98
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 117
Second Chance C- 28.6% 229 D+ 0.97 266 D+ 0.28 253
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 308
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 154
Turnovers D+ 17.9% 265
Freethrows F+ 0.23 355 B- 74% 119 D- 0.17 342
Total Offense C -0.7 182

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 148 D+ 12.5% 278
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 39% 26 C 4.9% 177
Three Pointers B- 88% 84 B- 0.5% 73
Total B 63% 46 C+ 5.2% 150


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 136 D- 64% 331 +3.4 296
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 249 F+ 45% 350 +0.4 223
Three Pointers 41% 155 C+ 33% 129 -0.4 160
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 248 D +2.9 297
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 293
Second Chance D 33.6% 308 C 1.03 173 D+ 0.35 273
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 90
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 125
Turnovers B- 18.2% 84
Freethrows D 0.34 294 C- 73% 239 D 0.25 299
Total Defense D+ -3.0 263

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 336 C- 9.4% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 285 C- 4.3% 201
Three Pointers D- 90% 339 D+ 0.5% 265
Total D 62% 316 C- 4.8% 236

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 235 16.8 73
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 115 0.24 350
Consistency 0.12 115 0.12 164
Improvement +0.4 170 -0.4 202

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 226 226 226
Results Rating Rank 237 237 237
Conference Record 5 - 13 5 - 13 5 - 13
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 65 - 15
Quad 45 - 610 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 265 Idaho St. L 68 - 71 68% -7  16% 0 - 1 D- -12 D- -7 D+ D D+ D -5 C- C- D+
 Wed, Nov 12 159 Idaho W 78 - 74 46% +5  89% 1 - 1 C +1 B- +5 A+ B- F D+ -4 D+ D+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 307 Grambling St. W 78 - 68 79% +7  97% 2 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 D+ F D C +0 B+ D C
 Fri, Nov 21 271 UC Riverside L 71 - 85 70% -10  3% 2 - 2 F -23 D -6 F+ C+ D+ F -18 F F D
 Tue, Nov 25 115 California Baptist L 61 - 76 25% -2  36% 2 - 3 D- -12 F -11 C F+ D+ C -1 C F A+
 Sun, Nov 30 250 @Long Beach St. L 72 - 76 44% +1  66% 2 - 4 D+ -6 B- +4 B- A+ F F -11 D F F
 Fri, Dec 5 212 @San Jose St. L 69 - 86 36% -18  0% 2 - 5 F+ -17 F -13 F C+ B D+ -3 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 9 75 USC L 81 - 94 20% -5  20% 2 - 6 D+ -8 C +1 C- C+ C D- -7 F D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 316 Northern Arizona W 78 - 69 80% +6  90% 3 - 6 C- -4 C- -2 B- A F C -1 D F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 137 @UC San Diego W 82 - 80 22% +7  90% 4 - 6 B- +6 A+ +20 B- A C F -14 D F D
 Mon, Dec 22 50 @Washington L 56 - 86 6% -16  1% 4 - 7 F+ -16 F -16 D+ D- F C+ +2 A F B-
 Sun, Dec 28 117 Pacific W 66 - 54 36% +9  98% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B+ +12 D+ -2 F+ A- B+ A+ +16 A A A+
 Tue, Dec 30 12 Gonzaga L 93 - 99 4% -10  3% 5 - 8 1 - 1 B +10 A+ +15 A+ C+ A+ D+ -4 C- F A
 Fri, Jan 2 118 @San Francisco L 64 - 74 18% -4  16% 5 - 9 1 - 2 C- -4 F -11 C- F C A- +7 A F C
 Sun, Jan 4 45 @Santa Clara L 70 - 98 5% -12  0% 5 - 10 1 - 3 D- -12 D -5 B F D+ D -6 C- F A-
 Thu, Jan 8 273 Pepperdine W 83 - 63 70% +12  95% 6 - 10 2 - 3 B +11 B +6 A+ C C- B+ +6 C+ A- A-
 Sat, Jan 10 117 @Pacific L 70 - 77 18% +6  83% 6 - 11 2 - 4 C -1 C- -1 C C- D C+ +0 A+ C F+
 Thu, Jan 15 120 @Seattle L 64 - 75 19% -6  5% 6 - 12 2 - 5 D+ -5 D+ -4 C- D- D+ C -1 F B B
 Wed, Jan 21 132 Washington St. W 96 - 92 40% +8  93% 7 - 12 3 - 5 C+ +3 A+ +18 A+ A A+ F -15 C F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 45 Santa Clara L 73 - 85 11% -14  0% 7 - 13 3 - 6 C- -2 D -5 C- F A B +4 F A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 28 273 @Pepperdine W 92 - 88 OT 48% -3  16% 8 - 13 4 - 6 C +1 C+ +3 F A C+ C- -3 C- C F
 Sat, Jan 31 149 Oregon St. L 76 - 78 OT 45% +1  48% 8 - 14 4 - 7 C- -4 F -11 C D F A- +7 C A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 30 @St. Mary's L 60 - 87 3% -19  0% 8 - 15 4 - 8 D -9 C -0 A- D- D F -12 F F C
 Sat, Feb 7 166 @Loyola Marymount L 63 - 83 26% -17  0% 8 - 16 4 - 9 F+ -17 C- -2 C- D B+ F -17 F D F
 Wed, Feb 11 208 Portland W 71 - 58 57% +2  47% 9 - 16 5 - 9 B- +7 C +1 A+ F F+ A- +8 A- C- A-
 Sun, Feb 15 118 San Francisco L 79 - 92 36% -4  24% 9 - 17 5 - 10 D- -13 C+ +3 B- A C+ F -16 F A C
 Sat, Feb 21 166 Loyola Marymount L 65 - 77 48% -7  1% 9 - 18 5 - 11 F+ -15 C- -2 B- C- C F -15 F A+ C
 Wed, Feb 25 149 @Oregon St. L 82 - 92 OT 24% -3  10% 9 - 19 5 - 12 D+ -6 B- +4 A+ F B- F+ -10 F D D+
 Sat, Feb 28 208 @Portland L 74 - 87 34% +2  68% 9 - 20 5 - 13 D- -13 C +1 A+ F F F -14 F A+ F
 Thu, Mar 5 166 Loyola Marymount W 66 - 62 36% +6  86% 10 - 20 C+ +4 C+ +2 D A- C- B- +3 B- A- F
 Fri, Mar 6 120 Seattle L 56 - 58 27% +1  50% 10 - 21 C +1 D+ -3 B- D+ D B +4 B+ B C+
Totals 10 - 21 5 - 13 -4 C -1 D+ B- C- D+ -3 B- B- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C+ B- B- 32% 38% 47% C- C+ C- D+ D+ D+ F+ B- D- D+ D- F+ C+ D 40% 19% 41% C- D D C D+ B- D C- D
1.08 60% 39% 36% +2 -1 1.06 29% 1.0 .28 18% .23 74% .17 1.13 64% 45% 33% +3 0 1.09 34% 1.0 .35 18% .34 73% .17
Nov
7		 Idaho St. D- F A- A D 49% 16% 35% B- D+ B F D D+ F+ D- F D A- F D- C 46% 9% 46% F+ C- F A- C- D+ D- A+ C
1.07 46% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.8 .26 16% .26 71% .19 1.12 48% 50% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 16% .36 63% .22
Nov
12		 Idaho B- D- A+ A+ A+ 25% 27% 48% D A+ C+ B- B- F F F F D+ D- D A- C- 50% 11% 39% F D+ F A+ D+ A+ F D- F
1.16 50% 54% 52% +15 -2 1.29 28% 1.1 .31 19% .20 64% .13 1.10 64% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.07 51% 0.6 .32 24% .49 76% .37
Nov
18		 Grambling St. D+ A+ F C- C- 22% 18% 60% F+ D+ D+ F F D A+ A+ A+ C B- C+ A+ B+ 45% 32% 23% B B+ F B+ D C F A+ F
1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53 0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31
Nov
21		 UC Riverside D C+ F D F 41% 12% 47% B- F+ B D+ C+ D+ C- B- C F D- C F F 49% 18% 33% D F F F F D F A- F
1.04 60% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 16% .33 74% .25 1.25 64% 38% 53% +12 +1 1.29 34% 1.2 .41 16% .44 68% .30
Nov
25		 California Baptist F A+ D F D+ 46% 12% 42% A- C F A+ F+ D+ F F F C B- A+ C- C+ 42% 12% 47% D C C+ F F A+ F F F
0.86 75% 33% 14% -6 +2 0.94 3% 4.0 .13 17% .22 62% .14 1.07 50% 20% 35% -5 +1 0.95 35% 1.5 .55 24% .52 79% .41
Nov
30		 Long Beach St. B- A+ B+ D+ B 35% 24% 41% D B- A+ A- A+ F F A+ F F D+ F C D- 34% 30% 36% C- D F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12 1.21 65% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
5		 San Jose St. F D- F F F 20% 19% 61% F+ F B- D+ C+ B C- C C- D+ F F F+ F 32% 34% 34% B- F F A- F A+ F B F
0.95 55% 0% 24% -17 -1 0.67 39% 1.1 .43 15% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 53% 40% +13 -2 1.23 58% 0.9 .54 30% .53 70% .37
Dec
9		 USC C F A+ D C- 32% 21% 47% C- C- C+ C+ C+ C A+ A A+ D- C- F F F 44% 21% 35% D+ F A+ F D+ A+ F D F
1.03 39% 58% 30% -5 -1 0.91 30% 0.9 .28 18% .37 83% .31 1.20 63% 56% 60% +20 0 1.42 24% 1.7 .40 27% .61 77% .47
Dec
13		 Northern Arizona C- B+ D A+ B 33% 20% 47% D B- C- A+ A F A+ B A+ C F C D+ F+ 26% 34% 40% A+ D F D F A+ D+ F F
1.17 67% 33% 43% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.7 .54 21% .46 75% .34 1.04 75% 38% 37% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.1 .36 26% .28 86% .24
Dec
19		 UC San Diego A+ D+ A B- B- 38% 15% 47% B- B- A+ B- A C D- A+ B+ F D F B D+ 44% 6% 50% F+ D C- F F D D+ F+ D
1.29 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 39% 1.1 .45 16% .21 109% .22 1.26 65% 67% 31% +2 +2 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 14% .29 75% .22
Dec
22		 Washington F D+ F D+ D+ 25% 24% 51% C+ D+ F+ D D- F D- F F C+ D B A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% C A D+ F F B- F D F
0.76 54% 25% 31% -7 -1 0.86 18% 0.9 .15 24% .20 55% .11 1.16 67% 36% 22% -4 -1 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 16% .47 79% .37
Dec
28		 Pacific D+ D- F D F 18% 23% 59% C- F+ D- A+ A- B+ A+ A- A+ A+ B- F A+ A+ 45% 10% 45% F A D A+ A A+ C- A B-
1.03 50% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.82 19% 2.0 .38 12% .43 75% .32 0.84 53% 75% 21% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .24 33% .28 67% .19
Dec
30		 Gonzaga A+ A+ A+ A A+ 29% 17% 53% B+ A+ D- A+ C+ A+ B+ D B- D+ D A+ F C 49% 22% 29% F+ C- F+ F F A F A+ C
1.17 71% 50% 39% +10 0 1.21 17% 1.3 .23 14% .33 65% .22 1.24 70% 25% 44% +7 +1 1.18 42% 1.5 .61 19% .37 54% .20
Jan
2		 San Francisco F A+ A+ F C 32% 29% 39% D C- F F F C F+ A+ D A- F F A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% D+ A D F F C B+ F+ B-
0.90 72% 50% 18% -1 -1 0.96 9% 0.7 .06 14% .20 83% .16 1.04 72% 57% 15% -7 +1 0.88 35% 1.3 .44 15% .28 76% .22
Jan
4		 Santa Clara D C F A B 42% 15% 43% C+ B F F F D+ F D+ F D F+ F C C- 30% 9% 61% D+ C- F C F A- A F C+
0.94 59% 25% 39% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.6 .11 21% .22 69% .15 1.32 71% 60% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.2 .59 19% .17 100% .17
Jan
8		 Pepperdine B B- A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% D+ A+ C- B- C C- D- D D- B+ F A A+ C+ 32% 17% 51% C- C+ A B- A- A- F A- F
1.23 62% 60% 45% +13 0 1.28 32% 1.1 .36 16% .21 67% .14 0.94 77% 29% 24% -3 0 0.95 23% 0.9 .19 22% .56 69% .38
Jan
10		 Pacific C- B C+ D C 25% 29% 45% D+ C C- C- C- D C- A C+ C+ C- A- A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% D- A+ F A+ C F+ F F F
1.00 62% 40% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 78% .24 1.10 58% 33% 23% -9 +1 0.86 48% 0.7 .34 16% .48 82% .39
Jan
15		 Seattle D+ C- D+ D C- 33% 22% 45% C- C- D+ F D- D+ D- A D+ C D D+ F F 37% 22% 41% B F A- B- B B F C+ F
0.89 53% 36% 30% -4 0 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 22% .25 79% .20 1.04 65% 40% 42% +8 0 1.17 19% 0.8 .16 19% .43 68% .29
Jan
21		 Washington St. A+ A+ D A+ A+ 26% 29% 45% D- A+ A+ D+ A A+ F F F F D- F B C+ 40% 16% 44% C- C F D F F+ F F F
1.37 73% 35% 54% +16 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11 1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35
Jan
24		 Santa Clara D A+ B- F C 38% 29% 34% F+ C- B F F A D+ C+ C- B F F F F 45% 9% 47% F F A+ C A+ A+ F A+ C+
0.98 76% 38% 16% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.4 .13 16% .30 74% .22 1.14 86% 75% 41% +20 +2 1.47 27% 1.1 .31 28% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Pepperdine C+ F A+ B- F 46% 7% 47% B+ F B- A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ C- B- C+ D C- 36% 19% 46% C- C- D+ B- C F F A- F
1.15 33% 50% 36% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.3 .49 15% .37 88% .32 1.10 52% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 0.9 .28 14% .42 69% .29
Jan
31		 Oregon St. F B- A- F+ C+ 34% 22% 43% D C C- F+ D F F C+ F A- A- D D C+ 44% 13% 44% F+ C A- A+ A+ B D A+ C+
0.93 60% 46% 28% -1 0 0.98 30% 0.8 .25 24% .19 75% .15 0.95 46% 43% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 20% .41 67% .27
Feb
4		 St. Mary's C B+ F A+ A 33% 27% 40% D+ A- B- F D- D C F F F C+ F F F 45% 21% 34% C- F D F F C D- C+ D-
0.94 63% 23% 42% +2 -1 1.04 26% 0.5 .13 17% .25 38% .09 1.36 57% 50% 50% +10 0 1.23 42% 1.3 .55 16% .37 80% .30
Feb
7		 Loyola Marymount C- D+ A F C+ 27% 37% 35% F C- F+ B D B+ F C- F F F F A+ F 39% 22% 39% D F F B+ D F F F F
1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15 1.32 79% 73% 26% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29
Feb
11		 Portland C F A A+ A+ 33% 22% 45% D+ A+ C+ F F F+ F F F A- F F A+ A 40% 18% 42% C- A- A F C- A- C+ F F
1.11 44% 45% 55% +11 -1 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 20% .16 63% .10 0.91 72% 50% 11% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.6 .35 24% .29 100% .29
Feb
15		 San Francisco C+ C A+ C B+ 24% 35% 41% F B- D A+ A C+ B- A+ A- F F A+ F F 44% 9% 47% F F B+ A+ A C F F+ F
1.14 58% 50% 33% +4 -3 1.04 23% 1.9 .42 13% .30 83% .25 1.33 80% 25% 43% +15 +2 1.36 27% 0.8 .23 16% .60 77% .46
Feb
21		 Loyola Marymount C- C- D A B- 41% 26% 33% C+ B- C- C- C- C D D- D- F F+ F F F 30% 33% 37% B+ F A+ A+ A+ C F F F
1.05 53% 33% 40% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 16% .25 69% .17 1.24 69% 57% 50% +19 -2 1.35 14% 0.7 .10 18% .41 81% .33
Feb
25		 Oregon St. B- F A+ A+ A+ 23% 10% 67% C- A+ F F F B- F F F F+ D C- F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F C F D D+ D- F F
1.10 36% 83% 44% +9 0 1.21 20% 0.5 .10 13% .11 57% .06 1.24 61% 40% 42% +7 0 1.15 27% 1.5 .40 16% .42 85% .35
Feb
28		 Portland C A+ A A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C- A+ F F F F F C- F F D F F F 48% 15% 37% F+ F D+ A+ A+ F C D- D+
1.07 71% 46% 45% +13 0 1.28 15% 0.0 .00 22% .13 71% .09 1.26 65% 63% 40% +10 +1 1.26 31% 0.6 .17 10% .31 79% .24
Mar
5		 Loyola Marymount C+ F+ F C D 24% 22% 53% C- D B+ B+ A- C- A A+ A+ B- D+ D- A C 32% 40% 28% A B- F+ A+ A- F C+ A+ B
1.08 45% 20% 33% -8 -1 0.84 38% 1.2 .44 16% .37 84% .31 1.01 63% 45% 29% +2 -3 1.00 32% 0.6 .19 13% .26 57% .15
Mar
6		 Seattle D+ F A B+ B+ 24% 29% 46% F B- C- D+ D+ D C C C B F C A+ B 34% 25% 41% A- B+ B- A B C+ C- F D-
0.92 40% 50% 37% +1 -2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .30 71% .21 0.95 80% 36% 17% -4 -1 0.93 22% 0.7 .16 18% .32 81% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%