Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#157
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#190
Pace63.2#330
Improvement+2.4#46

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#169
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#136
Layup/Dunks-6.2#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#92
Freethrows+4.0#14
Improvement-0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-1.2#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement+2.4#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 12.5
.500 or above 34.7% 45.8% 22.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.9% 40.5% 30.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 4.0% 6.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sam Houston St. (Home) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 36 - 77 - 15
Quad 48 - 315 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 144 North Dakota St. W 67-65 59%     1 - 0 -0.1 -2.2 +2.3
  Fri, Nov 7 190 Illinois-Chicago W 76-73 69%     2 - 0 -1.9 +1.2 -3.0
  Wed, Nov 12 146 North Texas W 66-64 59%     3 - 0 -0.2 +2.3 -2.3
  Mon, Nov 17 66 @Oregon L 75-87 15%     3 - 1 -0.7 +9.0 -10.0
  Fri, Nov 21 276 Evansville L 69-73 72%     3 - 2 -10.0 -2.7 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 22 170 Iona L 84-91 2OT 54%     3 - 3 -7.9 -4.4 -2.3
  Mon, Nov 24 152 Massachusetts L 65-73 49%     3 - 4 -7.5 -3.1 -4.8
  Sat, Nov 29 127 California Baptist L 69-75 53%     3 - 5 -6.7 -1.6 -5.4
  Wed, Dec 3 185 Vermont W 80-58 68%     4 - 5 +17.3 +12.1 +7.9
  Sat, Dec 6 318 Southern Utah W 81-70 87%     5 - 5 -1.3 +2.3 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 13 174 Montana St. W 67-57 66%     6 - 5 +6.0 -0.7 +7.6
  Wed, Dec 17 126 Sam Houston St. W 74-73 53%    
  Sun, Dec 21 61 @Arizona St. L 66-78 13%    
  Sun, Dec 28 73 Santa Clara L 70-75 33%    
  Tue, Dec 30 96 San Francisco L 68-70 42%    
  Fri, Jan 2 129 @Pacific L 66-71 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 165 @Washington St. L 72-74 41%    
  Thu, Jan 8 119 Seattle L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 269 @Portland W 73-70 61%    
  Wed, Jan 14 134 Loyola Marymount W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 129 Pacific W 69-68 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 38 @St. Mary's L 59-74 8%    
  Wed, Jan 28 134 @Loyola Marymount L 64-69 34%    
  Sat, Jan 31 246 @San Diego W 75-73 57%    
  Wed, Feb 4 165 Washington St. W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 5 Gonzaga L 64-83 5%    
  Thu, Feb 12 96 @San Francisco L 65-73 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 119 @Seattle L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 293 Pepperdine W 72-62 82%    
  Wed, Feb 25 246 San Diego W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 28 73 @Santa Clara L 67-78 17%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.3 1.0 0.1 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.3 7.0 2.3 0.1 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.4 3.8 7.3 2.9 0.2 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.4 3.0 0.2 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 6.1 10.0 13.1 15.4 15.3 13.3 10.0 6.5 3.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 35.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 7.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
12-6 3.7% 0.5% 0.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 3.7
11-7 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
10-8 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
9-9 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 13.3
8-10 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.3
7-11 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 15.4
6-12 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 10.0% 10.0
4-14 6.1% 6.1
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%