Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +10.5 #50
Expected Predictive Rating +11.1 #54
Pace 72.0 #94
Improvement -0.6 #216

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #59 B A- C+ D- C+
Defense #63 B- C A- D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #216 1.29 #60 +1.6 #121
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #260 1.02 #5 +0.7 #143
Three Pointers 46% #77 1.03 #170 +3.0 #83
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #49 +5.3 #49
Freethrows 0.23 #349 73% #179 0.17 #343
Second Chance 37.8% #17 1.16 #54 0.44 #22
Turnovers 15.9% #143
Total Offense +6.0 #59

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #105 1.15 #157 -1.5 #231
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #198 0.66 #40 +1.3 #92
Three Pointers 39% #246 0.92 #66 +3.0 #65
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #89 +2.8 #89
Freethrows 0.33 #279 72% #195 0.24 #278
Second Chance 30.4% #175 1.06 #209 0.32 #194
Turnovers 20.5% #16
Total Defense +4.5 #63

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #137 0.7% #223
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.5% #46 -6.1% #71
Possession Length 16.2 #73 17.5 #212
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #42 0.22 #329
Improvement -1.0 #232 +0.3 #169

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.6% 26.5% 17.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.7% 17.3% 10.3%
Average Seed 10.3 10.3 10.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 7.5% 9.0% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.5% 10.2% 7.3%
First Round19.7% 21.4% 13.9%
Second Round6.5% 7.1% 4.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Home) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 25 - 26 - 7
Quad 310 - 116 - 8
Quad 47 - 123 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 83 McNeese St. W 79 - 67 73% +5  1 - 0 +16 +10 B C B- +6 A+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 10 79 @Xavier W 87 - 68 50% +15  2 - 0 +29 +17 B+ A+ B +12 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 74 Nevada W 98 - 83 71% +13  3 - 0 +20 +26 A+ A+ B- -6 D A A-
 Tue, Nov 18 225 Idaho St. W 64 - 55 94% +5  4 - 0 +2 -8 F C+ B+ +11 B+ A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 314 Louisiana W 80 - 43 97% +20  5 - 0 +25 +8 F A+ A+ +19 A+ B A+
 Thu, Nov 27 26 Saint Louis L 70 - 71 32% +3  5 - 1 +14 +5 C B D+ +10 A+ A C
 Fri, Nov 28 76 Minnesota W 86 - 75 61% +18  6 - 1 +19 +22 A+ A- B+ -3 B+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 3 223 Utah Tech W 90 - 80 94% +12  7 - 1 +3 +6 C+ A D- -3 F+ C A+
 Sat, Dec 6 43 @New Mexico L 71 - 98 34% -11  7 - 2 -12 +6 D A+ D+ -17 F F B
 Sat, Dec 13 80 Arizona St. L 79 - 82 62% +6  7 - 3 +4 +5 C C D+ -0 F+ D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 140 North Texas W 63 - 60 81% -2  8 - 3 +4 -2 D+ A+ F +6 A- F C
 Sat, Dec 20 281 Loyola Chicago L 78 - 80 94% -1  8 - 4 -9 +3 D- A+ C -12 F B+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 194 @Oregon St. W 102 - 64 82% +22  9 - 4 1 - 0 +39 +31 A+ C B- +8 C+ B- A+
 Tue, Dec 30 204 @Portland W 92 - 85 83% +1  10 - 4 2 - 0 +7 +18 A+ C+ D- -11 F F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 2 280 Pepperdine W 82 - 63 96% +7  11 - 4 3 - 0 +9 +2 A- F C +6 B+ D+ A+
 Sun, Jan 4 212 San Diego W 98 - 70 93% +12  12 - 4 4 - 0 +22 +16 B A+ C+ +4 C- A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 11 @Gonzaga L 77 - 89 13% -6  12 - 5 4 - 1 +11 +12 B+ A C -0 D D B+
 Sat, Jan 10 155 Loyola Marymount W 103 - 72 89% +17  13 - 5 5 - 1 +28 +23 A+ A+ A+ +3 A- D+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 131 Pacific W 85 - 69 86% +4  14 - 5 6 - 1 +15 +17 B+ A+ A -1 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 17 42 St. Mary's W 62 - 54 56% +7  15 - 5 7 - 1 +17 -4 C- D+ C +21 A+ B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 212 @San Diego W 85 - 73 84% +14  16 - 5 8 - 1 +12 +7 A+ D- F +5 B+ A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 98 San Francisco W 78 - 70 78%
 Sat, Jan 31 155 @Loyola Marymount W 77 - 70 76%
 Wed, Feb 4 131 @Pacific W 77 - 71 71%
 Sat, Feb 7 138 @Washington St. W 82 - 76 72%
 Wed, Feb 11 123 Seattle W 77 - 66 85%
 Sat, Feb 14 11 Gonzaga L 77 - 83 28%
 Sat, Feb 21 98 @San Francisco W 75 - 73 58%
 Wed, Feb 25 42 @St. Mary's L 72 - 76 34%
 Sat, Feb 28 194 Oregon St. W 82 - 66 93%
Totals 22 - 8 14 - 4 +11 +6 B A- C+ +4 B- C A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 4.4 2.0 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.1 16.1 20.2 6.6 48.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 9.6 15.6 11.5 1.8 41.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.8 10.7 20.8 27.7 23.1 11.0 2.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 2.0    1.1 0.9
16-2 40.0% 4.4    0.9 3.1 0.4
15-3 4.7% 1.1    0.1 0.6 0.5
14-4 0.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 2.0 4.6 0.9



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 2.0% 75.5% 27.0% 48.5% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 66.4%
16-2 11.0% 52.7% 18.9% 33.7% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 2.0 0.0 5.2 41.6%
15-3 23.1% 33.3% 12.7% 20.6% 10.4 0.1 0.8 2.3 4.4 0.0 15.4 23.6%
14-4 27.7% 21.3% 9.9% 11.4% 10.7 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.3 0.1 21.8 12.6%
13-5 20.8% 12.6% 6.8% 5.8% 10.9 0.0 0.4 2.1 0.1 18.2 6.2%
12-6 10.7% 8.2% 5.6% 2.6% 11.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 9.8 2.8%
11-7 3.8% 4.0% 3.3% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.7 0.8%
10-8 0.8% 4.1% 4.1% 11.0 0.0 0.8
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.6% 10.5% 14.1% 10.3 75.4 15.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 7.1 0.9 8.4 18.7 33.6 25.2 12.1 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 70.6% 9.5 1.8 9.2 21.1 27.1 11.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4% 53.5% 9.6 9.9 8.5 26.8 8.5