Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#293
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#311
Pace66.5#261
Improvement-2.7#333

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#331
First Shot-3.9#285
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#318
Layup/Dunks-3.2#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows+1.2#107
Improvement-2.3#336

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot-1.8#237
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#143
Layups/Dunks-1.4#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#256
Freethrows+1.0#119
Improvement-0.3#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 2.7% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.5% 42.8% 51.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 32 - 92 - 16
Quad 45 - 77 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 30 @UCLA L 63-74 2%     0 - 1 +5.9 +4.8 -0.2
  Sat, Nov 15 156 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 33%     0 - 2 -9.8 -6.0 -2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 245 New Orleans W 90-79 52%     1 - 2 +3.2 +7.1 -4.5
  Fri, Nov 21 140 Stephen F. Austin L 60-63 29%     1 - 3 -4.6 -9.9 +5.2
  Wed, Nov 26 184 Fresno St. L 53-76 29%     1 - 4 -24.6 -19.1 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 29 272 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69-83 33%     1 - 5 -16.8 -5.4 -11.3
  Tue, Dec 2 221 Abilene Christian L 63-71 47%     1 - 6 -14.5 -2.5 -13.0
  Sat, Dec 6 185 Vermont L 56-65 40%     1 - 7 -13.7 -15.1 +0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 312 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-62 44%     2 - 7 +2.3 -2.5 +5.1
  Thu, Dec 18 279 @Long Beach St. L 67-71 35%    
  Sat, Dec 20 210 Rice L 67-68 46%    
  Sun, Dec 28 5 Gonzaga L 60-86 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 38 St. Mary's L 58-75 6%    
  Fri, Jan 2 73 @Santa Clara L 63-81 5%    
  Sun, Jan 4 129 @Pacific L 62-74 13%    
  Thu, Jan 8 246 @San Diego L 71-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 96 San Francisco L 63-73 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 269 Portland W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Jan 21 5 @Gonzaga L 57-89 0.2%   
  Sat, Jan 24 165 @Washington St. L 67-77 18%    
  Wed, Jan 28 246 San Diego W 74-73 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 119 @Seattle L 61-74 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 129 Pacific L 65-71 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 38 @St. Mary's L 55-78 2%    
  Sat, Feb 14 134 Loyola Marymount L 63-69 30%    
  Wed, Feb 18 269 @Portland L 68-73 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 157 @Oregon St. L 62-72 18%    
  Wed, Feb 25 119 Seattle L 64-71 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 165 Washington St. L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.7 6th
7th 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.6 2.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.6 1.1 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 6.2 7.6 2.2 0.1 17.4 10th
11th 0.2 3.1 9.5 9.4 2.8 0.2 25.2 11th
12th 2.8 8.4 12.2 8.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 34.6 12th
Total 2.8 8.6 15.4 19.5 18.6 15.0 9.9 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.5% 0.5
9-9 1.1% 1.1
8-10 2.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.9
7-11 5.5% 5.5
6-12 9.9% 9.9
5-13 15.0% 15.0
4-14 18.6% 18.6
3-15 19.5% 19.5
2-16 15.4% 15.4
1-17 8.6% 8.6
0-18 2.8% 2.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%