Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#134
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#130
Pace67.7#230
Improvement-1.5#290

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#224
First Shot-1.4#217
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#214
Layup/Dunks+0.7#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#94
Freethrows-4.8#360
Improvement-1.0#260

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#70
First Shot+3.3#71
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#162
Layups/Dunks+4.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows-0.5#211
Improvement-0.6#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 11.9
.500 or above 74.6% 85.7% 65.4%
.500 or above in Conference 52.3% 59.0% 46.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.8% 3.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 45.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 240 Eastern Washington W 70-62 81%     1 - 0 +0.5 -9.9 +10.3
  Sat, Nov 8 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-72 94%     2 - 0 +6.3 +13.7 -7.7
  Tue, Nov 11 218 @UTEP W 71-58 58%     3 - 0 +12.6 +8.2 +5.9
  Fri, Nov 14 147 Troy W 74-63 65%     4 - 0 +8.7 +1.8 +7.0
  Mon, Nov 17 151 @UC Santa Barbara W 78-74 OT 43%     5 - 0 +7.6 +0.2 +7.2
  Mon, Nov 24 118 Florida Atlantic L 65-76 44%     5 - 1 -7.8 -2.9 -5.8
  Tue, Nov 25 175 Ohio W 70-58 60%     6 - 1 +11.0 -6.6 +17.3
  Fri, Nov 28 197 Stony Brook L 68-71 75%     6 - 2 -8.4 -5.6 -2.9
  Tue, Dec 2 42 Saint Louis L 70-91 25%     6 - 3 -12.4 -5.1 -5.3
  Tue, Dec 16 89 UC San Diego L 72-73 45%    
  Fri, Dec 19 196 North Alabama W 72-65 74%    
  Tue, Dec 23 359 Morgan St. W 83-64 96%    
  Sun, Dec 28 38 St. Mary's L 63-71 24%    
  Tue, Dec 30 129 Pacific W 69-66 59%    
  Fri, Jan 2 165 @Washington St. L 72-73 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 5 @Gonzaga L 62-85 2%    
  Thu, Jan 8 96 San Francisco L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 73 @Santa Clara L 68-77 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 157 @Oregon St. L 66-67 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 269 Portland W 76-66 82%    
  Wed, Jan 21 119 @Seattle L 66-70 34%    
  Wed, Jan 28 157 Oregon St. W 69-64 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 73 Santa Clara L 71-74 39%    
  Tue, Feb 3 96 @San Francisco L 65-72 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 246 San Diego W 79-69 80%    
  Wed, Feb 11 129 @Pacific L 66-69 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 293 @Pepperdine W 69-63 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 246 @San Diego W 76-72 63%    
  Wed, Feb 25 165 Washington St. W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 119 Seattle W 69-67 55%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.6 6.1 2.0 0.2 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.5 6.6 2.2 0.2 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.5 6.7 2.4 0.2 13.1 7th
8th 0.4 2.7 6.0 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 4.4 2.3 0.2 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.1 9.2 12.4 14.7 14.6 13.3 10.4 7.1 4.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 29.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 4.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 12.8% 10.6% 2.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.4%
15-3 0.7% 2.5% 2.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.8% 1.3% 1.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.8
13-5 4.2% 1.7% 1.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 4.1
12-6 7.1% 0.9% 0.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
11-7 10.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
10-8 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
9-9 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 14.6
8-10 14.7% 14.7
7-11 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 12.4
6-12 9.2% 9.2
5-13 6.1% 6.1
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.0%