Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.3 #155
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 #170
Pace 68.3 #196
Improvement -4.8 #347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #253 C C- D+ D- D+
Defense #89 B+ C C C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #315 1.20 #127 -2.5 #267
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #122 0.70 #263 +0.3 #160
Three Pointers 44% #133 1.06 #117 +2.4 #101
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #166 +0.3 #166
Freethrows 0.25 #325 66% #346 0.16 #348
Second Chance 27.4% #267 1.06 #153 0.29 #243
Turnovers 17.9% #275
Total Offense -2.8 #253

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #180 0.98 #15 +3.3 #77
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #38 0.72 #124 -1.8 #313
Three Pointers 35% #338 0.94 #85 +4.5 #31
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #32 +6.0 #31
Freethrows 0.29 #153 74% #278 0.21 #167
Second Chance 31.1% #203 1.04 #170 0.32 #197
Turnovers 15.9% #212
Total Defense +3.1 #89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #282 -1.4% #68
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.9% #147 -10.5% #30
Possession Length 17.4 #178 17.0 #113
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #143 0.13 #55
Improvement -1.4 #256 -3.4 #341

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.6 n/a
.500 or above 39.6% 48.2% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 13.2% 2.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 4.5% 16.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 36 - 67 - 13
Quad 48 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 242 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 77% +1  1 - 0 +1 -8 F B D+ +9 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 325 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 89% +9  2 - 0 +9 +14 A+ F+ A+ -5 D+ C+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 256 @UTEP W 71 - 58 60% +3  3 - 0 +11 +6 A- A+ F +6 A- A- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 115 Troy W 74 - 63 49% +3  4 - 0 +11 +1 A- F C+ +10 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Nov 17 146 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 36% -3  5 - 0 +8 -1 C D- D- +8 A+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 102 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 32% -7  5 - 1 -6 +0 C- D B- -7 D C+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 214 Ohio W 70 - 58 63% +4  6 - 1 +9 -6 D D F +14 A+ B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 236 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 77% -6  6 - 2 -10 -7 D+ B- F -4 C+ C- D+
 Tue, Dec 2 26 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 13% -12  6 - 3 -9 -3 C+ C D- -4 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 114 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 49% -3  6 - 4 -10 -16 C F F +7 B C- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 328 North Alabama W 91 - 57 90% +22  7 - 4 +21 +12 B+ A+ C +9 A+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 23 356 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 94% +16  8 - 4 +10 +2 B+ D+ F +8 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 42 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 21% -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +18 A A+ A -15 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 131 Pacific W 80 - 71 56% -1  9 - 5 1 - 1 +8 +7 A+ F C+ +1 A+ D+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 138 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 35% +1  9 - 6 1 - 2 +2 +3 C- D+ B+ -1 D A+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 11 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  9 - 7 1 - 3 -12 -14 F D B- +1 C+ C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 98 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 42% +1  10 - 7 2 - 3 +4 +2 C+ D A- +2 A+ D C
 Sat, Jan 10 50 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 11% -17  10 - 8 2 - 4 -17 -1 D C C -14 C D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 194 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 48% -1  10 - 9 2 - 5 -5 -3 F A+ F -2 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 204 Portland L 58 - 71 72% -11  10 - 10 2 - 6 -19 -17 F D+ F -2 C+ B+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 123 @Seattle L 59 - 69 31% -12  10 - 11 2 - 7 -4 -4 A- F F -0 A D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 194 Oregon St. W 72 - 67 69%
 Sat, Jan 31 50 Santa Clara L 70 - 77 24%
 Tue, Feb 3 98 @San Francisco L 65 - 73 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 212 San Diego W 77 - 71 73%
 Wed, Feb 11 131 @Pacific L 67 - 71 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 280 @Pepperdine W 70 - 66 65%
 Sat, Feb 21 212 @San Diego W 75 - 74 52%
 Wed, Feb 25 138 Washington St. W 74 - 72 57%
 Sat, Feb 28 123 Seattle W 66 - 65 53%
Totals 14 - 16 6 - 12 +0 -3 C C- D+ +3 B+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.3 2.2 1.6 0.2 4.4 4th
5th 0.1 3.6 4.1 0.5 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 2.4 7.4 1.1 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.5 9.2 4.0 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.1 6.0 9.7 0.5 16.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 12.3 2.4 0.0 17.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 8.5 4.7 0.1 14.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.1 5.2 0.3 11.6 11th
12th 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.1 2.7 12th
Total 0.3 2.0 7.5 16.5 23.9 24.0 15.9 7.5 2.1 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 2.1
9-9 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 7.5
8-10 15.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 15.9
7-11 24.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 23.9
6-12 23.9% 23.9
5-13 16.5% 16.5
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.6 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.3%