Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.3 #138
Expected Predictive Rating -0.9 #183
Pace 69.4 #164
Improvement +1.1 #135

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #97 B+ C- C- C C+
Defense #229 C C+ D+ C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #244 1.33 #24 +1.9 #110
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #246 0.81 #103 -0.8 #222
Three Pointers 47% #69 1.11 #62 +5.1 #38
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #36 +6.1 #35
Freethrows 0.29 #225 73% #160 0.21 #204
Second Chance 30.7% #172 0.97 #280 0.30 #218
Turnovers 17.6% #258
Total Offense +2.9 #97

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #270 1.15 #160 +2.0 #112
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #100 0.83 #287 -1.6 #301
Three Pointers 42% #155 1.03 #198 -0.7 #209
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #191 -0.3 #190
Freethrows 0.29 #167 75% #301 0.22 #192
Second Chance 25.6% #31 1.16 #314 0.30 #115
Turnovers 14.9% #279
Total Defense -1.6 #229

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #150 -1.0% #92
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 11.3% #31 1.6% #211
Possession Length 16.7 #115 18.4 #325
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #177 0.16 #143
Improvement +2.0 #83 -0.9 #243

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 3.0% 4.9% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 53.7% 21.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.3% 1.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 56.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 81 - 12
Quad 36 - 56 - 17
Quad 46 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 189 Idaho L 81 - 83 73% -9  0 - 1 -7 +3 C- C- A+ -10 F+ B C
 Fri, Nov 7 133 @Davidson L 69 - 85 37% -16  0 - 2 -11 -1 F+ B F -11 F B- A
 Mon, Nov 10 127 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 59% +15  1 - 2 +9 +9 B- A+ F+ +1 B B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 14 47 Washington L 69 - 81 25% -10  1 - 3 -4 +8 B- B A -13 D+ B- D
 Wed, Nov 19 282 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 85% +12  2 - 3 +14 +18 B+ A+ A- -5 F A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 80 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 28% +2  2 - 4 +1 +21 A+ A- A -20 F F C
 Wed, Nov 26 57 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 21% -11  2 - 5 -4 +1 C+ D+ C- -6 D- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 126 @Bradley L 60 - 64 36% +3  2 - 6 +1 -9 C F F +10 A+ C- D-
 Sun, Dec 7 74 Nevada L 64 - 78 37% -5  2 - 7 -9 -0 C+ C F -10 A F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 48 @USC L 61 - 68 12% -6  2 - 8 +7 -4 C+ F+ C- +12 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 242 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 71% +12  3 - 8 +11 +1 B+ F+ F+ +10 A A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 154 Mercer W 84 - 78 64% +4  4 - 8 +3 +2 A+ F C +1 B- B+ D
 Sun, Dec 28 204 @Portland W 67 - 62 54% +3  5 - 8 1 - 0 +5 -3 C F D +9 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 123 @Seattle L 55 - 69 34% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -8 -8 F C- F -1 C- A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 155 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 65% -1  6 - 9 2 - 1 -1 +7 A+ F C- -8 C+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 194 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 73% +11  7 - 9 3 - 1 +9 +11 B+ A F+ -1 C C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 42 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 11% -9  7 - 10 3 - 2 +9 +16 A+ C F -7 D A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 15 11 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 8% -10  7 - 11 3 - 3 -4 +2 A+ D- F+ -7 B+ F+ D+
 Sun, Jan 18 98 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 25% -0  7 - 12 3 - 4 +3 +18 A+ F+ D+ -15 F+ F B+
 Wed, Jan 21 212 @San Diego L 92 - 96 55% -8  7 - 13 3 - 5 -4 +19 B C+ A+ -23 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 280 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 85% +12  8 - 13 4 - 5 +6 +18 A+ B C -12 F A- B
 Wed, Jan 28 123 Seattle W 72 - 70 56%
 Sat, Jan 31 204 Portland W 81 - 74 75%
 Wed, Feb 4 194 @Oregon St. W 75 - 74 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 50 Santa Clara L 76 - 82 28%
 Tue, Feb 10 11 @Gonzaga L 70 - 91 2%
 Wed, Feb 18 131 Pacific W 76 - 73 60%
 Sat, Feb 21 42 St. Mary's L 70 - 78 24%
 Wed, Feb 25 155 @Loyola Marymount L 72 - 74 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 280 @Pepperdine W 76 - 71 68%
Totals 12 - 18 8 - 10 +1 +3 B+ C- C- -2 C C+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.4 5.4 8.0 3.3 0.3 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 6.0 12.2 4.1 0.3 22.7 5th
6th 0.0 2.5 12.4 4.4 0.1 19.4 6th
7th 0.4 9.0 6.1 0.5 16.0 7th
8th 0.0 3.3 7.5 0.8 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.5 5.2 1.3 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 1.7 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.3 1.1 0.1 1.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.5 3.2 10.8 20.5 25.7 22.5 12.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 12.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 4.0
10-8 12.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
9-9 22.5% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.5
8-10 25.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 25.7
7-11 20.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.5
6-12 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.3 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%