Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.6 #123
Expected Predictive Rating +3.1 #121
Pace 69.1 #170
Improvement -1.7 #269

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #286 C+ F+ C D+ B-
Defense #29 B C+ A- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #75 1.18 #154 +2.6 #96
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #240 0.73 #207 -1.3 #249
Three Pointers 40% #196 1.07 #95 +0.7 #149
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #122 +2.0 #121
Freethrows 0.28 #267 69% #291 0.19 #287
Second Chance 25.2% #316 0.81 #363 0.20 #356
Turnovers 16.9% #212
Total Offense -4.3 #286

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #129 1.03 #43 +1.4 #128
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #130 0.83 #289 -1.3 #289
Three Pointers 38% #272 0.90 #45 +3.9 #43
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #59 +4.1 #59
Freethrows 0.29 #146 71% #127 0.21 #132
Second Chance 32.3% #262 0.91 #30 0.29 #110
Turnovers 20.9% #15
Total Defense +6.8 #29

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #94 0.0% #156
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.5% #135 -7.9% #49
Possession Length 16.6 #105 17.7 #240
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #309 0.14 #76
Improvement -5.1 #358 +3.5 #22

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.5 12.0
.500 or above 96.0% 99.1% 93.6%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 58.7% 24.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.5% 2.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 44.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 23 - 6
Quad 34 - 57 - 11
Quad 411 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 284 Denver W 84 - 73 88% +6  1 - 0 +1 -8 D- F D +8 B+ C A+
 Sat, Nov 8 288 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 88% +4  1 - 1 -12 -13 C+ F F +1 C- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 242 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 83% +15  2 - 1 +20 +11 A+ C- F +7 B- A B-
 Sat, Nov 15 225 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 81% +9  3 - 1 +2 +15 A+ B+ F+ -12 C F B
 Fri, Nov 21 84 @Stanford W 77 - 69 24% -2  4 - 1 +18 +7 B C- D+ +11 A+ B C+
 Fri, Nov 28 275 Texas St. W 66 - 52 80% +5  5 - 1 +8 +2 B F B+ +8 C A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 146 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 57% -1  5 - 2 -2 +3 B D B -6 C- F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 256 UTEP W 75 - 68 84% +1  6 - 2 -1 +4 B C C- -4 C- D+ B+
 Wed, Dec 17 182 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 54% +4  7 - 2 +2 +3 C C+ D -0 F A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 47 Washington W 70 - 66 29% -2  8 - 2 +12 -5 C F D +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 343 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 85% +4  9 - 2 -6 -9 F+ F D+ +3 F B A-
 Sun, Dec 28 98 San Francisco L 59 - 67 51% -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -13 F F+ A+ +7 A+ D+ C-
 Tue, Dec 30 138 Washington St. W 69 - 55 66% +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +12 -5 B- F C- +18 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 11 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +15 +5 B C+ B- +11 A A- B-
 Sun, Jan 4 42 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 13% -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +17 A+ D A+ -21 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 194 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 57% -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F D+ +4 A+ F B
 Thu, Jan 15 212 San Diego W 75 - 64 79% +6  11 - 6 2 - 4 +5 -4 B+ F C +8 B A A+
 Sat, Jan 17 11 Gonzaga L 50 - 71 10% -8  11 - 7 2 - 5 -4 -14 D C- F +10 A C- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 155 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 59 69% +12  12 - 7 3 - 5 +7 -1 C D A+ +8 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 131 @Pacific L 54 - 56 42% -8  12 - 8 3 - 6 +3 -10 C+ F F +13 B+ B B+
 Wed, Jan 28 138 @Washington St. L 70 - 72 44%
 Wed, Feb 4 280 Pepperdine W 72 - 60 88%
 Sat, Feb 7 204 @Portland W 71 - 69 58%
 Wed, Feb 11 50 @Santa Clara L 66 - 77 15%
 Sun, Feb 15 194 Oregon St. W 71 - 63 77%
 Wed, Feb 18 42 St. Mary's L 63 - 69 28%
 Sat, Feb 21 204 Portland W 74 - 66 78%
 Wed, Feb 25 280 @Pepperdine W 69 - 63 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 155 @Loyola Marymount L 65 - 66 47%
Totals 17 - 12 8 - 10 +3 -4 C+ F+ C +7 B C+ A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 3rd
4th 0.5 4.8 7.8 2.8 0.2 16.1 4th
5th 0.1 5.9 12.5 4.3 0.3 0.0 23.1 5th
6th 0.0 2.6 12.8 5.2 0.3 20.9 6th
7th 0.3 8.8 6.4 0.4 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 3.0 7.2 0.7 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.3 4.7 1.3 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 2.0 0.1 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.1 1.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 3.5 10.1 20.1 26.2 22.8 12.5 3.5 0.5 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1%
11-7 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 3.5
10-8 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 11.5 0.1 0.1 12.4
9-9 22.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 22.8
8-10 26.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 26.1
7-11 20.1% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 20.1
6-12 10.1% 10.1
5-13 3.5% 3.5
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.7 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 2.0% 11.0 2.0