Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#269
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#232
Pace71.6#128
Improvement+0.4#156

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#246
First Shot-1.8#225
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#250
Layup/Dunks+5.1#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#292
Freethrows-1.8#285
Improvement+2.1#42

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#266
First Shot-0.2#185
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#321
Layups/Dunks+2.3#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#337
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement-1.7#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 2.2% 5.0% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.5% 6.8% 3.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.4% 28.1% 37.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 29.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 61 - 10
Quad 32 - 73 - 17
Quad 47 - 39 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 83%     1 - 0 -6.7 -8.8 +0.7
  Sun, Nov 9 201 UC Davis W 67-63 49%     2 - 0 -1.6 -6.5 +5.0
  Sat, Nov 15 97 @Wyoming L 56-93 10%     2 - 1 -28.9 -13.3 -15.4
  Fri, Nov 21 272 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 62%     3 - 1 +9.2 +14.9 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 22 156 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 39%     3 - 2 -8.8 -5.2 -2.9
  Sun, Nov 23 136 St. Thomas L 66-76 34%     3 - 3 -11.4 -9.1 -2.1
  Wed, Nov 26 279 Long Beach St. W 93-73 63%     4 - 3 +10.8 +12.2 -2.0
  Mon, Dec 1 93 @Stanford L 72-94 10%     4 - 4 -13.4 +3.7 -17.3
  Sun, Dec 14 124 Kent St. L 79-85 30%    
  Wed, Dec 17 66 @Oregon L 67-84 5%    
  Mon, Dec 22 151 @UC Santa Barbara L 70-79 19%    
  Sun, Dec 28 165 Washington St. L 76-78 41%    
  Tue, Dec 30 73 Santa Clara L 72-82 17%    
  Fri, Jan 2 38 @St. Mary's L 61-82 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 96 @San Francisco L 66-80 10%    
  Thu, Jan 8 129 Pacific L 70-75 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 157 Oregon St. L 70-73 39%    
  Wed, Jan 14 293 @Pepperdine L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 134 @Loyola Marymount L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Jan 24 38 St. Mary's L 64-79 9%    
  Wed, Jan 28 129 @Pacific L 67-78 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 165 @Washington St. L 73-81 23%    
  Wed, Feb 4 5 Gonzaga L 66-90 1%    
  Sat, Feb 7 119 Seattle L 69-75 30%    
  Wed, Feb 11 246 @San Diego L 77-81 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 293 Pepperdine W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 119 @Seattle L 66-78 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 5 @Gonzaga L 63-93 0.3%   
  Sat, Feb 28 246 San Diego W 80-78 57%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.6 3.3 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.7 6.2 2.0 0.1 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 6.3 8.8 3.0 0.2 19.5 10th
11th 0.2 2.8 8.5 8.9 3.2 0.3 23.8 11th
12th 1.3 4.9 8.3 6.1 1.8 0.1 22.4 12th
Total 1.3 5.1 11.0 15.8 17.7 17.4 13.2 8.9 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.4
10-8 1.2% 1.2
9-9 2.7% 2.7
8-10 5.1% 5.1
7-11 8.9% 8.9
6-12 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 13.2
5-13 17.4% 17.4
4-14 17.7% 17.7
3-15 15.8% 15.8
2-16 11.0% 11.0
1-17 5.1% 5.1
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%