Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
144 Wright St. 22.6%   15   3 - 6 1 - 1 17 - 12 13 - 7 +1.0      +0.3 160 +0.7 139 66.6 261 -4.9 242 -3.3 7
149 Oakland 21.2%   4 - 6 1 - 0 17 - 13 14 - 6 +0.7      +4.4 72 -3.7 295 77.2 27 +2.3 137 +8.6 3
166 Youngstown St. 17.0%   5 - 4 2 - 0 17 - 11 13 - 7 -0.5      -2.2 230 +1.7 115 69.9 174 +0.5 164 +10.3 2
184 Robert Morris 11.7%   6 - 4 1 - 1 18 - 11 12 - 8 -1.6      -1.6 212 +0.1 166 66.9 252 +1.5 150 -2.1 5
193 Northern Kentucky 10.4%   6 - 3 1 - 1 17 - 11 11 - 9 -2.1      -1.1 196 -1.0 202 71.5 131 +1.1 156 -6.6 8
224 Purdue Fort Wayne 6.6%   4 - 6 2 - 1 13 - 15 11 - 9 -3.6      +0.2 164 -3.8 300 73.4 72 -2.8 212 +0.6 4
236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.7%   3 - 6 1 - 0 13 - 17 11 - 9 -4.1      -1.2 197 -2.9 269 71.7 123 -4.3 235 +10.6 1
276 Green Bay 2.5%   3 - 7 1 - 2 11 - 18 8 - 12 -6.1      -1.7 215 -4.4 321 64.1 316 -3.4 225 -8.7 9
291 Detroit Mercy 1.7%   3 - 7 2 - 1 9 - 18 8 - 12 -7.2      -3.2 254 -4.0 306 68.4 216 -7.5 274 -2.9 6
321 Cleveland St. 0.5%   1 - 8 0 - 2 7 - 21 6 - 14 -9.5      -2.7 238 -6.8 349 72.8 86 -13.4 339 -22.2 11
355 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   2 - 9 0 - 3 5 - 24 3 - 17 -14.1      -5.6 323 -8.5 362 92.1 1 -12.8 331 -21.4 10




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Dec 11 276 Green Bay 85 355 IU Indianapolis 75   
Sat, Dec 13 161 Marshall 76 144 Wright St. 74   
Sat, Dec 13 149 Oakland 63 93 Northern Iowa 75   
Sat, Dec 13 184 Robert Morris 75 167 Toledo 70   
Sat, Dec 13 295 Bellarmine 76 193 Northern Kentucky 80   
Sun, Dec 14 181 Indiana St. 70 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 68   
Sun, Dec 14 291 Detroit Mercy 77 224 Purdue Fort Wayne 81   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Dec 16 106 Miami (OH) 74 144 Wright St. 75 51%   
Wed, Dec 17 184 Robert Morris 71 166 Youngstown St. 69 57%   
Wed, Dec 17 193 Northern Kentucky 84 149 Oakland 83 51%   
Wed, Dec 17 276 Green Bay 70 150 UC Santa Barbara 74 64%   
Wed, Dec 17 321 Cleveland St. 72 119 UAB 88 92%   
Fri, Dec 19 236 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 74 160 South Dakota St. 78 66%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 3.0 28.4 22.0 16.6 11.3 8.5 6.1 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.0
Oakland 2.9 33.4 20.5 15.3 10.8 8.0 5.4 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
Youngstown St. 3.2 27.2 20.9 15.7 12.0 8.9 6.5 4.6 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0
Robert Morris 4.3 12.5 14.3 15.0 14.8 13.5 11.3 8.6 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.1
Northern Kentucky 4.7 9.6 11.4 13.1 13.8 13.8 12.8 10.6 7.9 5.1 1.7 0.2
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.1 6.5 9.6 12.0 13.8 14.4 14.4 12.4 9.4 5.3 2.0 0.2
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.4 6.7 8.5 10.5 12.2 13.1 13.4 13.3 10.9 7.5 3.4 0.6
Green Bay 7.2 0.9 2.1 3.6 5.8 8.5 11.6 15.4 19.2 19.4 11.9 1.6
Detroit Mercy 7.3 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.6 8.1 11.3 15.4 19.5 21.4 10.6 1.5
Cleveland St. 9.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.7 6.6 11.5 20.3 38.0 15.3
IU Indianapolis 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.1 6.0 22.4 68.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.0 8.9 12.4 15.0 16.0 14.2 10.6 6.6 2.9 0.7
Oakland 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.5 8.2 11.8 13.8 15.2 13.9 11.7 7.7 4.0 1.5 0.3
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.3 7.1 9.4 12.5 14.6 14.9 12.9 9.9 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
Robert Morris 12 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.4 8.3 11.5 14.0 14.9 14.1 11.6 8.0 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.1 10.1 12.6 14.4 14.1 12.4 9.4 5.9 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.7 5.3 8.4 11.8 14.3 15.2 14.1 10.9 7.8 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 11 - 9 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.9 9.7 12.1 13.4 13.7 12.4 9.9 6.9 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.0 7.3 11.1 14.1 15.3 14.5 12.2 8.6 5.5 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Detroit Mercy 8 - 12 0.3 1.4 3.6 7.5 11.7 15.1 15.4 14.1 11.9 8.4 5.4 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 0.5 2.5 6.3 10.8 14.1 15.9 15.0 12.3 9.3 6.3 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 6.8 16.4 21.9 20.3 15.5 9.7 5.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 28.4% 18.2 7.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Oakland 33.4% 22.7 8.2 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Youngstown St. 27.2% 17.8 7.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Robert Morris 12.5% 7.0 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Northern Kentucky 9.6% 5.2 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.5% 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6.7% 3.7 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 0.9% 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cleveland St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wright St. 22.6% 22.6% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.2 1.0 4.1 7.6 7.0 2.7 77.4 0.0%
Oakland 21.2% 21.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.0 8.0 5.6 1.4 78.8 0.0%
Youngstown St. 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.3 6.3 5.2 1.4 83.1 0.0%
Robert Morris 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 4.7 1.3 88.3 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 4.1 1.6 89.6 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 2.4 93.4 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 2.4 94.3 0.0%
Green Bay 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 97.5 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.3 98.3 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 22.6% 0.9% 22.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 21.2% 0.5% 21.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 17.0% 0.3% 16.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 11.7% 0.4% 11.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 10.4% 0.5% 10.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.6% 1.2% 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.7% 1.5% 5.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 2.5% 1.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 1.7% 0.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.5% 1.0 3.5 96.5
2nd Round 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0