Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
54 Akron 50.8%   12   6 - 2 0 - 0 23 - 5 15 - 3 +9.8      +9.5 18 +0.3 162 76.4 38 +7.3 81 0.0 1
116 Bowling Green 12.6%   5 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 9 12 - 6 +3.2      -0.1 169 +3.3 78 71.0 145 +3.7 122 0.0 1
122 Kent St. 12.1%   7 - 1 0 - 0 19 - 9 12 - 6 +3.0      +4.3 75 -1.3 210 77.1 35 +6.6 88 0.0 1
126 Miami (OH) 11.3%   5 - 0 0 - 0 19 - 7 11 - 6 +2.7      +2.3 115 +0.4 155 73.9 78 +4.8 106 0.0 1
169 Toledo 3.6%   4 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 13 9 - 8 -1.0      +2.7 107 -3.7 295 70.0 173 +0.1 169 0.0 1
173 Massachusetts 3.6%   5 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 13 9 - 9 -1.2      -2.4 233 +1.2 130 78.1 25 -3.0 213 0.0 1
196 Ohio 2.2%   2 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 9 - 9 -2.4      -0.3 176 -2.1 236 74.5 64 -6.7 274 0.0 1
203 Eastern Michigan 2.1%   5 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 15 8 - 10 -2.6      -2.3 229 -0.3 177 66.3 266 +3.0 133 0.0 1
213 Buffalo 1.6%   7 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 12 8 - 10 -3.2      +0.3 155 -3.5 289 67.9 226 +11.2 59 0.0 1
267 Western Michigan 0.5%   4 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 17 6 - 12 -5.9      -2.6 241 -3.2 279 69.8 177 -4.5 234 0.0 1
307 Central Michigan 0.2%   2 - 5 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 12 -8.1      -3.6 268 -4.5 322 67.4 240 -9.5 303 0.0 1
316 Ball St. 0.1%   2 - 6 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 13 -8.5      -5.2 309 -3.4 285 64.4 308 -12.0 324 0.0 1
329 Northern Illinois 0.1%   2 - 5 0 - 0 7 - 20 5 - 13 -9.7      -3.7 271 -6.0 348 70.7 156 -6.9 275 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Dec 1 116 Bowling Green 82 71 Kansas St. 66   
Tue, Dec 2 307 Central Michigan 72 262 Loyola Chicago 83   
Tue, Dec 2 45 Butler 84 203 Eastern Michigan 68   
Tue, Dec 2 245 Lindenwood 99 329 Northern Illinois 64   
Wed, Dec 3 192 Harvard 71 173 Massachusetts 78   
Wed, Dec 3 180 Austin Peay 84 122 Kent St. 96   
Wed, Dec 3 316 Ball St. 52 279 Evansville 64   
Wed, Dec 3 317 Southern Indiana 74 267 Western Michigan 88   
Wed, Dec 3 327 Maine 57 196 Ohio 79   
Wed, Dec 3 54 Akron 97 303 Bucknell 77   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 116 Bowling Green 72 89 Utah Valley 71 52%   
Sat, Dec 6 141 Oakland 87 169 Toledo 82 70%   
Sat, Dec 6 166 Marshall 79 196 Ohio 81 56%   
Sat, Dec 6 54 Akron 87 167 Tulane 79 77%   
Sat, Dec 6 213 Buffalo 70 111 St. Bonaventure 74 65%   
Sat, Dec 6 205 SIU Edwardsville 72 267 Western Michigan 66 72%   
Sat, Dec 6 173 Massachusetts 84 315 Umass Lowell 74 83%   
Sat, Dec 6 327 Maine 61 126 Miami (OH) 77 92%   
Sat, Dec 6 123 Bradley 81 329 Northern Illinois 66 92%   
Sun, Dec 7 307 Central Michigan 65 48 Saint Louis 87 97%   
Tue, Dec 9 213 Buffalo 74 273 Maryland Baltimore Co. 75 50%   
Tue, Dec 9 316 Ball St. 66 148 South Dakota St. 72 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.4 75.2 15.8 5.4 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bowling Green 3.7 13.7 25.2 17.8 13.2 9.7 7.1 4.9 3.4 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
Kent St. 3.7 13.3 22.6 19.8 14.6 10.0 7.0 5.0 3.4 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
Miami (OH) 4.5 7.4 17.7 17.9 15.3 12.1 9.4 7.1 5.1 3.6 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.2
Toledo 6.1 1.9 7.3 10.4 12.4 13.1 12.7 11.4 10.0 7.6 5.8 4.0 2.4 1.0
Massachusetts 5.9 2.8 8.8 11.8 12.7 12.4 12.1 10.6 9.0 7.2 5.8 3.8 2.2 0.9
Ohio 6.4 1.9 6.4 9.9 11.1 12.0 12.0 11.3 10.2 8.4 6.9 5.0 3.1 1.6
Eastern Michigan 7.2 1.1 3.8 6.5 8.5 10.3 11.7 12.1 11.6 10.9 9.6 7.0 4.6 2.3
Buffalo 7.2 1.1 3.6 6.3 8.9 10.3 11.1 12.0 12.1 10.7 9.3 7.0 5.0 2.7
Western Michigan 9.2 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.1 4.8 6.7 8.2 10.4 12.1 14.2 14.4 13.4 9.6
Central Michigan 9.9 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.1 5.0 6.9 9.0 11.0 13.7 15.4 16.2 16.1
Ball St. 10.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.6 4.0 5.7 7.9 10.6 13.4 16.0 18.2 18.6
Northern Illinois 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.3 4.8 6.5 9.1 12.0 15.8 19.9 24.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 15 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 4.0 8.0 13.5 19.8 22.9 19.6 9.2
Bowling Green 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 5.3 7.7 11.0 13.3 14.6 14.2 12.3 8.4 4.8 2.1 0.4
Kent St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.9 5.4 8.0 11.6 14.2 15.4 14.6 12.1 8.1 3.8 1.5 0.2
Miami (OH) 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.8 7.7 10.8 13.6 14.8 14.4 12.3 8.7 5.2 2.0 0.5
Toledo 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.3 7.1 10.5 13.4 14.8 14.5 12.6 9.2 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.0
Massachusetts 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 4.2 6.8 9.7 12.2 14.2 13.9 12.8 9.9 6.5 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
Ohio 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.5 8.3 11.3 13.6 14.1 13.2 11.5 8.2 5.0 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.6 7.5 11.4 13.7 14.4 14.1 12.0 8.7 5.5 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1
Buffalo 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.5 7.7 11.1 13.6 14.9 13.6 12.0 8.7 5.4 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1
Western Michigan 6 - 12 0.3 1.5 4.0 7.9 11.7 14.6 15.3 14.2 11.8 8.0 5.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Central Michigan 6 - 12 0.6 2.7 6.1 10.8 14.1 15.8 14.9 12.7 9.3 6.2 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ball St. 5 - 13 0.9 3.4 7.6 11.9 15.3 16.2 14.8 11.5 8.2 5.1 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 1.5 4.9 9.7 14.4 16.6 15.7 13.1 9.9 6.7 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 75.2% 61.8 11.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
Bowling Green 13.7% 7.4 5.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kent St. 13.3% 7.5 4.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Miami (OH) 7.4% 3.5 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Toledo 1.9% 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Massachusetts 2.8% 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ohio 1.9% 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 1.1% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Buffalo 1.1% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Western Michigan 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Central Michigan 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ball St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 50.8% 50.2% 0.6% 12   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.7 17.1 22.3 5.0 0.7 0.0 49.3 1.2%
Bowling Green 12.6% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.3 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 87.4 0.0%
Kent St. 12.1% 12.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.1 4.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 87.9 0.0%
Miami (OH) 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.4 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 88.7 0.0%
Toledo 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 96.4 0.0%
Massachusetts 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.2 96.4 0.0%
Ohio 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 97.8 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 97.9 0.0%
Buffalo 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 98.4 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 50.8% 0.5% 50.6% 15.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Bowling Green 12.6% 0.0% 12.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 12.1% 0.0% 12.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 11.3% 0.0% 11.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 3.6% 0.0% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 3.6% 0.1% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 2.2% 0.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 2.1% 0.0% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 1.6% 0.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.4 0.7
1st Round 99.7% 1.0 0.3 99.3 0.4
2nd Round 21.0% 0.2 79.0 20.9 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4
Elite Eight 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0