Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
215 LIU Brooklyn 40.7%   16   11 - 7 5 - 0 -3.3      -2.1 220 -1.1 211 70.0 155 +0.8 150 +4.0 1
261 Central Connecticut St. 30.7%   8 - 6 4 - 1 -5.4      -1.3 203 -4.1 298 64.9 289 -1.4 189 +0.1 2
285 Le Moyne 0.0%   7 - 10 3 - 2 -7.1      -3.5 270 -3.6 283 70.9 121 -7.4 291 -8.1 5
314 Mercyhurst 0.0%   5 - 11 2 - 3 -9.4      -7.4 341 -2.0 242 62.3 341 -10.9 329 -12.3 8
324 Wagner 7.3%   3 - 10 1 - 4 -10.0      -3.6 273 -6.4 344 65.6 275 -14.4 346 -20.4 9
333 New Haven 0.0%   5 - 10 3 - 2 -10.8      -7.8 350 -3.0 266 61.4 350 -8.2 299 -6.0 3
339 Stonehill 6.4%   4 - 12 3 - 2 -11.0      -9.2 360 -1.8 231 65.6 274 -12.5 339 -6.6 4
353 Fairleigh Dickinson 3.0%   2 - 13 2 - 3 -13.1      -7.2 338 -5.9 335 67.8 222 -17.3 355 -12.1 7
355 Chicago St. 2.3%   1 - 16 0 - 5 -13.8      -7.3 339 -6.5 346 69.4 170 -18.3 358 -25.1 10
359 St. Francis (PA) 1.4%   2 - 14 2 - 3 -15.0      -7.7 349 -7.3 351 71.8 105 -15.0 347 -10.9 6


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 17 314 Mercyhurst 57 339 Stonehill 62   
Sat, Jan 17 353 Fairleigh Dickinson 59 215 LIU Brooklyn 66   
Sat, Jan 17 355 Chicago St. 57 285 Le Moyne 72   
Sat, Jan 17 261 Central Connecticut St. 98 359 St. Francis (PA) 90   
Sat, Jan 17 333 New Haven 80 324 Wagner 74   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Jan 19 215 LIU Brooklyn 76 285 Le Moyne 75 53%   
Mon, Jan 19 261 Central Connecticut St. 68 314 Mercyhurst 67 54%   
Mon, Jan 19 353 Fairleigh Dickinson 71 324 Wagner 72 50%   
Mon, Jan 19 355 Chicago St. 68 333 New Haven 67 50%   
Mon, Jan 19 339 Stonehill 70 359 St. Francis (PA) 69 54%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 1.3 60.7 20.3 5.4 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.1 31.2 42.9 14.5 5.6 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 3.4 8.2 20.5 32.9 18.6 10.1 5.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
Mercyhurst 5.6 0.7 3.8 10.3 16.6 18.7 19.1 14.3 9.0 5.3 2.3
Wagner 6.7 0.4 1.8 4.9 8.9 12.4 16.4 17.4 17.0 13.6 7.3
New Haven 4.7 2.6 8.3 18.2 22.7 17.9 12.7 8.5 5.1 2.8 1.1
Stonehill 4.8 2.2 7.8 16.3 20.8 19.2 13.9 9.8 6.0 3.3 0.8
Fairleigh Dickinson 6.7 0.2 1.3 4.3 9.1 12.3 16.0 18.1 18.5 13.6 6.6
Chicago St. 8.7 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.4 9.2 15.4 23.4 41.7
St. Francis (PA) 7.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 6.6 10.7 14.7 21.5 23.8 17.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 14 - 4 20 - 11 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.8 9.1 14.3 20.1 22.0 17.4
Central Connecticut St. 13 - 5 17 - 10 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.8 11.6 16.5 19.3 19.1 13.5 6.6
Le Moyne 11 - 7 15 - 15 0.1 0.2 1.1 3.1 7.4 12.8 17.9 20.1 17.8 11.7 5.7 2.0 0.2
Mercyhurst 8 - 9 11 - 17 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.9 10.7 16.7 19.9 18.0 13.7 7.6 3.4 1.1 0.2
Wagner 7 - 11 9 - 17 0.1 1.0 3.2 7.5 12.9 16.4 19.3 16.2 11.8 7.2 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0
New Haven 9 - 9 11 - 17 0.1 0.8 2.8 5.8 11.1 15.8 18.6 17.1 13.5 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.0
Stonehill 9 - 9 10 - 19 0.1 0.8 3.0 6.8 12.6 16.9 18.5 17.0 12.3 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 7 - 11 7 - 21 0.5 2.8 7.3 13.3 18.8 19.2 16.5 11.6 6.4 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
Chicago St. 5 - 13 6 - 24 0.6 3.4 8.9 15.9 19.9 19.6 15.4 9.2 4.6 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 11 6 - 22 1.6 7.7 15.4 20.5 21.2 15.6 10.4 5.1 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 60.7% 46.2 12.8 1.4 0.2 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 31.2% 18.3 11.4 1.2 0.2 0.0
Le Moyne 8.2% 3.7 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0
Mercyhurst 0.7% 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Wagner 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1
New Haven 2.6% 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
Stonehill 2.2% 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chicago St.
St. Francis (PA) 0.0% 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 47.8% 47.8% 0.0% 16   0.1 0.8 4.8 19.1 22.9 52.2 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 31.8% 31.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 1.5 8.2 21.6 68.3 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wagner 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.1 7.3 92.7 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0 6.4 93.6 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 3.0 97.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3 97.7 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4 98.6 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 78.9% 0.8 21.1 78.9
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 47.8% 7.6% 44.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 31.8% 10.1% 26.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 7.3% 7.0% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.4% 6.3% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 2.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%