Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
225 LIU Brooklyn 33.7%   16   4 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 12 10 - 5 -3.9      -2.3 233 -1.6 214 70.9 149 +0.3 166 0.0 1
251 Central Connecticut St. 30.2%   3 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 10 12 - 6 -4.8      -4.6 299 -0.2 178 64.9 298 +3.8 123 0.0 1
302 Wagner 16.9%   1 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 10 - 8 -7.7      -5.0 309 -2.7 256 68.8 207 -7.7 281 0.0 1
319 Mercyhurst 0.0%   2 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 7 -9.1      -6.4 337 -2.7 257 62.6 342 -7.6 277 0.0 1
320 Le Moyne 0.0%   3 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 15 7 - 7 -9.1      -0.8 183 -8.3 361 70.9 151 -7.2 273 0.0 1
339 Stonehill 6.6%   1 - 8 0 - 0 10 - 19 8 - 10 -11.1      -7.9 355 -3.2 277 66.7 258 -16.5 355 0.0 1
345 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 4 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 10 -11.5      -8.8 360 -2.7 255 64.9 296 -5.0 241 0.0 1
346 Chicago St. 5.2%   0 - 8 0 - 0 8 - 22 8 - 10 -11.7      -5.2 312 -6.5 352 71.0 146 -11.6 323 0.0 1
357 St. Francis (PA) 2.6%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 20 6 - 9 -13.7      -8.9 361 -4.8 332 75.4 49 -16.0 354 0.0 1
361 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.8%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.9      -6.1 332 -8.8 362 71.9 125 -22.0 364 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Nov 29 320 Le Moyne 83 203 Monmouth 79   
Sun, Nov 30 305 Ball St. 96 320 Le Moyne 85   
Sun, Nov 30 188 Quinnipiac 76 339 Stonehill 62   
Sun, Nov 30 319 Mercyhurst 38 68 West Virginia 70   
Mon, Dec 1 357 St. Francis (PA) 74 78 Xavier 96   
Tue, Dec 2 225 LIU Brooklyn 92 107 Winthrop 94   
Tue, Dec 2 277 Bryant 77 339 Stonehill 65   
Tue, Dec 2 89 Maryland 89 302 Wagner 63   
Tue, Dec 2 361 Fairleigh Dickinson 64 73 Providence 94   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 3 251 Central Connecticut St. 56 76 Seton Hall 71 92%   
Fri, Dec 5 334 Lafayette 66 319 Mercyhurst 64 57%   
Sat, Dec 6 225 LIU Brooklyn 73 297 Lehigh 72 53%   
Sat, Dec 6 347 Binghamton 76 320 Le Moyne 75 52%   
Sat, Dec 6 133 Boston College 72 345 New Haven 56 93%   
Sat, Dec 6 346 Chicago St. 64 101 Illinois St. 84 96%   
Sun, Dec 7 251 Central Connecticut St. 66 195 Northeastern 71 70%   
Sun, Dec 7 271 Radford 84 357 St. Francis (PA) 74 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 3.2 20.8 24.0 19.5 13.3 9.0 5.8 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.4
Central Connecticut St. 2.3 45.6 19.5 11.2 7.3 4.8 3.2 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.3
Wagner 3.5 22.3 20.4 15.3 11.6 9.2 7.2 5.5 3.9 2.5 1.3
Mercyhurst 4.9 7.5 11.5 13.2 14.2 13.3 12.0 10.4 8.6 6.2 3.2
Le Moyne 5.9 2.2 5.9 9.4 11.6 13.6 14.2 14.2 12.8 10.0 6.0
Stonehill 5.4 6.5 9.9 11.7 12.0 12.2 12.1 11.3 10.2 8.4 5.6
New Haven 5.6 6.3 9.3 10.5 11.4 11.8 11.7 11.1 10.3 9.8 7.8
Chicago St. 5.7 5.1 8.4 10.2 11.4 12.2 12.2 11.8 11.1 10.0 7.6
St. Francis (PA) 7.6 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.3 7.4 10.1 12.7 16.5 20.3 21.9
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.5 1.2 2.6 3.7 5.6 7.6 9.8 12.0 14.7 18.4 24.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 5.5 8.4 12.6 16.0 17.4 16.0 11.5 6.2 1.7
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.5 6.9 9.5 12.2 13.9 14.1 12.8 10.2 6.6
Wagner 10 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.6 4.5 7.0 9.8 11.9 13.2 13.4 12.2 9.7 6.9 4.2 1.9
Mercyhurst 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.6 9.7 12.4 14.4 15.1 12.9 9.9 6.9 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
Le Moyne 7 - 9 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.3 9.9 13.7 16.2 15.7 13.3 9.9 6.3 2.7 1.0 0.2
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.3 8.2 11.0 13.3 13.6 13.2 11.2 8.4 5.9 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
New Haven 8 - 8 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.9 6.2 9.1 11.3 12.5 13.4 12.0 10.1 8.0 5.3 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.3
Chicago St. 8 - 8 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.4 9.5 11.8 13.6 13.8 12.4 10.0 6.8 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2
St. Francis (PA) 6 - 10 0.7 2.7 6.1 10.0 14.2 16.3 15.3 13.0 9.3 6.4 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.8 3.3 6.9 10.4 13.5 14.7 14.1 12.3 9.5 6.4 3.8 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 20.8% 12.2 6.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 45.6% 34.4 9.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Wagner 22.3% 14.5 6.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 7.5% 3.9 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 2.2% 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 6.5% 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
New Haven 6.3% 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 5.1% 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.2% 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 33.7% 33.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.4 2.3 9.2 21.7 66.3 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 32.6% 32.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.8 8.0 21.0 67.4 0.0%
Wagner 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 16.3 82.7 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 6.7 93.3 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0 5.2 94.7 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 2.6 97.4 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 1.8 98.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 33.7% 12.4% 27.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 32.6% 12.7% 26.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 17.3% 13.8% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.7% 6.5% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 5.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 70.4% 0.7 29.6 70.4
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0