Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
177 Colgate 28.8%   16   4 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 12 12 - 6 -1.3      -0.3 175 -1.0 202 67.4 239 +0.4 165 0.0 1
195 Navy 22.8%   4 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 11 12 - 6 -2.4      -2.0 225 -0.4 180 67.4 242 -3.5 223 0.0 1
238 Boston University 13.8%   3 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 14 11 - 7 -4.5      +1.5 124 -6.0 347 60.4 359 -2.9 211 0.0 1
251 American 12.2%   4 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 14 10 - 8 -5.0      -3.6 265 -1.4 211 73.6 84 -2.5 207 0.0 1
299 Lehigh 5.1%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -7.6      -4.8 302 -2.9 268 67.5 236 -9.3 299 0.0 1
303 Bucknell 5.0%   2 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 20 8 - 10 -7.9      -4.2 284 -3.7 297 68.8 206 -8.4 294 0.0 1
305 Holy Cross 5.2%   2 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -8.0      -3.7 272 -4.3 319 65.1 294 -6.3 266 0.0 1
320 Loyola Maryland 3.6%   2 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 18 8 - 10 -9.0      -3.6 264 -5.4 338 68.9 200 -13.8 344 0.0 1
332 Lafayette 2.1%   1 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 21 7 - 11 -10.4      -7.3 348 -3.1 274 68.1 221 -16.2 352 0.0 1
343 Army 1.4%   2 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 20 6 - 12 -11.3      -5.4 320 -5.9 344 69.0 197 -10.5 312 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 348 Binghamton 80 299 Lehigh 71   
Tue, Dec 2 343 Army 70 62 George Washington 84   
Wed, Dec 3 251 American 75 256 Drexel 73   
Wed, Dec 3 305 Holy Cross 76 226 Northeastern 59   
Wed, Dec 3 216 Hampton 93 320 Loyola Maryland 71   
Wed, Dec 3 54 Akron 97 303 Bucknell 77   
Wed, Dec 3 355 Delaware St. 59 195 Navy 66   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Dec 5 332 Lafayette 66 319 Mercyhurst 65 56%   
Sat, Dec 6 303 Bucknell 74 273 Maryland Baltimore Co. 73 55%   
Sat, Dec 6 229 LIU Brooklyn 73 299 Lehigh 72 52%   
Sat, Dec 6 207 Fordham 72 305 Holy Cross 64 78%   
Sat, Dec 6 251 American 70 339 Maryland Eastern Shore 61 81%   
Sat, Dec 6 238 Boston University 72 345 New Hampshire 68 65%   
Sun, Dec 7 330 Air Force 61 195 Navy 72 84%   
Mon, Dec 8 332 Lafayette 69 235 Penn 78 80%   
Tue, Dec 9 320 Loyola Maryland 74 338 VMI 75 54%   
Tue, Dec 9 303 Bucknell 72 344 Rider 71 52%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Colgate 2.5 41.6 22.1 13.8 8.6 5.8 3.6 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.3
Navy 2.9 31.6 22.9 15.9 11.0 7.2 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.1 0.4
Boston University 3.9 17.0 17.6 16.2 14.1 10.9 8.6 6.5 4.5 3.0 1.6
American 4.1 14.4 16.0 15.8 14.0 11.9 9.5 7.4 5.3 3.6 2.0
Lehigh 5.6 4.9 8.0 10.3 12.1 12.6 13.1 12.1 11.2 9.0 6.8
Bucknell 5.8 4.4 7.1 9.5 11.9 12.8 13.0 13.1 11.8 9.7 6.7
Holy Cross 5.8 4.6 7.4 9.7 11.4 12.2 12.9 12.6 11.4 10.1 7.6
Loyola Maryland 6.4 2.9 4.9 7.4 9.4 11.1 12.7 13.5 13.8 13.1 11.1
Lafayette 7.2 1.4 2.8 4.7 6.6 8.8 10.7 13.5 15.4 17.7 18.4
Army 7.6 0.9 1.7 3.3 5.2 7.3 9.9 12.2 15.4 19.8 24.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Colgate 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.7 5.8 8.7 12.1 13.9 14.7 14.2 11.5 7.4 3.5 0.9
Navy 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.9 4.9 7.9 10.8 13.3 14.4 14.8 12.3 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.4
Boston University 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.1 6.5 9.0 11.9 13.4 13.6 12.8 10.2 7.1 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.1
American 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.9 7.5 9.9 12.4 13.6 13.4 12.1 9.3 6.3 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
Lehigh 8 - 10 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.3 10.2 12.7 13.7 13.4 11.7 9.1 6.5 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Bucknell 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.0 7.6 11.1 13.0 14.1 13.4 11.4 8.5 6.0 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Holy Cross 8 - 10 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.3 8.0 10.5 12.8 13.8 13.0 11.1 8.4 6.2 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.2 7.1 10.3 12.6 14.1 13.5 11.6 9.5 6.3 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lafayette 7 - 11 0.3 1.5 3.7 7.1 10.6 13.0 14.3 14.1 12.1 9.1 6.5 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Army 6 - 12 0.5 2.2 5.6 8.8 12.6 14.4 14.7 13.1 10.8 7.4 4.9 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Colgate 41.6% 30.0 9.3 1.9 0.4 0.1
Navy 31.6% 21.6 7.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
Boston University 17.0% 10.4 4.9 1.3 0.3 0.0
American 14.4% 8.8 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.0
Lehigh 4.9% 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
Bucknell 4.4% 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Holy Cross 4.6% 2.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Loyola Maryland 2.9% 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lafayette 1.4% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Army 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Colgate 28.8% 28.8% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.4 2.6 7.1 11.0 7.6 71.2 0.0%
Navy 22.8% 22.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.2 7.7 10.8 77.2 0.0%
Boston University 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 8.5 86.2 0.0%
American 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.7 7.3 87.9 0.0%
Lehigh 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.7 94.9 0.0%
Bucknell 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.6 95.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.5 94.8 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 3.5 96.4 0.0%
Lafayette 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Army 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Colgate 28.8% 2.7% 27.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 22.8% 4.9% 20.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 13.8% 4.5% 11.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 12.2% 3.7% 10.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 5.1% 3.7% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 5.0% 3.8% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 5.2% 3.5% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 3.6% 2.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 2.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.6% 0.8 16.4 83.6
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0