Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#332
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#284
Pace68.9#203
Improvement+1.8#70

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#327
First Shot-3.9#287
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#293
Layup/Dunks-5.6#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#35
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-1.2#279

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#329
First Shot-4.0#307
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#247
Layups/Dunks-1.3#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#189
Freethrows-2.4#320
Improvement+3.0#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 8.7% 10.7% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 24.5% 27.0% 17.5%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.9% 25.2% 35.1%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.4%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 72.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 410 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 136 @St. Thomas L 76-83 9%     0 - 1 -2.4 +6.6 -9.1
  Tue, Nov 11 2 Duke L 59-114 1%     0 - 2 -35.4 -9.1 -21.3
  Sat, Nov 15 200 Harvard L 52-75 32%     0 - 3 -28.6 -17.9 -13.0
  Tue, Nov 18 161 @Cornell L 73-86 11%     0 - 4 -10.1 -10.4 +1.7
  Fri, Nov 21 155 @Marist L 65-76 11%     0 - 5 -7.8 +2.3 -10.7
  Tue, Nov 25 303 East Texas A&M L 67-84 40%     0 - 6 -24.9 -6.4 -18.7
  Wed, Nov 26 362 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-73 55%     1 - 6 -3.9 +5.2 -8.7
  Sat, Nov 29 321 Manhattan W 81-78 OT 58%     2 - 6 -9.5 -5.4 -4.2
  Tue, Dec 2 81 George Washington L 70-84 9%     2 - 7 -9.7 -1.2 -9.1
  Fri, Dec 12 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63-60 26%     3 - 7 -0.8 -8.9 +8.3
  Tue, Dec 23 356 Binghamton W 74-67 73%    
  Wed, Dec 31 309 @Lehigh L 69-74 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 180 Colgate L 70-76 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 338 Loyola Maryland W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 288 @Boston University L 68-75 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 289 @Holy Cross L 68-75 27%    
  Sun, Jan 18 248 American L 72-75 41%    
  Wed, Jan 21 302 @Bucknell L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 204 @Navy L 65-76 17%    
  Wed, Jan 28 309 Lehigh W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 289 Holy Cross L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 180 @Colgate L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 320 Lafayette W 72-70 57%    
  Wed, Feb 11 288 Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 248 @American L 69-78 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 338 @Loyola Maryland L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 204 Navy L 68-73 33%    
  Wed, Feb 25 302 Bucknell W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 320 @Lafayette L 69-73 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.2 0.9 0.1 7.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 5.7 2.1 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.3 3.2 0.2 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.7 4.1 0.4 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 4.2 6.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 17.0 9th
10th 0.3 1.2 3.1 5.3 5.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 18.6 10th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.3 6.5 10.1 13.0 14.4 14.2 12.5 9.6 6.7 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 92.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 68.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 39.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 16.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 21.4% 21.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 15.6% 15.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.2% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0
12-6 2.3% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.0
11-7 4.1% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.8
10-8 6.7% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.4
9-9 9.6% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 9.2
8-10 12.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.3
7-11 14.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.0
6-12 14.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-13 13.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
4-14 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
3-15 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%