IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.3	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	-11.8	#323

Pace	67.5	#239
Improvement	-0.8	#238

Offense
Total Offense	-4.5	#295

First Shot	-1.5	#220
After Offensive Rebound	-3.0	#341

Layup/Dunks	-4.9	#329
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.9	#87
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#110
Freethrows	-0.8	#231

Improvement	+0.7	#114

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#300

First Shot	-2.7	#264
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.0	#264

Layups/Dunks	-1.8	#250
2 Pt Jumpshots	-3.0	#341
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.4	#57
Freethrows	-1.4	#269

Improvement	-1.5	#290

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	6.1%	4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	9.6%	19.2%	6.9%
.500 or above in Conference	44.7%	53.6%	42.2%
Conference Champion	4.0%	6.0%	3.4%
Last Place in Conference	13.7%	9.4%	14.9%

First Four	3.9%	4.4%	3.8%
First Round	2.7%	3.9%	2.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 10	11 - 20

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	8 @Houston	L	57-75	1%	0 - 1			+4.9	-1.9	+6.4
Sun, Nov 9	63 @West Virginia	L	47-69	4%	0 - 2			-10.4	-14.9	+2.6
Fri, Nov 14	133 @Rutgers	L	72-84	12%	0 - 3			-7.3	+1.9	-9.1
Tue, Nov 18	363 St. Francis (PA)	W	79-62	82%	1 - 3			-1.1	-4.1	+2.2
Fri, Nov 21	138 Columbia	L	67-82	26%	1 - 4			-16.5	-5.1	-11.7
Tue, Nov 25	155 @Marist	L	55-78	14%	1 - 5			-19.8	-9.2	-11.3
Fri, Nov 28	151 UC Santa Barbara	L	70-72	20%	1 - 6			-1.4	+1.3	-2.9
Sat, Nov 29	239 Texas St.	W	78-74 OT	35%	2 - 6			-0.4	+4.4	-4.8
Tue, Dec 2	356 @Binghamton	L	71-80 OT	61%	2 - 7			-20.2	-9.3	-10.6
Sat, Dec 6	213 LIU Brooklyn	L	82-87	42%	2 - 8			-11.3	+2.8	-13.9
Sun, Dec 21	206 @Monmouth	L	68-76	22%
Wed, Dec 31	332 Army	W	74-69	69%
Sat, Jan 3	302 @Bucknell	L	69-72	38%
Wed, Jan 7	289 Holy Cross	W	72-70	56%
Sat, Jan 10	180 @Colgate	L	67-77	18%
Wed, Jan 14	288 @Boston University	L	69-73	34%
Sat, Jan 17	204 Navy	L	69-71	41%
Mon, Jan 19	338 Loyola Maryland	W	77-71	70%
Sat, Jan 24	320 Lafayette	W	72-68	64%
Wed, Jan 28	332 @Army	L	71-72	47%
Sat, Jan 31	180 Colgate	L	70-74	36%
Wed, Feb 4	338 @Loyola Maryland	L	73-74	49%
Sat, Feb 7	289 @Holy Cross	L	69-73	35%
Wed, Feb 11	248 American	L	73-74	48%
Sat, Feb 14	320 @Lafayette	L	69-71	43%
Wed, Feb 18	204 @Navy	L	66-74	22%
Sat, Feb 21	288 Boston University	W	72-70	56%
Wed, Feb 25	248 @American	L	70-76	28%
Sat, Feb 28	302 Bucknell	W	72-69	59%
Projected Record					10 - 19	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0		4.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	1.9	2.7	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0				7.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.5	3.1	4.2	1.8	0.3	0.0						10.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	3.5	5.4	2.2	0.2	0.0							11.8	4th
5th								0.3	3.3	6.0	2.5	0.2									12.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.8	6.3	2.8	0.3										12.5	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	2.3	6.0	3.5	0.3											12.3	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	2.2	5.1	3.4	0.5	0.0											11.6	8th
9th			0.1	0.5	2.1	4.2	2.9	0.5	0.0												10.2	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.2	2.7	1.6	0.3	0.0													8.3	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.8	5.1	8.3	10.9	12.9	14.0	13.3	11.6	8.6	5.5	3.3	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	98.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	86.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
14-4	65.9%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0
13-5	40.4%	1.3		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	13.6%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		1.9	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0		0.0
17-1	0.0%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.2%		22.4%	22.4%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.7%		19.1%	19.1%		15.8																0.0	0.1	0.5
14-4	1.5%		19.4%	19.4%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2
13-5	3.3%		15.6%	15.6%		16.0																0.0	0.5	2.8
12-6	5.5%		11.2%	11.2%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.6	4.9
11-7	8.6%		8.7%	8.7%		16.0																	0.7	7.9
10-8	11.6%		7.2%	7.2%		16.0																	0.8	10.8
9-9	13.3%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.6	12.7
8-10	14.0%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.4	13.6
7-11	12.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.2	12.7
6-12	10.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
5-13	8.3%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.2
4-14	5.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
3-15	2.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	4.4	95.4		0.0%