Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.3 #303
Expected Predictive Rating -8.7 #309
Pace 67.6 #221
Improvement +1.8 #95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #308 C- D- D+ C- D+
Defense #277 C- D+ C C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #314 1.10 #248 -3.9 #311
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #88 0.80 #114 +2.2 #70
Three Pointers 42% #164 1.01 #192 +0.3 #163
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #219 -1.4 #220
Freethrows 0.28 #259 74% #140 0.20 #222
Second Chance 22.8% #348 0.98 #258 0.22 #348
Turnovers 17.8% #271
Total Offense -5.1 #308

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #44 1.09 #94 -1.7 #241
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #81 0.90 #354 -3.0 #351
Three Pointers 32% #358 1.08 #272 +3.5 #55
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #217 -1.2 #217
Freethrows 0.33 #274 72% #180 0.24 #269
Second Chance 34.9% #323 1.05 #181 0.36 #292
Turnovers 16.0% #210
Total Defense -3.2 #277

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.8% #302 0.0% #158
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.9% #188 2.4% #227
Possession Length 17.8 #217 16.6 #58
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #109 0.19 #241
Improvement +0.9 #134 +0.9 #137

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.7% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 6.5% 10.2% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 68.5% 82.1% 55.1%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.2% 3.1%
First Four4.4% 4.8% 4.0%
First Round2.8% 3.3% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Away) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 4 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0 - 1 +6 -2 C- D B +8 A D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 56 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 4% -18  0 - 2 -9 -14 C- F F +3 C+ C- A
 Fri, Nov 14 120 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  0 - 3 -6 +1 C+ F+ A -8 D- D C-
 Tue, Nov 18 355 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 79% +9  1 - 3 +0 -5 D+ C- D +4 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 168 Columbia L 67 - 82 33% -9  1 - 4 -19 -7 C D- C- -12 D F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 160 @Marist L 55 - 78 15% -13  1 - 5 -20 -9 F C- A+ -12 F C+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 146 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 19% +1  1 - 6 -1 +0 D+ C- D- -2 A+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 29 275 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 43% -1  2 - 6 -2 +4 A+ F C- -6 C- D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 362 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 69% -1  2 - 7 -22 -10 F D- D- -12 F B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 224 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 44% -7  2 - 8 -12 +3 C- A F -14 C F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 185 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 19% -7  2 - 9 -13 -5 B+ D- F -8 F A B+
 Wed, Dec 31 339 Army L 78 - 85 OT 72% -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -12 D F B- -9 C- F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 322 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 45% +8  2 - 11 0 - 2 -14 -12 F C- F -2 A+ F C
 Wed, Jan 7 326 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 68% +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -5 -6 C D- F +2 B B D-
 Sat, Jan 10 209 @Colgate W 78 - 77 21% +2  4 - 11 2 - 2 +1 +10 B D A- -9 C C- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 278 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 33% +6  5 - 11 3 - 2 -2 +6 C- F+ A -8 D A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 183 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 36% +0  5 - 12 3 - 3 -8 -1 D+ F A+ -6 C F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 323 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 68% -2  6 - 12 4 - 3 -6 +10 A- D- C+ -16 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 316 Lafayette W 64 - 59 65% +7  7 - 12 5 - 3 -7 -9 D- D+ F +2 B+ C+ D
 Wed, Jan 28 339 @Army W 75 - 74 49%
 Sat, Jan 31 209 Colgate L 72 - 74 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 323 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 74 46%
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @Holy Cross L 69 - 70 47%
 Wed, Feb 11 220 American L 70 - 72 44%
 Sat, Feb 14 316 @Lafayette L 70 - 72 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 183 @Navy L 64 - 74 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 278 Boston University W 72 - 71 56%
 Wed, Feb 25 220 @American L 67 - 75 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 322 Bucknell W 72 - 67 66%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -8 -5 C- D- D+ -3 C- D+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 1.6 0.2 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.4 6.0 3.2 0.2 13.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 11.9 15.3 6.7 0.9 0.0 37.4 4th
5th 1.1 8.4 8.8 2.2 0.1 20.6 5th
6th 0.1 3.6 5.6 1.1 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 1.1 0.1 2.7 8th
9th 0.3 0.9 0.1 1.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.1 0.4 10th
Total 0.6 3.4 9.9 17.6 22.3 21.1 14.2 7.7 2.5 0.7 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 70.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 28.3% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.7% 15.4% 15.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-5 2.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.8 0.1 0.2 2.2
12-6 7.7% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.1 0.7 7.0
11-7 14.2% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 1.1 13.1
10-8 21.1% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 1.3 19.8
9-9 22.3% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 1.0 21.3
8-10 17.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 17.1
7-11 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.8
6-12 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
5-13 0.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 94.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%