Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#288
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#296
Pace60.4#360
Improvement-5.5#363

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#162
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#208
Layup/Dunks-5.0#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#18
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement-3.7#361

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#353
First Shot-7.1#359
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#193
Layups/Dunks-2.2#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#319
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement-1.9#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.0% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 23.6% 29.4% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.6% 61.3% 50.9%
Conference Champion 7.1% 7.9% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 6.7% 10.0%
First Four5.4% 5.5% 5.3%
First Round4.6% 5.2% 3.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 64.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 211 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 26%     1 - 0 +0.8 +0.7 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 7 58 @Northwestern L 52-76 5%     1 - 1 -11.7 -8.3 -7.2
  Wed, Nov 12 219 Brown W 90-77 48%     2 - 1 +6.6 +26.3 -18.5
  Sat, Nov 15 273 Merrimack L 79-91 57%     2 - 2 -20.9 +9.7 -31.6
  Tue, Nov 18 138 @Columbia L 49-54 14%     2 - 3 -0.5 -12.9 +11.5
  Sat, Nov 22 200 Harvard W 75-74 33%     3 - 3 -1.6 +8.3 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 25 104 @Penn St. L 87-96 10%     3 - 4 -1.8 +23.7 -26.4
  Sat, Nov 29 194 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 23%     3 - 5 -8.1 +0.8 -10.0
  Sat, Dec 6 335 @New Hampshire L 82-88 OT 53%     3 - 6 -13.7 +0.2 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 10 336 Maine L 59-69 74%     3 - 7 -23.8 -8.8 -16.2
  Sat, Dec 13 247 @Dartmouth L 64-77 31%     3 - 8 -14.9 -4.9 -10.9
  Sun, Dec 21 304 Umass Lowell W 75-71 64%    
  Wed, Dec 31 204 @Navy L 66-73 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 248 American W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Jan 7 320 @Lafayette L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 332 Army W 75-68 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 309 Lehigh W 73-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 338 @Loyola Maryland W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 320 Lafayette W 73-68 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 180 @Colgate L 67-76 22%    
  Wed, Jan 28 204 Navy L 69-70 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 302 @Bucknell L 69-71 42%    
  Mon, Feb 2 289 @Holy Cross L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 338 Loyola Maryland W 77-70 74%    
  Wed, Feb 11 332 @Army W 72-71 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 302 Bucknell W 72-68 64%    
  Mon, Feb 16 180 Colgate L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 309 @Lehigh L 70-72 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 289 Holy Cross W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 248 @American L 70-75 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.8 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.1 3.2 0.3 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 5.3 8.1 11.1 13.3 14.0 13.3 11.7 8.5 5.3 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 87.5% 1.2    1.0 0.2
14-4 66.1% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 40.1% 2.1    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
12-6 13.0% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 35.3% 35.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 31.5% 31.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 28.2% 28.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0
14-4 3.0% 20.2% 20.2% 15.8 0.1 0.5 2.4
13-5 5.3% 16.7% 16.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.4
12-6 8.5% 14.5% 14.5% 15.9 0.1 1.2 7.2
11-7 11.7% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.4
10-8 13.3% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0 12.2
9-9 14.0% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.8 13.1
8-10 13.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.6 12.8
7-11 11.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.8
6-12 8.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 8.0
5-13 5.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.7 92.6 0.0%