Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#302
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#298
Pace68.5#212
Improvement-1.8#304

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#322
First Shot-3.2#270
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#321
Layup/Dunks-6.5#350
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#12
Freethrows-0.8#224
Improvement-1.9#314

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#250
First Shot-3.0#273
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#139
Layups/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#320
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement+0.1#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 9.7% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 9.9% 29.4% 9.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 64.4% 48.7%
Conference Champion 5.0% 11.9% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 4.5% 11.0%
First Four4.5% 5.0% 4.4%
First Round3.3% 6.7% 3.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Neutral) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 412 - 1112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 282 Delaware W 78-70 56%     1 - 0 -1.5 -0.3 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 7 296 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 37%     2 - 0 +6.6 +3.8 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 11 255 @Princeton L 63-73 30%     2 - 1 -12.3 -7.6 -4.9
  Fri, Nov 14 115 Hofstra L 77-83 22%     2 - 2 -5.7 -0.1 -5.2
  Mon, Nov 17 107 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 9%     2 - 3 -27.2 -17.1 -12.8
  Thu, Nov 20 16 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -27.7 -17.8 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 125 Bowling Green L 66-71 17%     2 - 5 -2.6 -3.2 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 26 209 Buffalo L 71-73 32%     2 - 6 -5.1 +4.6 -10.0
  Sun, Nov 30 161 Cornell L 72-101 32%     2 - 7 -32.1 -10.3 -20.2
  Wed, Dec 3 65 @Akron L 77-97 5%     2 - 8 -8.6 +6.1 -15.1
  Sat, Dec 6 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-73 57%     2 - 9 -16.8 -7.1 -10.3
  Tue, Dec 9 347 @Rider W 51-38 54%     3 - 9 +4.0 -15.0 +21.0
  Sat, Dec 20 23 Iowa L 57-80 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 289 @Holy Cross L 68-72 36%    
  Sat, Jan 3 309 Lehigh W 72-69 62%    
  Wed, Jan 7 204 @Navy L 65-73 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 338 Loyola Maryland W 76-70 72%    
  Wed, Jan 14 320 Lafayette W 72-68 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 180 @Colgate L 66-76 20%    
  Wed, Jan 21 332 Army W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 338 @Loyola Maryland W 74-73 51%    
  Mon, Jan 26 320 @Lafayette L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 288 Boston University W 71-69 58%    
  Wed, Feb 4 248 @American L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 180 Colgate L 69-73 37%    
  Mon, Feb 9 204 Navy L 68-70 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 288 @Boston University L 68-72 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 248 American W 73-72 50%    
  Sun, Feb 22 289 Holy Cross W 71-69 57%    
  Wed, Feb 25 332 @Army L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 309 @Lehigh L 69-72 41%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.5 2.2 3.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.6 3.1 0.2 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.7 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.0 7.0 10.1 12.7 14.1 14.2 12.1 9.4 6.4 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 90.5% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 70.1% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.1
13-5 40.9% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 12.9% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 29.3% 29.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 20.7% 20.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 2.0% 19.6% 19.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6
13-5 3.9% 16.7% 16.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.2
12-6 6.4% 13.1% 13.1% 15.9 0.1 0.8 5.5
11-7 9.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.5
10-8 12.1% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.8 11.2
9-9 14.2% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 13.3
8-10 14.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 13.6
7-11 12.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.5
6-12 10.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.0
5-13 7.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.0
4-14 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.2 94.5 0.0%