Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
244 Bethune-Cookman 29.1%   16   12 - 13 10 - 3 -4.5      -4.6 293 +0.1 166 71.4 107 -5.2 248 -4.2 1
265 Southern 21.4%   9 - 14 8 - 5 -5.9      -3.7 270 -2.2 240 73.0 65 -7.1 281 -7.1 4
291 Grambling St. 7.8%   9 - 14 5 - 7 -7.5      -7.6 344 +0.1 168 66.7 237 -8.3 301 -11.4 8
304 Alabama St. 4.1%   8 - 17 6 - 7 -8.5      -6.3 324 -2.3 242 72.1 83 -10.8 327 -12.1 9
307 Texas Southern 8.9%   7 - 15 7 - 6 -8.7      -4.4 284 -4.3 303 72.4 75 -10.0 322 -8.3 6
309 Alabama A&M 10.1%   12 - 11 8 - 5 -8.7      -4.9 301 -3.9 290 64.7 282 -7.1 282 -7.9 5
318 Arkansas Pine Bluff 7.0%   9 - 15 8 - 5 -9.9      -4.4 286 -5.5 321 73.8 51 -6.3 268 -6.8 2
331 Jackson St. 5.1%   9 - 17 8 - 5 -11.1      -4.6 292 -6.5 340 73.6 55 -8.4 303 -7.1 3
333 Florida A&M 3.8%   8 - 14 7 - 6 -11.1      -7.7 346 -3.4 275 69.9 142 -10.0 321 -9.3 7
334 Prairie View 1.8%   6 - 16 5 - 8 -11.2      -6.5 334 -4.7 310 80.5 5 -12.2 341 -12.5 11
349 Alcorn St. 0.9%   6 - 19 5 - 8 -13.2      -6.4 331 -6.8 344 68.4 186 -11.3 333 -12.2 10
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 25 0 - 12 -23.8      -14.2 365 -9.6 362 68.1 198 -28.5 365 -27.3 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Feb 16 244 Bethune-Cookman 86 331 Jackson St. 91   
Mon, Feb 16 309 Alabama A&M 82 318 Arkansas Pine Bluff 70   
Mon, Feb 16 291 Grambling St. 63 334 Prairie View 68   
Mon, Feb 16 265 Southern 73 307 Texas Southern 74   
Mon, Feb 16 349 Alcorn St. 78 333 Florida A&M 86   
Mon, Feb 16 304 Alabama St. 92 365 Mississippi Valley 55   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 19 304 Alabama St. 70 244 Bethune-Cookman 77 75%   
Thu, Feb 19 318 Arkansas Pine Bluff 80 307 Texas Southern 79 57%   
Thu, Feb 19 309 Alabama A&M 69 333 Florida A&M 70 52%   
Thu, Feb 19 365 Mississippi Valley 69 334 Prairie View 84 92%   
Sat, Feb 21 291 Grambling St. 68 265 Southern 73 67%   
Sat, Feb 21 309 Alabama A&M 67 244 Bethune-Cookman 74 76%   
Sat, Feb 21 318 Arkansas Pine Bluff 85 334 Prairie View 81 66%   
Sat, Feb 21 304 Alabama St. 72 333 Florida A&M 73 51%   
Sat, Feb 21 349 Alcorn St. 78 331 Jackson St. 77 54%   
Sat, Feb 21 365 Mississippi Valley 67 307 Texas Southern 80 87%   
Mon, Feb 23 291 Grambling St. 77 365 Mississippi Valley 57 95%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 1.3 77.7 14.3 5.2 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
Southern 2.7 27.4 28.2 17.8 12.2 7.2 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
Grambling St. 7.2 0.5 2.0 3.9 6.5 8.9 14.1 15.7 19.2 12.6 11.0 5.5
Alabama St. 8.0 0.3 1.6 3.4 5.9 11.9 14.0 19.7 17.1 17.0 9.3
Texas Southern 5.0 1.1 10.0 13.7 18.4 17.3 18.9 10.6 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.6
Alabama A&M 3.6 13.9 21.0 17.7 17.0 12.7 8.6 5.0 2.6 1.3 0.2
Arkansas Pine Bluff 3.5 8.5 24.4 21.9 19.3 13.1 8.6 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
Jackson St. 3.2 13.3 28.4 20.6 16.6 10.6 6.8 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
Florida A&M 6.3 1.5 4.0 6.1 9.6 11.5 17.8 17.1 15.9 9.1 5.8 1.5
Prairie View 8.9 0.3 2.6 6.5 8.8 20.1 22.8 20.6 18.3
Alcorn St. 8.9 0.1 0.8 1.3 2.9 6.8 8.3 16.2 19.6 20.0 24.0
Mississippi Valley 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 12 - 5 15 - 15 3.3 17.2 35.6 32.7 11.3
Southern 11 - 7 12 - 16 1.2 7.9 23.5 33.4 25.7 8.5
Grambling St. 8 - 10 12 - 17 0.1 4.3 17.7 31.8 28.8 14.2 3.0
Alabama St. 8 - 9 10 - 20 7.5 25.6 35.8 24.6 6.5
Texas Southern 10 - 7 10 - 17 1.7 11.5 30.7 38.5 17.6
Alabama A&M 10 - 8 14 - 14 4.3 18.0 30.9 29.4 14.6 2.8
Arkansas Pine Bluff 10 - 7 12 - 17 0.9 14.1 36.2 35.5 13.3
Jackson St. 11 - 7 12 - 19 1.0 12.2 31.5 34.1 17.6 3.7
Florida A&M 9 - 9 10 - 17 10.0 28.1 33.8 20.4 6.7 0.9
Prairie View 8 - 9 9 - 18 0.7 11.6 35.4 39.7 12.6
Alcorn St. 7 - 11 8 - 22 1.7 15.9 34.4 32.0 13.5 2.5
Mississippi Valley 0 - 17 0 - 31 71.4 24.2 4.0 0.3 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 77.7% 51.3 17.7 6.3 1.7 0.6 0.1
Southern 27.4% 9.6 11.0 4.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
Grambling St. 0.5% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Alabama St.
Texas Southern 1.1% 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0
Alabama A&M 13.9% 4.1 5.0 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.5% 1.0 3.3 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.0
Jackson St. 13.3% 2.8 5.6 3.3 1.1 0.5 0.1
Florida A&M 1.5% 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
Prairie View
Alcorn St.
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 29.1% 29.1% 0.0% 16   0.2 2.0 26.9 70.9 0.0%
Southern 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 20.7 78.6 0.0%
Grambling St. 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 7.5 92.2 0.0%
Alabama St. 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 4.1 95.9 0.0%
Texas Southern 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 8.9 91.1 0.0%
Alabama A&M 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 10.0 89.9 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 6.9 93.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 5.1 94.9 0.0%
Florida A&M 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0 3.8 96.2 0.0%
Prairie View 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 56.3% 0.6 43.7 56.3
2nd Round 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 29.1% 21.3% 19.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 21.4% 19.0% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 7.8% 6.7% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 4.1% 4.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 8.9% 8.8% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 10.1% 9.2% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 7.0% 6.5% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 5.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 3.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%