West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
11 Gonzaga 100.0%   4   21 - 1 9 - 0 +19.6      +10.3 17 +9.4 13 74.3 50 +26.3 6 +17.4 2
43 St. Mary's 40.1%   18 - 3 8 - 1 +11.8      +5.8 62 +5.9 43 64.2 301 +14.0 39 +14.5 3
49 Santa Clara 29.9%   17 - 5 9 - 1 +10.9      +6.4 53 +4.5 65 72.2 92 +11.4 51 +18.5 1
98 San Francisco 0.9%   12 - 10 5 - 5 +5.2      +2.8 101 +2.4 106 64.9 286 +3.5 108 +2.8 4
122 Pacific 0.3%   13 - 8 6 - 4 +2.3      +1.0 140 +1.4 123 64.3 300 +2.6 119 +1.3 6
124 Seattle 0.2%   12 - 9 3 - 7 +2.2      -4.8 302 +7.0 27 69.1 171 +2.5 123 -1.4 9
128 Washington St. 0.2%   9 - 13 5 - 5 +1.7      +2.8 102 -1.0 206 69.3 167 -0.3 164 +2.1 5
161 Loyola Marymount 0.1%   10 - 12 2 - 8 -0.2      -2.9 250 +2.7 97 68.3 197 -1.6 195 -5.5 11
182 Oregon St. 0.0%   11 - 12 4 - 6 -1.8      -0.2 168 -1.6 228 64.2 303 -0.1 160 +0.5 8
202 San Diego 0.0%   8 - 13 4 - 6 -2.5      -0.1 162 -2.4 254 74.3 48 -3.0 217 +1.2 7
218 Portland 0.0%   8 - 13 3 - 7 -3.3      -2.6 239 -0.8 190 71.6 106 -2.3 209 -2.0 10
283 Pepperdine 0.0%   4 - 17 1 - 9 -7.0      -5.6 318 -1.4 222 67.8 212 -9.1 316 -9.8 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Jan 28 98 San Francisco 73 49 Santa Clara 88   
Wed, Jan 28 161 Loyola Marymount 69 182 Oregon St. 72   
Wed, Jan 28 124 Seattle 58 128 Washington St. 70   
Wed, Jan 28 283 Pepperdine 88 202 San Diego 92   
Wed, Jan 28 122 Pacific 74 218 Portland 51   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 31 11 Gonzaga 80 43 St. Mary's 69 84%   
Sat, Jan 31 122 Pacific 67 98 San Francisco 72 71%   
Sat, Jan 31 182 Oregon St. 75 202 San Diego 77 59%   
Sat, Jan 31 161 Loyola Marymount 70 49 Santa Clara 78 78%   
Sat, Jan 31 218 Portland 73 128 Washington St. 81 78%   
Tue, Feb 3 161 Loyola Marymount 65 98 San Francisco 73 79%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Gonzaga 1.1 93.4 5.7 0.9
St. Mary's 2.3 9.4 48.5 41.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
Santa Clara 2.3 10.2 53.4 35.9 0.5 0.0 0.0
San Francisco 5.0 0.2 2.0 44.0 25.1 13.9 8.5 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.0
Pacific 5.0 0.2 2.7 44.0 24.3 14.6 9.0 3.8 1.2 0.2
Seattle 6.9 0.0 0.1 7.7 17.4 20.0 20.9 15.4 9.6 5.7 2.8 0.4
Washington St. 5.6 0.0 1.1 25.7 28.3 19.1 12.4 8.2 3.6 1.3 0.4
Loyola Marymount 9.2 1.2 3.3 4.9 8.5 11.8 18.4 24.3 23.7 4.0
Oregon St. 7.8 0.0 2.6 9.1 12.2 15.5 19.9 24.1 12.1 4.2 0.2
San Diego 7.4 0.2 7.4 12.1 15.7 17.3 17.9 14.2 9.0 5.8 0.3
Portland 9.4 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.6 10.9 18.2 28.1 26.1 3.5
Pepperdine 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 5.6 13.3 78.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Gonzaga 17 - 1 29 - 2 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.3 21.2 39.0 32.5
St. Mary's 14 - 4 24 - 6 0.0 0.4 2.4 9.1 19.9 29.6 26.0 11.2 1.4
Santa Clara 14 - 4 22 - 8 0.0 0.2 1.5 7.2 18.1 29.1 26.8 14.4 2.7
San Francisco 9 - 9 16 - 14 0.1 1.6 8.4 19.9 28.6 25.5 12.3 3.1 0.4
Pacific 9 - 9 16 - 13 1.5 8.7 19.6 28.0 25.0 12.1 4.4 0.6 0.0
Seattle 8 - 10 17 - 12 0.2 1.0 4.7 14.5 24.7 29.8 18.6 5.9 0.6
Washington St. 9 - 9 13 - 17 0.7 5.2 14.8 26.4 27.2 18.1 6.5 1.1 0.1
Loyola Marymount 6 - 12 14 - 16 0.8 5.6 16.2 23.9 25.9 17.8 7.7 1.9 0.2
Oregon St. 7 - 11 14 - 17 1.9 10.9 27.4 31.4 19.8 7.0 1.4 0.1 0.0
San Diego 7 - 11 11 - 18 2.1 8.3 20.0 28.2 22.5 12.8 5.1 1.1 0.0
Portland 6 - 12 11 - 18 3.9 15.9 31.0 27.5 16.1 4.5 1.0 0.1
Pepperdine 3 - 15 6 - 23 13.4 29.2 29.4 18.3 7.6 1.9 0.2 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 93.4% 82.2 10.0 1.3
St. Mary's 9.4% 3.2 5.0 1.3
Santa Clara 10.2% 2.9 6.0 1.3
San Francisco
Pacific
Seattle
Washington St.
Loyola Marymount
Oregon St.
San Diego
Portland
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 71.6% 28.4% 4   7.4 15.0 21.3 26.6 18.2 8.6 2.2 0.6 0.2 100.0%
St. Mary's 40.1% 14.9% 25.3% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.8 4.4 10.4 22.0 0.3 59.9 29.7%
Santa Clara 29.9% 11.9% 18.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 3.7 7.2 16.9 0.3 70.1 20.4%
San Francisco 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.1 0.0%
Pacific 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%
Seattle 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.7 37.5 53.3 9.2 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.6 47.1 48.0 4.9 0.0
2nd Round 94.9% 1.1 5.1 77.2 17.1 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 60.6% 0.6 39.4 58.4 2.2
Elite Eight 29.4% 0.3 70.6 29.2 0.3
Final Four 13.6% 0.1 86.4 13.5 0.0
Final Game 6.6% 0.1 93.4 6.6
Champion 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 92.6% 58.6% 28.5% 13.3% 6.5% 3.3%
St. Mary's 40.1% 17.2% 31.9% 12.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Santa Clara 29.9% 11.9% 24.2% 8.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%