IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.4	#96
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.9	#213
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.3	#88

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.1	#112

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.7%	1.2%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.0%	10.0%	3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	6.6%	9.4%	3.3%
Average Seed	9.1	9.0	9.5

.500 or above	55.8%	68.7%	40.3%
.500 or above in Conference	25.2%	31.3%	17.9%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	16.5%	12.8%	20.9%

First Four	2.4%	3.4%	1.3%
First Round	5.6%	8.2%	2.6%
Second Round	2.7%	4.0%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	0.9%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Away) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 2	3 - 5	5 - 12
Quad 3	5 - 2	9 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 1	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	140	@ Florida Atlantic	W	74-73	54%
Nov 06, 2025	342	The Citadel	W	78-58	97%
Nov 11, 2025	305	Central Connecticut St.	W	75-58	94%
Nov 15, 2025	133	@ Temple	W	74-73	52%
Nov 18, 2025	235	Hampton	W	74-62	87%
Nov 21, 2025	145	Davidson	W	72-67	66%
Nov 26, 2025	178	Harvard	W	73-63	80%
Dec 03, 2025	53	LSU	L	71-73	43%
Dec 06, 2025	363	New Haven	W	84-57	99%
Dec 10, 2025	170	@ Massachusetts	W	75-72	61%
Dec 22, 2025	350	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	83-62	96%
Dec 28, 2025	344	Le Moyne	W	84-64	96%
Jan 03, 2026	79	@ Georgia Tech	L	70-74	35%
Jan 06, 2026	31	North Carolina St.	L	66-72	32%
Jan 10, 2026	10	@ Louisville	L	66-82	10%
Jan 13, 2026	42	@ Clemson	L	62-72	20%
Jan 17, 2026	64	Syracuse	L	73-74	48%
Jan 21, 2026	80	Pittsburgh	W	71-69	55%
Jan 24, 2026	63	@ Notre Dame	L	65-72	28%
Jan 31, 2026	44	Virginia	L	62-66	37%
Feb 03, 2026	3	@ Duke	L	60-80	5%
Feb 07, 2026	55	Miami (FL)	L	72-74	45%
Feb 11, 2026	99	Stanford	W	71-68	60%
Feb 14, 2026	91	California	W	73-70	59%
Feb 17, 2026	75	@ Florida St.	L	71-76	35%
Feb 21, 2026	46	@ SMU	L	68-78	21%
Feb 24, 2026	67	Wake Forest	L	70-71	49%
Feb 28, 2026	55	@ Miami (FL)	L	69-77	27%
Mar 03, 2026	76	@ Virginia Tech	L	67-72	34%
Mar 07, 2026	63	Notre Dame	L	68-69	47%
Projected Record						16 - 14	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1		0.0		0.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.2	0.0					1.7	3rd
4th											0.1	0.6	1.1	0.5	0.0						2.3	4th
5th										0.0	0.5	1.6	0.9	0.1							3.1	5th
6th										0.3	1.8	1.5	0.3	0.0							3.9	6th
7th									0.0	1.1	2.3	0.7	0.0								4.1	7th
8th									0.6	2.6	1.5	0.1									4.7	8th
9th								0.1	1.9	2.6	0.3	0.0									4.9	9th
10th							0.0	1.0	3.6	1.2	0.0										5.7	10th
11th							0.4	3.2	3.2	0.3											7.0	11th
12th						0.1	1.7	4.0	1.0	0.0											6.8	12th
13th					0.0	0.8	4.2	2.7	0.2												8.0	13th
14th				0.0	0.4	3.1	4.1	0.8	0.0												8.4	14th
15th			0.0	0.2	2.1	4.5	1.6	0.1													8.5	15th
16th			0.1	1.8	4.8	2.9	0.4	0.0													9.9	16th
17th		0.2	1.9	4.0	3.3	0.6	0.0														10.0	17th
18th	0.8	2.2	3.2	2.4	0.7	0.0															9.4	18th

Total	0.8	2.5	5.2	8.4	11.4	12.0	12.4	11.8	10.4	8.0	6.5	4.7	2.9	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.0%
16-2	68.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	27.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0		0.0
14-4	13.8%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
13-5	2.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0
17-1	0.0%									0.0
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	19.3%	80.7%	3.7			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	0.4%		91.4%	10.3%	81.2%	5.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0								0.0		90.5%
14-4	0.8%		86.0%	2.8%	83.2%	7.7					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0						0.1		85.6%
13-5	1.7%		77.7%	2.8%	74.9%	8.6					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.1						0.4		77.0%
12-6	2.9%		54.0%	3.1%	50.9%	9.4						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.3						1.4		52.5%
11-7	4.7%		29.7%	1.1%	28.6%	10.1							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.0					3.3		28.9%
10-8	6.5%		13.9%	0.3%	13.5%	10.4									0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0					5.6		13.6%
9-9	8.0%		5.4%	0.3%	5.1%	10.3									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2						7.6		5.1%
8-10	10.4%		1.1%	0.3%	0.9%	10.5										0.0	0.0	0.1						10.3		0.9%
7-11	11.8%		0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	10.5											0.0	0.0						11.8		0.1%
6-12	12.4%																							12.4
5-13	12.0%																							12.0
4-14	11.4%																							11.4
3-15	8.4%																							8.4
2-16	5.2%																							5.2
1-17	2.5%																							2.5
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		7.0%	0.4%	6.6%	9.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.9	1.1	2.3	1.6	0.0					93.0		6.6%