IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.2	#306
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.7	#78
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#267

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	14.7%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.2	15.4	15.1

.500 or above	16.4%	56.3%	16.2%
.500 or above in Conference	31.3%	52.2%	31.2%
Conference Champion	2.7%	6.3%	2.7%
Last Place in Conference	14.3%	2.1%	14.4%

First Four	0.8%	4.1%	0.8%
First Round	2.5%	12.7%	2.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 8	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	14	@ Kansas	L	60-89	0.3%
Nov 07, 2025	337	@ Buffalo	L	77-78	49%
Nov 13, 2025	149	@ St. Thomas	L	70-82	15%
Nov 15, 2025	87	@ Minnesota	L	60-77	6%
Nov 21, 2025	97	Yale	L	68-82	12%
Dec 04, 2025	203	Robert Morris	L	72-75	40%
Dec 07, 2025	206	@ Wright St.	L	71-80	23%
Dec 11, 2025	359	@ IU Indianapolis	W	74-70	62%
Dec 17, 2025	126	UC Santa Barbara	L	69-76	26%
Dec 23, 2025	200	@ Campbell	L	67-76	23%
Jan 01, 2026	193	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-82	23%
Jan 05, 2026	216	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	74-76	43%
Jan 09, 2026	359	IU Indianapolis	W	77-67	79%
Jan 11, 2026	266	Northern Kentucky	W	72-71	51%
Jan 15, 2026	223	@ Cleveland St.	L	67-75	25%
Jan 18, 2026	201	Oakland	L	69-72	41%
Jan 22, 2026	184	@ Youngstown St.	L	71-80	21%
Jan 24, 2026	203	@ Robert Morris	L	69-78	23%
Jan 30, 2026	223	Cleveland St.	L	70-72	45%
Feb 01, 2026	206	Wright St.	L	74-77	42%
Feb 04, 2026	266	@ Northern Kentucky	L	69-74	33%
Feb 07, 2026	310	Detroit Mercy	W	74-71	60%
Feb 12, 2026	193	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	76-79	40%
Feb 15, 2026	216	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	71-79	26%
Feb 20, 2026	201	@ Oakland	L	66-75	25%
Feb 22, 2026	310	@ Detroit Mercy	L	71-74	41%
Feb 28, 2026	184	Youngstown St.	L	74-77	40%
Projected Record						9 - 18	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.2	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0					3.8	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	1.8	2.0	0.8	0.2	0.0						5.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	2.2	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0							6.0	4th
5th									0.1	0.9	2.9	3.2	1.0	0.1									8.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.9	3.4	3.3	1.2	0.1										8.9	6th
7th							0.2	1.5	4.1	4.0	1.5	0.2											11.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	2.1	4.9	4.3	1.4	0.2												13.4	8th
9th				0.2	1.1	3.4	5.1	4.0	1.1	0.1													14.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.7	2.5	4.5	4.8	2.7	0.8	0.1														16.1	10th
11th	0.4	1.3	2.5	2.6	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0															9.4	11th

Total	0.4	1.3	3.2	5.2	7.4	9.3	10.2	11.3	10.5	9.8	8.6	7.3	5.3	4.2	2.6	1.6	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	90.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
16-4	77.8%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
15-5	39.1%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-6	18.0%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.5%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		11.0												0.0						0.0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.2%		33.5%	33.5%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-3	0.4%		38.0%	38.0%		13.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.3
16-4	1.0%		20.8%	20.8%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1		0.8
15-5	1.6%		13.7%	13.7%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.4
14-6	2.6%		15.9%	15.9%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.2
13-7	4.2%		9.1%	9.1%		16.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	3.8
12-8	5.3%		6.4%	6.4%		17.5															0.0	0.2	0.2	4.9
11-9	7.3%		3.4%	3.4%		17.7														0.0		0.1	0.2	7.0
10-10	8.6%		3.9%	3.9%		18.2																0.1	0.3	8.3
9-11	9.8%		1.6%	1.6%		16.7																	0.2	9.7
8-12	10.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
7-13	11.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
6-14	10.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
5-15	9.3%																							9.3
4-16	7.4%																							7.4
3-17	5.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
2-18	3.2%																							3.2
1-19	1.3%																							1.3
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	16.2												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.2	97.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%