IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
La Salle
Atlantic 10
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.9	#187
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#101
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#199

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	0.9%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.1	12.0	16.0

.500 or above	18.0%	18.9%	4.5%
.500 or above in Conference	18.0%	18.7%	6.5%
Conference Champion	0.8%	0.9%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	27.1%	26.0%	44.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	0.9%	0.9%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 94.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 7	2 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 7	6 - 17
Quad 4	5 - 2	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	361	Coppin St.	W	78-61	94%
Nov 08, 2025	210	Monmouth	W	75-71	65%
Nov 11, 2025	133	@ Temple	L	72-79	26%
Nov 15, 2025	90	Penn St.	L	71-79	25%
Nov 19, 2025	39	Villanova	L	62-74	16%
Nov 28, 2025	182	Hofstra	L	65-66	49%
Nov 29, 2025	278	@ Penn	W	74-73	55%
Nov 30, 2025	258	Merrimack	W	67-64	62%
Dec 13, 2025	297	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	69-66	59%
Dec 19, 2025	109	@ High Point	L	69-78	22%
Dec 21, 2025	6	@ Michigan	L	63-88	2%
Dec 31, 2025	101	George Mason	L	66-70	37%
Jan 03, 2026	85	@ George Washington	L	68-79	17%
Jan 07, 2026	143	@ Rhode Island	L	73-79	31%
Jan 10, 2026	70	Saint Louis	L	69-76	27%
Jan 14, 2026	131	@ Richmond	L	65-72	28%
Jan 17, 2026	124	St. Bonaventure	L	67-68	46%
Jan 21, 2026	65	Dayton	L	67-75	25%
Jan 28, 2026	163	@ Fordham	L	74-78	36%
Jan 31, 2026	110	Saint Joseph's	L	70-73	40%
Feb 03, 2026	94	@ Loyola Chicago	L	65-76	20%
Feb 07, 2026	70	@ Saint Louis	L	66-79	14%
Feb 11, 2026	60	Virginia Commonwealth	L	66-74	25%
Feb 18, 2026	116	@ Duquesne	L	65-73	25%
Feb 21, 2026	143	Rhode Island	W	76-75	50%
Feb 24, 2026	85	George Washington	L	71-76	33%
Mar 01, 2026	145	@ Davidson	L	68-74	32%
Mar 04, 2026	163	Fordham	W	77-75	55%
Mar 07, 2026	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	67-76	24%
Projected Record						10 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1					1.6	2nd
3rd											0.2	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0						2.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.0	1.2	0.4	0.0							2.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.3	1.9	0.6	0.0								4.0	5th
6th								0.1	0.8	2.5	1.2	0.1	0.0								4.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	2.7	2.2	0.3	0.0									5.8	7th
8th							0.3	2.4	3.0	0.6	0.0										6.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.2	4.0	1.3	0.1											7.8	9th
10th					0.1	1.5	4.3	2.5	0.2	0.0											8.6	10th
11th				0.1	1.6	4.9	3.7	0.5													10.8	11th
12th			0.1	1.5	4.8	4.7	1.0	0.0													12.2	12th
13th		0.3	2.3	5.1	5.0	1.7	0.1														14.6	13th
14th	1.9	4.9	5.8	4.1	1.3	0.2															18.1	14th

Total	1.9	5.2	8.3	10.8	12.8	13.2	11.7	10.1	8.1	6.7	4.6	2.9	1.7	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	71.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	55.6%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	20.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0			0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		78.9%	59.2%	19.7%	10.3									0.0			0.0						0.0		48.3%
16-2	0.1%		30.4%	7.6%	22.8%	9.3									0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1		24.7%
15-3	0.2%		25.7%	19.3%	6.4%	9.9						0.0					0.0	0.0						0.2		8.0%
14-4	0.5%		8.2%	6.7%	1.4%	10.8										0.0		0.0	0.0					0.5		1.5%
13-5	1.2%		11.0%	8.5%	2.5%	11.2											0.0	0.1	0.0					1.0		2.7%
12-6	1.7%		7.0%	7.0%		11.9												0.0	0.1	0.0				1.6
11-7	2.9%		4.9%	4.9%		11.9												0.0	0.1	0.0				2.8
10-8	4.6%		2.3%	2.3%		12.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		4.5
9-9	6.7%		1.5%	1.5%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			6.6
8-10	8.1%		1.0%	1.0%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	8.0
7-11	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		14.7															0.0	0.0		10.0
6-12	11.7%		0.2%	0.2%		19.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.7
5-13	13.2%																							13.2
4-14	12.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
3-15	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
2-16	8.3%																							8.3
1-17	5.2%																							5.2
0-18	1.9%																							1.9

Total	100%		0.9%	0.8%	0.1%	12.1						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	99.1		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%