IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Marshall
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.8	#185
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.6	#108
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#208

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.6	#190

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.5%	10.6%	5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	13.1	13.6

.500 or above	62.2%	77.8%	53.6%
.500 or above in Conference	65.8%	75.5%	60.4%
Conference Champion	8.3%	11.8%	6.3%
Last Place in Conference	2.8%	1.3%	3.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	7.6%	10.7%	5.9%
Second Round	0.6%	1.1%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 6	4 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 4	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	170	@ Massachusetts	L	73-77	36%
Nov 08, 2025	196	@ Toledo	L	75-78	41%
Nov 12, 2025	224	Elon	W	72-67	67%
Nov 15, 2025	44	@ Virginia	L	57-74	7%
Nov 20, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	89-64	99%
Nov 23, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	77-58	95%
Nov 26, 2025	188	Lipscomb	W	72-69	62%
Dec 03, 2025	120	@ UNC Wilmington	L	67-74	26%
Dec 06, 2025	152	@ Ohio	L	74-79	33%
Dec 10, 2025	161	Western Kentucky	W	78-76	56%
Dec 13, 2025	206	Wright St.	W	76-72	63%
Dec 20, 2025	130	@ Troy	L	66-73	28%
Dec 31, 2025	283	Georgia St.	W	79-71	76%
Jan 03, 2026	204	Appalachian St.	W	66-62	63%
Jan 07, 2026	132	@ James Madison	L	67-74	29%
Jan 10, 2026	283	@ Georgia St.	W	76-74	58%
Jan 14, 2026	274	Coastal Carolina	W	72-65	73%
Jan 17, 2026	132	James Madison	L	70-71	48%
Jan 22, 2026	347	Louisiana Monroe	W	78-65	87%
Jan 24, 2026	167	South Alabama	W	67-65	57%
Jan 28, 2026	197	@ Texas St.	L	69-72	42%
Jan 31, 2026	137	@ Arkansas St.	L	71-77	30%
Feb 04, 2026	276	Southern Miss	W	79-71	74%
Feb 11, 2026	195	@ Old Dominion	L	69-72	42%
Feb 14, 2026	243	@ Georgia Southern	L	75-76	49%
Feb 19, 2026	204	@ Appalachian St.	L	63-65	43%
Feb 21, 2026	274	@ Coastal Carolina	W	69-68	54%
Feb 24, 2026	195	Old Dominion	W	72-69	61%
Feb 27, 2026	243	Georgia Southern	W	78-72	68%
Projected Record						16 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.9	2.0	2.4	1.9	0.8	0.2		8.3	1st
2nd												0.1	1.5	3.3	2.9	1.2	0.3	0.0			9.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	4.0	3.3	1.0	0.1					9.9	3rd
4th										0.1	1.2	4.2	3.4	0.8	0.0						9.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	3.7	4.5	1.0	0.1							9.9	5th
6th									0.4	2.9	4.3	1.2	0.1								8.8	6th
7th								0.1	2.0	4.5	2.0	0.2									8.8	7th
8th							0.0	0.9	3.6	2.8	0.3										7.6	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	2.8	3.1	0.5	0.0										7.1	9th
10th						0.4	2.0	3.2	1.0	0.1											6.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.4	2.6	1.0	0.1												5.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.0	2.0	1.1	0.1													4.5	12th
13th		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.7	0.1														2.8	13th
14th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0															1.4	14th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	2.6	4.6	6.5	8.2	10.2	11.4	11.7	11.5	10.1	8.4	5.9	3.6	2.2	0.8	0.2			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	98.3%	0.8		0.8	0.1
16-2	88.5%	1.9		1.6	0.3	0.0
15-3	65.6%	2.4		1.5	0.8	0.1	0.0
14-4	33.3%	2.0		0.6	0.9	0.3	0.1
13-5	10.6%	0.9		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.3%	8.3		4.9	2.4	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		60.2%	60.2%		11.3										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-1	0.8%		49.0%	49.0%		11.7											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.4
16-2	2.2%		43.2%	43.2%		12.2												0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1			1.2
15-3	3.6%		36.1%	36.1%		12.7												0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0		2.3
14-4	5.9%		23.2%	23.2%		13.3												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1		4.5
13-5	8.4%		16.5%	16.5%		13.8												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0	7.0
12-6	10.1%		9.1%	9.1%		14.8													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	9.2
11-7	11.5%		5.3%	5.3%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	10.9
10-8	11.7%		2.8%	2.8%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	11.3
9-9	11.4%		0.8%	0.8%		16.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.3
8-10	10.2%		0.4%	0.4%		18.3																0.0	0.0	10.1
7-11	8.2%		0.2%	0.2%		23.5																	0.0	8.2
6-12	6.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
5-13	4.6%																							4.6
4-14	2.6%																							2.6
3-15	1.4%																							1.4
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.5%	7.5%	0.0%	13.5										0.0	0.0	0.5	1.4	2.2	2.1	1.1	0.3	92.5		0.0%