IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.6	#265
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.9	#125
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#202

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#313

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.4	11.4	n/a

.500 or above	10.4%	10.6%	2.0%
.500 or above in Conference	8.9%	9.1%	3.0%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	35.2%	34.8%	50.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 4	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	89-68	98%
Nov 09, 2025	255	UC Davis	W	72-69	59%
Nov 15, 2025	157	@ Wyoming	L	65-74	22%
Nov 21, 2025	336	Cal St. Fullerton	W	75-70	68%
Nov 22, 2025	194	Northern Colorado	L	76-77	48%
Nov 23, 2025	149	St. Thomas	L	74-77	39%
Nov 26, 2025	264	Long Beach St.	W	71-68	60%
Dec 01, 2025	99	@ Stanford	L	65-79	12%
Dec 14, 2025	127	Kent St.	L	69-74	34%
Dec 17, 2025	28	@ Oregon	L	63-86	2%
Dec 22, 2025	126	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	67-78	18%
Dec 28, 2025	128	Washington St.	L	76-81	34%
Dec 30, 2025	106	Santa Clara	L	73-80	28%
Jan 02, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	56-76	5%
Jan 04, 2026	77	@ San Francisco	L	66-82	9%
Jan 08, 2026	219	Pacific	W	74-73	53%
Jan 10, 2026	117	Oregon St.	L	68-74	32%
Jan 14, 2026	244	@ Pepperdine	L	74-78	38%
Jan 17, 2026	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	68-78	20%
Jan 24, 2026	49	St. Mary's	L	59-73	12%
Jan 28, 2026	219	@ Pacific	L	71-76	34%
Jan 31, 2026	128	@ Washington St.	L	73-84	18%
Feb 04, 2026	18	Gonzaga	L	70-89	6%
Feb 07, 2026	121	Seattle	L	67-72	33%
Feb 11, 2026	180	@ San Diego	L	75-82	27%
Feb 18, 2026	244	Pepperdine	W	77-75	56%
Feb 21, 2026	121	@ Seattle	L	64-75	18%
Feb 25, 2026	18	@ Gonzaga	L	67-92	2%
Feb 28, 2026	180	San Diego	L	78-79	46%
Projected Record						9 - 20	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.8	3rd
4th										0.2	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.8	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.2	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0							3.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	1.7	1.8	0.5	0.0									4.6	6th
7th							0.6	2.9	2.7	0.8	0.0										7.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	3.5	3.9	1.2	0.1											9.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.9	4.6	5.1	1.6	0.1												12.3	9th
10th			0.1	1.9	6.2	6.0	2.0	0.1													16.2	10th
11th		0.4	3.3	7.3	6.9	2.1	0.2	0.0													20.1	11th
12th	2.8	7.0	8.0	4.8	1.6	0.1															24.4	12th

Total	2.8	7.4	11.4	14.0	15.6	13.4	11.4	9.0	6.0	4.1	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0						Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	72.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	12.5%	0.0				0.0
13-5	6.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%		24.1%	24.1%		11.0												0.0						0.0
14-4	0.1%		6.3%	6.3%		11.0												0.0						0.1
13-5	0.3%		6.5%	6.5%		11.3												0.0	0.0					0.3
12-6	0.6%		1.2%	1.2%		12.0													0.0					0.6
11-7	1.3%		0.5%	0.5%		11.0												0.0						1.3
10-8	2.5%		0.3%	0.3%		12.0													0.0					2.5
9-9	4.1%																							4.1
8-10	6.0%																							6.0
7-11	9.0%																							9.0
6-12	11.4%																							11.4
5-13	13.4%																							13.4
4-14	15.6%																							15.6
3-15	14.0%																							14.0
2-16	11.4%																							11.4
1-17	7.4%																							7.4
0-18	2.8%																							2.8

Total	100%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	11.4												0.0	0.0					99.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%