Ivy League
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
82 Princeton 40.1%   12   19 - 3 9 - 2 21 - 4 11 - 3 +6.9      +5.3 55 +1.6 128 62.1 338 +11.3 45 +8.1 2
90 Yale 33.3%   16 - 8 9 - 2 19 - 8 12 - 2 +6.2      +3.4 97 +2.9 96 63.9 307 +6.0 96 +9.3 1
116 Cornell 18.6%   18 - 5 9 - 2 20 - 6 11 - 3 +3.8      +4.5 74 -0.7 190 76.4 25 +7.5 81 +7.2 3
212 Harvard 2.4%   13 - 10 5 - 6 14 - 12 6 - 8 -2.9      -2.8 251 -0.2 173 67.9 201 +1.2 146 -1.9 5
214 Penn 2.4%   8 - 16 2 - 9 9 - 18 3 - 11 -3.0      +1.0 147 -4.0 297 64.1 300 -5.8 271 -11.1 7
221 Brown 2.2%   8 - 17 5 - 6 10 - 18 7 - 7 -3.2      -2.3 241 -0.8 199 67.7 209 -5.2 261 -0.9 4
234 Columbia 1.9%   10 - 11 4 - 7 11 - 13 5 - 9 -3.6      0.0 179 -3.6 280 70.4 123 -4.2 247 -5.5 6
333 Dartmouth 0.1%   3 - 19 1 - 10 3 - 22 1 - 13 -11.1      -8.5 347 -2.5 244 63.6 317 -12.3 339 -13.3 8






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Princeton 1.6 56.3 27.7 16.0
Yale 1.2 83.7 15.2 1.1
Cornell 2.4 18.5 24.3 57.3
Harvard 4.6 47.6 48.8 3.7
Penn 6.8 1.6 21.0 76.2 1.3
Brown 4.3 70.7 27.9 1.4
Columbia 5.7 4.2 22.6 69.3 3.8
Dartmouth 7.9 0.1 10.8 89.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Princeton 11 - 3 1.0 11.1 39.4 48.5
Yale 12 - 2 0.1 2.3 22.7 75.0
Cornell 11 - 3 9.6 34.9 42.3 13.2
Harvard 6 - 8 17.5 48.2 30.5 3.8
Penn 3 - 11 18.6 44.7 30.1 6.6
Brown 7 - 7 6.0 37.8 49.6 6.6
Columbia 5 - 9 38.6 43.6 16.1 1.7
Dartmouth 1 - 13 56.7 36.9 6.2 0.2




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Princeton 56.3% 12.4 40.2 3.7
Yale 83.7% 29.3 50.7 3.7
Cornell 18.5% 3.5 11.3 3.7
Harvard
Penn
Brown
Columbia
Dartmouth


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Princeton 40.1% 39.4% 0.7% 12   0.0 0.5 18.5 19.6 1.4 0.0 59.9 1.2%
Yale 33.3% 33.3% 0.0% 0.0 6.9 19.8 6.3 0.3 66.7 0.0%
Cornell 18.6% 18.6% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 8.9 7.4 0.9 0.0 81.4 0.0%
Harvard 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.5 97.6 0.0%
Penn 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 2.3 97.6 0.0%
Brown 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%
Columbia 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.6 98.1 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Princeton 40.1% 0.7% 39.7% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 33.3% 0.0% 33.3% 7.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 18.6% 0.0% 18.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 2.4% 0.1% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.4% 2.2% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 2.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 1.9% 1.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.3 0.7
1st Round 97.9% 1.0 2.1 97.6 0.3
2nd Round 20.4% 0.2 79.6 20.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 4.6% 0.0 95.4 4.6
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0