Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
85 Yale 53.4%   12   21 - 5 11 - 3 +6.8      +6.4 55 +0.4 157 63.5 314 +7.8 75 +5.0 1
146 Harvard 17.2%   16 - 11 10 - 4 +0.6      -1.6 211 +2.2 114 60.4 355 +0.1 155 +3.9 2
149 Penn 16.0%   15 - 11 9 - 5 +0.5      -1.3 200 +1.8 125 72.0 87 +1.3 135 +1.8 3
154 Cornell 13.5%   13 - 12 8 - 6 +0.4      +6.9 51 -6.5 340 78.1 10 -0.9 176 -0.1 4
200 Columbia 0.0%   14 - 12 5 - 9 -2.1      -0.9 189 -1.1 210 67.6 202 -1.6 190 -5.3 7
237 Princeton 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 9 -4.6      -2.2 229 -2.4 250 61.5 343 -6.9 276 -4.9 6
278 Dartmouth 0.0%   9 - 16 5 - 9 -6.8      -3.4 264 -3.4 278 72.8 66 -5.8 252 -4.5 5
291 Brown 0.0%   7 - 18 3 - 11 -7.5      -7.8 344 +0.3 166 66.7 225 -9.4 312 -8.7 8


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 14 146 Harvard 69 149 Penn 68 51%   
Sat, Mar 14 154 Cornell 83 85 Yale 89 73%   





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 2.0 100.0
Penn 3.0 100.0
Cornell 4.0 100.0
Princeton 5.0 100.0
Dartmouth 5.0 100.0
Columbia 5.0 100.0
Brown 8.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 22 - 5 100.0
Harvard 10 - 4 17 - 11 100.0
Penn 9 - 5 15 - 12 100.0
Cornell 8 - 6 13 - 13 100.0
Princeton 5 - 9 8 - 20 100.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 9 - 16 100.0
Columbia 5 - 9 14 - 12 100.0
Brown 3 - 11 7 - 18 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0
Harvard
Penn
Cornell
Princeton
Dartmouth
Columbia
Brown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 53.4% 53.4% 0.0% 12   0.0 6.8 40.3 6.3 0.0 46.6 0.0%
Harvard 17.2% 17.2% 0.0% 0.3 7.0 9.6 0.3 82.8 0.0%
Penn 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 0.3 5.3 10.1 0.4 84.0 0.0%
Cornell 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 0.0 1.2 9.3 3.0 0.0 86.5 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Yale 53.4% 0.0% 53.4% 7.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 17.2% 0.0% 17.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 16.0% 0.0% 16.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 13.5% 0.0% 13.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%