Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
107 Yale 31.7%   14   3 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 10 10 - 4 +4.0      +4.9 62 -0.9 201 69.0 179 -3.4 224 0.0 1
108 Princeton 30.3%   6 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 9 10 - 4 +3.9      +4.4 70 -0.6 188 68.0 211 +4.2 108 0.0 1
149 Cornell 14.5%   4 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 10 8 - 6 +0.6      +2.3 112 -1.7 226 77.1 24 +0.5 165 0.0 1
164 Brown 10.4%   6 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 12 8 - 6 -0.6      +0.6 157 -1.2 209 64.1 312 -2.6 207 0.0 1
192 Columbia 8.3%   8 - 1 0 - 0 16 - 9 7 - 7 -1.4      +2.2 115 -3.6 291 70.3 146 +8.4 78 0.0 1
241 Harvard 3.2%   2 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 17 6 - 8 -4.3      -3.7 275 -0.6 186 68.5 195 -9.2 316 0.0 1
279 Penn 1.2%   3 - 5 0 - 0 9 - 18 5 - 9 -6.4      -0.1 174 -6.3 348 64.4 304 -8.2 296 0.0 1
319 Dartmouth 0.5%   3 - 3 0 - 0 8 - 17 4 - 10 -8.9      -5.7 326 -3.2 282 71.6 109 -4.5 242 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 2.2 42.7 25.1 14.8 8.8 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.2
Princeton 2.3 39.5 25.1 16.2 9.5 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.3
Cornell 3.3 17.9 19.7 19.9 16.2 12.4 7.8 4.4 1.7
Brown 3.8 12.1 15.6 18.7 18.9 15.8 10.6 6.0 2.3
Columbia 4.1 8.7 13.4 16.8 18.4 17.2 13.8 8.1 3.6
Harvard 5.3 2.9 5.5 10.0 14.1 17.9 21.5 17.7 10.4
Penn 6.0 1.1 2.9 5.4 8.8 14.1 20.3 26.5 20.9
Dartmouth 6.7 0.5 1.2 2.5 5.2 8.9 15.2 25.6 40.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 7.3 11.5 15.8 18.5 17.7 13.2 6.8 2.2
Princeton 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.6 7.9 12.2 16.3 18.6 16.7 12.4 6.1 1.6
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 7.1 10.6 14.5 16.7 15.7 13.5 9.0 4.8 1.6 0.3
Brown 8 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.5 9.6 13.6 16.6 16.8 14.3 10.2 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
Columbia 7 - 7 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.4 11.7 15.4 16.5 15.9 12.2 8.6 4.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
Harvard 6 - 8 0.4 1.9 5.2 9.8 14.6 17.1 16.7 13.9 10.2 5.6 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 1.2 4.9 10.8 15.8 18.1 16.9 13.8 8.9 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 4.5 11.5 17.4 19.6 16.9 12.8 8.4 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 42.7% 29.2 10.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Princeton 39.5% 26.7 10.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Cornell 17.9% 10.2 5.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Brown 12.1% 6.4 4.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 8.7% 4.3 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Harvard 2.9% 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 1.1% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 31.7% 31.7% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 6.3 10.9 8.3 4.4 0.7 68.3 0.0%
Princeton 30.3% 30.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2 11.7 11.5 4.8 0.9 0.0 69.7 0.0%
Cornell 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.8 4.8 2.3 0.3 85.5 0.0%
Brown 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.7 3.0 0.4 89.6 0.0%
Columbia 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 3.3 2.7 0.8 0.0 91.7 0.0%
Harvard 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 96.8 0.0%
Penn 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 98.8 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 31.7% 0.2% 31.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 30.3% 0.0% 30.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 14.5% 0.1% 14.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 10.4% 0.1% 10.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 8.3% 0.0% 8.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 3.2% 1.5% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 1.2% 0.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 99.1% 1.0 0.9 99.0 0.0
2nd Round 11.8% 0.1 88.2 11.8
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0