Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
71 Yale 57.0%   12   6 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.9      +8.7 22 -0.8 192 66.9 261 +10.9 57 0.0 1
133 Columbia 17.4%   6 - 1 0 - 0 18 - 8 9 - 5 +1.9      +1.8 123 +0.1 163 70.2 168 +13.2 39 0.0 1
162 Cornell 8.9%   3 - 2 0 - 0 13 - 12 7 - 7 -0.8      +1.6 128 -2.4 245 79.6 17 +0.5 159 0.0 1
178 Harvard 7.1%   3 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 14 7 - 7 -1.4      -0.4 170 -1.1 201 64.8 304 -4.5 235 0.0 1
208 Penn 4.6%   3 - 2 0 - 0 12 - 13 6 - 8 -3.1      -0.1 163 -3.0 273 73.2 94 +0.4 164 0.0 1
238 Princeton 2.4%   2 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 8 -4.5      -2.9 249 -1.6 214 68.1 229 -6.0 260 0.0 1
250 Brown 2.1%   3 - 5 0 - 0 9 - 17 5 - 9 -5.0      -6.1 332 +1.1 133 65.3 295 -8.7 298 0.0 1
301 Dartmouth 0.9%   0 - 3 0 - 0 7 - 18 4 - 10 -7.7      -4.8 304 -2.9 270 76.6 38 -19.8 360 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Nov 25 238 Princeton 75 147 Temple 79   
Wed, Nov 26 127 Boston College 73 178 Harvard 60   
Wed, Nov 26 238 Princeton 74 169 Vermont 79   
Wed, Nov 26 250 Brown 59 354 New Hampshire 47   
Wed, Nov 26 133 Columbia 106 287 Fairfield 77   
Fri, Nov 28 264 Merrimack 65 208 Penn 77   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Nov 29 219 La Salle 73 208 Penn 77 63%   
Sat, Nov 29 301 Dartmouth 70 293 St. Peter's 73 63%   
Sat, Nov 29 306 Bryant 65 178 Harvard 75 82%   
Sun, Nov 30 157 Hofstra 73 208 Penn 74 51%   
Sun, Nov 30 169 Vermont 74 71 Yale 80 72%   
Sun, Nov 30 238 Princeton 73 180 Saint Joseph's 76 61%   
Sun, Nov 30 283 Bucknell 78 162 Cornell 81 61%   
Tue, Dec 2 162 Cornell 71 73 George Mason 82 86%   
Tue, Dec 2 250 Brown 62 106 Rhode Island 74 87%   
Wed, Dec 3 178 Harvard 72 177 Massachusetts 75 62%   
Wed, Dec 3 133 Columbia 75 157 Hofstra 69 70%   
Wed, Dec 3 162 Cornell 71 129 Towson 77 71%   
Wed, Dec 3 200 Monmouth 74 238 Princeton 68 69%   
Wed, Dec 3 301 Dartmouth 77 354 New Hampshire 69 78%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.0 16.2 5.3 2.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Columbia 2.9 19.0 32.2 20.4 12.9 7.9 4.3 2.4 1.0
Cornell 3.8 9.3 19.9 20.4 17.2 13.4 10.0 6.5 3.4
Harvard 4.0 6.6 17.1 19.7 18.3 15.1 11.5 7.8 4.0
Penn 4.7 4.0 10.9 15.1 16.7 16.8 15.3 12.6 8.5
Princeton 5.3 1.8 6.7 11.1 14.5 17.2 18.4 17.6 12.7
Brown 5.4 1.5 5.9 9.6 13.7 16.8 18.6 19.2 14.7
Dartmouth 6.3 0.7 2.8 5.0 7.8 11.4 15.3 22.1 34.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 3.6 7.3 13.0 19.0 23.3 20.7 10.5
Columbia 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.4 7.8 12.1 15.5 17.6 16.1 12.4 7.3 3.0 0.5
Cornell 7 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 6.1 9.8 13.6 15.6 15.8 14.0 10.2 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.7 7.3 11.5 15.0 16.3 15.6 12.7 8.8 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
Penn 6 - 8 0.3 1.4 3.7 7.3 11.0 14.7 16.1 15.0 12.5 9.0 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
Princeton 6 - 8 0.4 2.2 6.1 10.2 15.0 17.1 16.3 13.4 9.4 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Brown 5 - 9 0.6 2.8 6.7 11.8 15.9 17.1 16.2 12.5 8.2 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 3.2 9.2 14.5 16.9 16.9 14.3 10.7 6.7 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.0% 61.9 11.3 1.6 0.2 0.0
Columbia 19.0% 11.0 6.5 1.2 0.2 0.0
Cornell 9.3% 4.8 3.5 0.9 0.1
Harvard 6.6% 3.1 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
Penn 4.0% 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Princeton 1.8% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Brown 1.5% 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 57.0% 56.7% 0.3% 12   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 13.8 28.6 10.4 1.3 0.1 43.0 0.7%
Columbia 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.9 7.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 82.6 0.0%
Cornell 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.7 1.8 0.4 91.1 0.0%
Harvard 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 2.3 0.9 92.9 0.0%
Penn 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.4 95.4 0.0%
Princeton 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 97.6 0.0%
Brown 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 97.9 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 99.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 57.0% 0.2% 56.9% 13.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 17.4% 0.0% 17.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 8.9% 0.1% 8.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 7.1% 0.4% 6.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 4.6% 0.1% 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 2.4% 0.8% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 2.1% 0.7% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.9% 0.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3
1st Round 99.1% 1.0 0.9 98.9 0.2
2nd Round 16.6% 0.2 83.4 16.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0