Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
78 Yale 57.1%   12   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.4      +8.9 21 -1.5 215 66.5 262 +12.2 47 0.0 1
136 Columbia 17.1%   8 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 8 9 - 5 +1.5      +1.0 138 +0.5 149 70.6 159 +5.1 103 0.0 1
158 Cornell 11.2%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 -0.1      +4.3 76 -4.4 321 80.6 10 -1.6 193 0.0 1
200 Harvard 4.9%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 7 -2.7      -1.5 210 -1.2 206 64.4 312 -5.3 247 0.0 1
209 Brown 4.2%   4 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 16 6 - 8 -3.3      -5.4 312 +2.1 106 65.3 292 -7.2 278 0.0 1
250 Princeton 1.9%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5.2      -4.4 289 -0.8 194 67.0 247 -10.8 316 0.0 1
252 Penn 2.1%   5 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -5.2      -1.2 199 -4.0 308 72.3 115 -0.5 179 0.0 1
264 Dartmouth 1.8%   2 - 5 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -5.6      -3.1 250 -2.5 250 75.2 44 -9.4 304 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 9 209 Brown 79 76 Providence 86   
Tue, Dec 9 136 Columbia 73 207 Stony Brook 77   
Tue, Dec 9 69 Colorado St. 76 264 Dartmouth 55   
Wed, Dec 10 268 Merrimack 59 250 Princeton 56   
Wed, Dec 10 327 Albany 82 78 Yale 93   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 13 278 Boston University 73 264 Dartmouth 76 64%   
Tue, Dec 16 264 Dartmouth 73 288 Holy Cross 75 56%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.4 16.1 5.1 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Columbia 2.9 18.7 32.7 20.7 12.4 7.4 4.5 2.6 1.1
Cornell 3.4 11.8 24.5 22.2 16.0 11.1 7.4 4.6 2.4
Harvard 4.5 4.2 13.0 17.2 18.1 16.2 13.9 10.3 7.2
Brown 4.8 3.1 10.5 15.3 17.0 17.1 15.3 12.7 9.1
Princeton 5.6 1.3 5.2 9.3 13.0 16.0 18.6 19.1 17.5
Penn 5.5 1.5 5.6 9.9 13.2 15.4 17.0 18.6 18.8
Dartmouth 5.7 1.3 5.0 8.8 12.3 15.0 17.4 19.0 21.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 7.8 13.8 20.0 23.2 19.3 9.3
Columbia 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.6 8.1 12.6 16.2 17.7 16.4 11.8 6.4 2.3 0.5
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.4 7.7 11.9 15.7 16.9 16.1 12.2 7.5 3.5 1.1 0.2
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.4 10.0 14.2 16.6 17.0 14.1 10.0 5.6 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
Brown 6 - 8 0.2 0.9 3.2 7.3 12.0 15.4 17.6 15.7 12.6 8.1 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.5 2.7 6.8 12.2 17.2 18.2 16.1 12.0 7.7 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.7 3.0 7.6 12.2 16.2 17.2 15.6 12.1 8.1 4.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 0.9 3.6 8.6 12.9 16.8 17.4 14.9 11.2 7.1 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.4% 62.9 10.7 1.5 0.2 0.0
Columbia 18.7% 10.7 6.6 1.3 0.2 0.0
Cornell 11.8% 6.4 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.0
Harvard 4.2% 1.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
Brown 3.1% 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Princeton 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Penn 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 57.1% 56.9% 0.2% 12   0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 12.4 32.2 9.6 1.0 0.0 42.9 0.5%
Columbia 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.2 5.2 1.2 0.0 82.9 0.0%
Cornell 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.8 3.4 0.6 88.8 0.0%
Harvard 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 1.2 95.2 0.0%
Brown 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.0 95.8 0.0%
Princeton 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 98.1 0.0%
Penn 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.4 97.9 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 98.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 57.1% 0.2% 57.0% 12.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 17.1% 0.0% 17.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 11.2% 0.2% 11.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 4.9% 0.6% 4.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 4.2% 1.3% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 1.9% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.1% 0.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.8% 0.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 98.4% 1.0 1.6 98.3 0.1
2nd Round 14.1% 0.1 86.0 14.1
Sweet Sixteen 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0