Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
71 Yale 65.5%   12   13 - 3 4 - 1 +7.9      +7.7 39 +0.2 159 65.9 261 +9.2 65 +5.4 1
170 Columbia 7.7%   11 - 6 2 - 3 -0.8      +0.3 150 -1.1 212 70.3 139 +1.5 141 -2.1 5
174 Cornell 6.0%   7 - 9 2 - 3 -1.2      +6.1 56 -7.3 352 80.5 7 -2.3 210 -3.4 7
177 Harvard 7.0%   9 - 9 3 - 2 -1.4      -0.6 183 -0.8 195 61.6 348 -3.0 217 -1.9 4
194 Penn 5.3%   8 - 9 2 - 3 -2.1      -0.5 180 -1.6 227 71.7 101 -1.2 186 -3.0 6
212 Princeton 4.9%   6 - 13 3 - 2 -3.1      -2.8 247 -0.3 176 64.8 286 -6.0 259 +0.8 2
237 Dartmouth 3.1%   7 - 9 3 - 2 -4.2      -2.1 227 -2.2 244 74.4 47 -4.3 230 0.0 3
264 Brown 0.4%   5 - 11 1 - 4 -5.8      -7.4 343 +1.6 119 65.5 269 -8.5 304 -8.2 8


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Jan 30 170 Columbia 80 194 Penn 76 66%   
Fri, Jan 30 174 Cornell 85 212 Princeton 80 68%   
Fri, Jan 30 264 Brown 64 177 Harvard 65 55%   
Fri, Jan 30 237 Dartmouth 71 71 Yale 87 91%   
Sat, Jan 31 174 Cornell 91 194 Penn 88 65%   
Sat, Jan 31 170 Columbia 75 212 Princeton 69 70%   
Sat, Jan 31 177 Harvard 66 71 Yale 78 87%   
Sat, Jan 31 264 Brown 71 237 Dartmouth 70 56%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.1 95.2 3.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Columbia 3.8 3.1 29.2 20.2 15.2 13.1 9.5 7.3 2.5
Cornell 4.2 2.2 22.0 18.8 16.3 14.1 12.2 10.4 3.9
Harvard 3.9 3.7 24.1 20.9 17.1 13.8 10.6 7.1 2.9
Penn 4.5 1.3 17.3 17.2 16.0 15.3 14.2 13.4 5.3
Princeton 4.1 2.1 23.2 18.9 16.2 15.1 12.0 9.7 2.9
Dartmouth 4.7 1.5 13.5 15.6 16.6 17.3 15.8 12.9 6.8
Brown 6.9 0.0 1.4 3.0 5.2 7.6 11.9 20.2 50.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 21 - 5 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.9 13.2 25.6 32.9 21.8
Columbia 7 - 7 16 - 10 0.1 0.9 4.2 10.6 19.0 23.5 22.1 13.5 5.2 0.9
Cornell 7 - 7 12 - 13 0.3 1.8 6.3 14.1 21.2 23.9 18.3 9.8 3.7 0.6
Harvard 7 - 7 13 - 14 0.9 4.1 12.0 20.6 24.3 20.6 11.8 4.6 1.1 0.1
Penn 6 - 8 12 - 14 0.4 2.7 8.3 17.5 23.0 22.9 15.8 7.2 1.9 0.2
Princeton 7 - 7 10 - 18 1.2 5.5 14.1 21.9 23.6 18.7 10.3 4.0 0.7 0.1
Dartmouth 6 - 8 10 - 15 2.4 9.4 19.4 25.2 21.8 13.4 6.3 1.7 0.3 0.0
Brown 4 - 10 8 - 17 3.0 11.8 22.1 24.9 20.6 11.5 4.7 1.2 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 95.2% 88.0 6.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 3.1% 0.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cornell 2.2% 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Harvard 3.7% 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 1.3% 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Princeton 2.1% 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.5% 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brown 0.0% 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 65.5% 65.5% 0.0% 12   0.1 0.4 15.7 39.4 9.3 0.6 34.5 0.1%
Columbia 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.8 1.1 0.0 92.3 0.0%
Cornell 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.2 0.7 2.0 2.9 0.3 94.0 0.0%
Harvard 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 2.1 3.8 0.6 93.0 0.0%
Penn 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.7 0.2 94.7 0.0%
Princeton 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.4 95.1 0.0%
Dartmouth 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 96.9 0.0%
Brown 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 98.6% 1.0 1.4 98.6 0.0
2nd Round 12.6% 0.1 87.5 12.6
Sweet Sixteen 2.3% 0.0 97.7 2.3
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 65.5% 0.0% 65.5% 11.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 7.7% 0.0% 7.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 6.0% 0.0% 6.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 7.0% 0.1% 7.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 5.3% 0.0% 5.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 4.9% 3.6% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 3.1% 0.6% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%