Dartmouth
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#230
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#84
Pace65.2#277
Improvement-0.3#199

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#298
First Shot-2.3#244
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#306
Layup/Dunks-4.3#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.5#4
Freethrows-3.6#343
Improvement-1.3#304

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#126
First Shot+3.9#63
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#313
Layups/Dunks-1.4#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#157
Freethrows+3.2#19
Improvement+1.0#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 8.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 31.9% 54.5% 27.9%
.500 or above in Conference 42.1% 55.7% 39.6%
Conference Champion 6.5% 10.9% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 7.0% 13.5%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round4.7% 8.0% 4.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 15.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 46 - 311 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 125   @ Boston College L 57-73 20%     0 - 1 -10.3 -7.5 -4.4
  Nov 13, 2021 128   @ Georgetown W 69-60 20%     1 - 1 +14.5 -2.1 +16.5
  Nov 28, 2021 236   @ Bryant W 63-61 OT 40%     2 - 1 +1.2 -11.7 +12.8
  Dec 01, 2021 104   @ Vermont L 55-66 15%    
  Dec 04, 2021 192   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 08, 2021 294   Quinnipiac W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 11, 2021 144   Boston University L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 16, 2021 95   @ Stanford L 60-72 14%    
  Dec 19, 2021 122   @ California L 56-65 20%    
  Dec 21, 2021 206   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 59-63 35%    
  Dec 29, 2021 195   New Hampshire W 62-61 54%    
  Jan 02, 2022 185   @ Cornell L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 07, 2022 121   Yale L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 08, 2022 216   Brown W 63-61 56%    
  Jan 15, 2022 189   @ Penn L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 17, 2022 131   Harvard L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 151   Princeton L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 333   @ Columbia W 69-64 69%    
  Feb 04, 2022 121   @ Yale L 62-71 21%    
  Feb 05, 2022 216   @ Brown L 60-64 36%    
  Feb 12, 2022 151   @ Princeton L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 18, 2022 185   Cornell W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 19, 2022 333   Columbia W 72-61 83%    
  Feb 26, 2022 189   Penn W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 131   @ Harvard L 61-70 24%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.9 2.7 0.8 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.0 2.7 0.3 10.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.4 3.7 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 7.1 4.9 0.4 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.6 5.8 0.6 18.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 6.2 7.3 4.6 0.7 20.7 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.0 7.4 8th
Total 0.3 1.9 4.7 8.3 11.4 15.9 15.4 13.7 11.4 7.5 5.2 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
12-2 96.5% 1.2    0.9 0.3
11-3 70.3% 1.8    1.1 0.7 0.0
10-4 43.1% 2.2    0.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
9-5 10.7% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.1 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 100.0% 100.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
12-2 1.2% 89.4% 89.4% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1
11-3 2.5% 60.4% 60.4% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.0
10-4 5.2% 24.6% 24.6% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 3.9
9-5 7.5% 4.4% 4.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 7.2
8-6 11.4% 11.4
7-7 13.7% 13.7
6-8 15.4% 15.4
5-9 15.9% 15.9
4-10 11.4% 11.4
3-11 8.3% 8.3
2-12 4.7% 4.7
1-13 1.9% 1.9
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.5 0.3 95.3 0.0%