Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.0 81
Expected Predictive Rating +6.9 78
Pace 65.2 271
Improvement -2.3 276

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #43 B+ B B- B- C+
Defense C #194 C C+ D+ C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 64 57% 185 +2.4 104
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 194 46% 24 +1.2 109
Three Pointers 37% 260 42% 2 +2.8 84
1st FG Attempt 1.15 33 +6.4 35
Second Chance 33.3% 97 1.19 28 0.39 42
Turnovers 15.0% 67
Freethrows 0.32 144 77% 20 0.25 92
Total Offense +7.7 43

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 288 60% 249 +1.2 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 185 40% 250 -0.3 211
Three Pointers 45% 69 34% 172 -1.8 269
1st FG Attempt 1.04 208 -0.9 208
Second Chance 29.8% 150 1.00 132 0.30 135
Turnovers 14.9% 304
Freethrows 0.28 110 71% 125 0.20 103
Total Defense -0.7 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.4 128 -0.2 128
Shot Type Accuracy +5.8 30 +1.1 226
Possession Length 17.7 224 17.9 287
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 317 0.16 138
Improvement -3.9 #343 +1.6 #104

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.2% 62.2% 56.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
Conference Champion 83.4% 84.2% 79.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round61.2% 62.2% 56.2%
Second Round9.8% 10.3% 7.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.7% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Away) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 310 - 411 - 5
Quad 410 - 122 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 180 @Navy W 97 - 68 69% +14  78% 1 - 0 +31 A+ +18 A- A+ A- A- +10 C B+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 184 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 70% +18  78% 2 - 0 +38 A+ +21 A+ A+ C- A+ +16 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 221 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 89% +7  91% 3 - 0 +1 A+ +17 A+ B C F -16 F D- C+
 Tue, Nov 18 114 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 75% -0  45% 3 - 1 -9 B +8 C- A+ B- F -17 F D+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 251 Green Bay W 73 - 67 87% +6  94% 4 - 1 +1 C +1 C B- C- C +1 A F D
 Sun, Nov 23 148 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 73% +9  99% 5 - 1 +11 B- +5 A- D+ B- B+ +8 B A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 66 Akron W 97 - 94 44% +6  91% 6 - 1 +11 A+ +28 A+ B+ A+ F -16 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 228 @Vermont W 77 - 74 77% +3  66% 7 - 1 +2 B+ +9 C C+ A+ D -7 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 135 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 79% +4  58% 8 - 1 +13 A- +11 D A+ A+ C+ +2 A- A- F
 Wed, Dec 10 315 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 +2 B+ +9 B- D C+ D -8 F A F
 Mon, Dec 29 23 @Alabama L 78 - 102 12% -19  1% 9 - 2 -4 A- +10 C A+ B F -15 C F+ F
 Mon, Jan 5 281 @Brown W 70 - 53 84% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 +13 C- -2 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 217 @Princeton L 60 - 76 75% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 -16 F+ -9 F B B- D -8 F D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 176 Cornell W 102 - 68 85% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 +30 A+ +17 A B+ A+ A +13 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 186 Columbia W 91 - 74 86% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 +12 A+ +21 A+ A+ C+ D -7 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 187 @Penn W 77 - 60 70% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 +18 B +7 C B F+ A +13 B B+ C-
 Fri, Jan 30 225 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 89% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 +8 A- +11 A+ C D+ C -1 C B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 162 Harvard L 65 - 67 83% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 -5 C +0 C D+ A+ D -6 D A- F+
 Fri, Feb 6 281 Brown W 81 - 69 93% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 +2 A- +11 A+ F C+ D- -8 D+ C F
 Mon, Feb 9 273 @Howard W 79 - 69 83%
 Fri, Feb 13 225 @Dartmouth W 83 - 75 77%
 Sat, Feb 14 162 @Harvard W 74 - 70 65%
 Sat, Feb 21 187 Penn W 83 - 71 86%
 Fri, Feb 27 176 @Cornell W 90 - 85 69%
 Sat, Feb 28 186 @Columbia W 80 - 74 69%
 Sat, Mar 7 217 Princeton W 78 - 65 89%
Totals 20 - 6 11 - 3 +7 B+ +8 B+ B B- C -1 C C+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C B+ A+ B+ 43% 20% 37% C+ B+ C+ B+ B B- C+ B+ B- C C- C- C C- 35% 20% 45% C+ C C C+ C+ D+ C+ C+ C+
1.20 57% 46% 42% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.2 .39 15% .32 77% .25 1.10 60% 40% 34% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 15% .28 71% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C D A+ A- 39% 16% 45% A- A- B- A+ A+ A- A A- A+ A- F B+ A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C A+ D B+ A+ F C- F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% C+ A+ A+ A A+ C- D A- C- A+ F+ A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C B D B C A+ A- B+ A-
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- C- A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C A+ A- C B C A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F D- C+ F+ C D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B D+ B+ D D+ 52% 15% 33% B C- A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A- F F F 46% 14% 40% D+ F F+ C+ D+ D C C- C-
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C D- A+ B+ C 41% 26% 33% C- C C- A- B- C- B- C+ B- C A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B- A F F F D F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B- D B A+ A- 39% 29% 33% C A- C- D+ D+ B- A- F B- B+ C+ A+ A B+ 42% 17% 42% D B C+ A+ A+ D F+ A- C-
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ B B+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C F C- F F C+ A A A
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont B+ C+ B C- C 44% 25% 31% C C D+ A C+ A+ B- B B D F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C F F+ A C B- F D F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +11 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A- D- F A- D 35% 27% 38% D D C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ B+ F+ A 37% 27% 37% B A- C A+ A- F B- F D+
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B+ C+ F B- C 60% 10% 31% A B- B- F D C+ A+ C A+ D C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B- F A+ F A F D A+ B
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A- B+ C 40% 21% 40% B C A- A+ A+ B A+ A- A+ F B- D D C 23% 3% 73% C C F B- F+ F A- C+ A-
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown C- C- A+ C- C+ 47% 19% 34% B- C+ C- A+ B- F+ B- F D+ A+ A A- A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C- A+ C+ A B D+ B+ A+ A-
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F+ F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% D- F B- B B B- D+ F F+ D D- D+ F+ F 26% 16% 58% C+ F D- C+ D+ C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +8 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C- A D A+ B+ A+ D D D- A A- A+ A A+ 25% 7% 68% B- A+ B A+ A+ F B C B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C+ C A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A D F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A- B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B C F A+ C- 56% 19% 25% B C A C- B F+ B A+ A+ A A F B+ B+ 29% 24% 47% C B A- B B+ C- C A B-
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ D+ B+ C D+ F A+ D C C D- C- C 33% 16% 51% C C C- A+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard C F A A+ C 48% 13% 40% B- C D+ D+ D+ A+ D- A D+ D D- C+ F D- 36% 26% 38% A- D B- A+ A- F+ F C- F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A- D- C A+ C- D+ 44% 11% 44% D D+ A+ F C F A- F B-
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -4 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 5.4 23.0 34.2 20.8 83.4 1st
2nd 1.5 6.8 4.5 0.6 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 0.6 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.0 0.6 3.6 12.7 27.5 34.8 20.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 20.8    20.8
11-3 98.3% 34.2    29.9 4.2
10-4 83.5% 23.0    14.1 8.6 0.4
9-5 42.5% 5.4    0.9 2.3 1.9 0.3
8-6 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 83.4% 83.4 65.7 15.1 2.3 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 20.8% 68.6% 68.6% 11.7 0.0 5.1 8.6 0.6 0.0 6.5
11-3 34.8% 64.3% 64.3% 12.1 1.9 17.5 2.9 0.1 12.4
10-4 27.5% 58.0% 58.0% 12.3 0.3 11.4 4.1 0.2 11.6
9-5 12.7% 54.5% 54.5% 12.4 0.1 3.9 2.8 0.2 5.8
8-6 3.6% 46.4% 46.4% 12.7 0.7 0.9 0.1 2.0
7-7 0.6% 8.3% 8.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
6-8 0.0% 0.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 61.2% 61.2% 0.0% 12.1 38.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 12.3% 100.0% 11.6 0.2 38.6 59.0 2.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%