Columbia
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#135
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#98
Pace70.8#152
Improvement+0.5#149

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#143
First Shot+0.0#171
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#121
Layup/Dunks+1.7#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#107
Freethrows-3.6#343
Improvement+0.2#153

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#138
First Shot-0.5#190
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#97
Layups/Dunks-3.4#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#73
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+0.2#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 20.3% 16.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.7 13.3
.500 or above 98.4% 99.7% 98.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.9% 88.3% 81.4%
Conference Champion 19.1% 24.5% 17.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.7% 3.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round17.1% 20.3% 16.2%
Second Round1.4% 2.0% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 34 - 34 - 7
Quad 414 - 218 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 337 @New Haven W 71-53 81%     1 - 0 +10.2 +1.4 +10.0
  Mon, Nov 10 6 @Connecticut L 62-89 3%     1 - 1 -2.9 +4.8 -9.1
  Thu, Nov 13 301 Umass Lowell W 86-72 87%     2 - 1 +3.5 +8.5 -4.9
  Tue, Nov 18 287 Boston University W 54-49 86%     3 - 1 -4.8 -17.8 +13.8
  Fri, Nov 21 307 @Lehigh W 82-67 75%     4 - 1 +9.7 +8.9 +1.1
  Sun, Nov 23 308 Longwood W 95-70 88%     5 - 1 +13.7 +12.4 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 26 298 @Fairfield W 106-77 72%     6 - 1 +24.6 +29.4 -5.3
  Wed, Dec 3 114 Hofstra W 72-70 55%     7 - 1 +2.3 +3.9 -1.5
  Sat, Dec 6 328 Albany W 93-65 91%     8 - 1 +14.9 +14.5 +0.9
  Tue, Dec 9 198 @Stony Brook L 73-77 OT 55%     8 - 2 -3.5 -8.1 +5.0
  Sun, Dec 21 81 @California L 70-79 21%    
  Sun, Dec 28 342 @North Florida W 86-76 83%    
  Mon, Jan 5 163 @Cornell L 84-85 46%    
  Sat, Jan 10 200 Harvard W 75-68 75%    
  Sat, Jan 17 219 @Brown W 70-68 58%    
  Mon, Jan 19 79 @Yale L 74-83 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 208 @Dartmouth W 78-76 56%    
  Fri, Jan 30 256 Penn W 83-73 82%    
  Sat, Jan 31 259 Princeton W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Feb 7 163 Cornell W 87-82 67%    
  Fri, Feb 13 256 @Penn W 80-76 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 259 @Princeton W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 208 Dartmouth W 81-73 75%    
  Fri, Feb 27 219 Brown W 73-65 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 79 Yale L 77-80 41%    
  Sat, Mar 7 200 @Harvard W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.8 6.3 5.3 2.4 0.4 19.1 1st
2nd 0.4 4.2 10.7 10.8 5.0 0.9 31.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.9 9.0 5.6 1.1 0.1 19.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 6.5 3.1 0.4 12.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.5 2.0 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.5 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.1 2.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 8th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.0 8.6 12.8 16.5 17.6 15.7 11.3 6.1 2.4 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 2.4    2.2 0.2
12-2 86.0% 5.3    3.9 1.4 0.0
11-3 55.7% 6.3    3.4 2.7 0.2
10-4 24.0% 3.8    1.1 1.9 0.7 0.0
9-5 5.3% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.1% 19.1 11.1 6.6 1.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 43.9% 43.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 2.4% 39.9% 39.7% 0.1% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.2%
12-2 6.1% 36.1% 36.1% 12.5 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.9
11-3 11.3% 28.7% 28.7% 12.9 0.0 1.0 1.7 0.6 0.0 8.1
10-4 15.7% 23.7% 23.7% 13.2 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.1 0.1 12.0
9-5 17.6% 21.0% 21.0% 13.5 0.3 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 13.9
8-6 16.5% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 14.2
7-7 12.8% 5.9% 5.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 12.1
6-8 8.6% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
5-9 5.0% 5.0
4-10 2.4% 2.4
3-11 0.9% 0.9
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14
Total 100% 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.6 7.2 4.8 1.1 0.0 82.9 0.0%