Columbia
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#333
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#340
Pace69.3#178
Improvement-1.2#272

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#299
First Shot-2.4#245
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#312
Layup/Dunks+0.4#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#155
Freethrows-2.5#313
Improvement-3.0#351

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#340
First Shot-4.4#307
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#312
Layups/Dunks+0.1#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#341
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement+1.7#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 1.7% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 2.3% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 80.7% 74.0% 81.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 91 - 12
Quad 45 - 96 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 246   @ Fordham L 67-77 17%     0 - 1 -11.6 -1.7 -10.1
  Nov 12, 2021 255   Marist L 67-82 36%     0 - 2 -23.1 -1.9 -22.6
  Nov 17, 2021 323   Binghamton W 85-77 OT 52%     1 - 2 -4.3 +0.8 -5.5
  Nov 23, 2021 313   @ Lehigh L 72-79 28%     1 - 3 -12.6 -7.1 -4.9
  Nov 26, 2021 125   @ Boston College L 60-73 6%     1 - 4 -7.3 -5.0 -3.4
  Nov 29, 2021 272   Lafayette L 50-73 40%     1 - 5 -32.1 -25.1 -8.2
  Dec 01, 2021 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 67-80 11%    
  Dec 04, 2021 352   Maine W 68-61 75%    
  Dec 06, 2021 111   @ Colgate L 67-85 4%    
  Dec 11, 2021 298   @ Albany L 66-73 23%    
  Dec 13, 2021 309   Sacred Heart L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 28, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-66 67%    
  Jan 02, 2022 121   @ Yale L 63-81 6%    
  Jan 07, 2022 151   @ Princeton L 64-80 7%    
  Jan 08, 2022 189   @ Penn L 66-79 10%    
  Jan 15, 2022 131   Harvard L 67-78 16%    
  Jan 17, 2022 185   @ Cornell L 71-85 11%    
  Jan 22, 2022 216   Brown L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 29, 2022 230   Dartmouth L 64-69 31%    
  Feb 04, 2022 189   Penn L 69-76 24%    
  Feb 05, 2022 151   Princeton L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 12, 2022 121   Yale L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 18, 2022 131   @ Harvard L 64-81 6%    
  Feb 19, 2022 230   @ Dartmouth L 61-72 17%    
  Feb 26, 2022 216   @ Brown L 62-74 13%    
  Mar 05, 2022 185   Cornell L 74-82 24%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.3 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.9 0.9 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.9 7.0 6.6 1.7 0.1 18.5 7th
8th 14.8 22.5 19.7 10.0 2.6 0.2 69.6 8th
Total 14.8 22.7 22.7 17.3 11.9 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
9-5 5.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0% 0.0
10-4 0.0% 0.0
9-5 0.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-6 0.4% 0.4
7-7 1.2% 1.2
6-8 3.2% 3.2
5-9 5.8% 5.8
4-10 11.9% 11.9
3-11 17.3% 17.3
2-12 22.7% 22.7
1-13 22.7% 22.7
0-14 14.8% 14.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%