Columbia
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#343
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#339
Pace73.0#79
Improvement+0.2#54

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#346
First Shot-5.9#329
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#274
Layup/Dunks-0.4#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#351
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement-0.3#333

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#310
First Shot-6.4#345
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#102
Layups/Dunks-3.7#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#319
Freethrows+2.7#44
Improvement+0.5#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 74.7% 70.8% 77.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 45 - 105 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 29   @ Rutgers L 35-75 1%     0 - 1 -24.4 -27.3 +4.9
  Nov 10, 2022 119   Umass Lowell L 62-89 12%     0 - 2 -26.7 -14.2 -10.5
  Nov 13, 2022 295   @ Sacred Heart L 85-88 22%     0 - 3 -7.4 +0.4 -7.5
  Nov 16, 2022 358   Delaware St. W 70-65 72%     1 - 3 -13.8 -14.6 +0.7
  Nov 18, 2022 262   @ Maine L 70-93 16%     1 - 4 -24.9 -0.2 -26.1
  Nov 23, 2022 346   @ Binghamton L 79-81 40%     1 - 5 -12.0 +0.5 -12.5
  Nov 26, 2022 66   @ Providence L 64-78 3%     1 - 6 -3.3 -6.6 +3.5
  Nov 28, 2022 304   @ Marist L 39-52 24%     1 - 7 -18.1 -29.0 +10.2
  Dec 03, 2022 323   New Hampshire W 56-52 50%     2 - 7 -8.7 -18.7 +10.2
  Dec 06, 2022 233   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-73 28%     2 - 8 -13.6 -12.4 -1.4
  Dec 09, 2022 299   Fairleigh Dickinson L 79-81 43%    
  Dec 12, 2022 269   @ Lafayette L 59-69 16%    
  Dec 28, 2022 353   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-65 65%    
  Dec 31, 2022 84   Yale L 59-75 7%    
  Jan 06, 2023 112   Princeton L 65-78 11%    
  Jan 07, 2023 170   Penn L 69-78 19%    
  Jan 14, 2023 152   @ Harvard L 61-78 7%    
  Jan 16, 2023 149   Cornell L 74-85 16%    
  Jan 21, 2023 223   @ Brown L 61-74 12%    
  Jan 28, 2023 313   @ Dartmouth L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 03, 2023 170   @ Penn L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 04, 2023 112   @ Princeton L 62-81 4%    
  Feb 11, 2023 84   @ Yale L 56-78 2%    
  Feb 17, 2023 152   Harvard L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 18, 2023 313   Dartmouth L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 25, 2023 223   Brown L 64-71 27%    
  Mar 04, 2023 149   @ Cornell L 71-88 7%    
Projected Record 5 - 22 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 3.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 1.8 9.1 11.6 5.7 1.0 0.0 29.2 7th
8th 13.0 24.1 17.1 5.4 0.6 0.0 60.2 8th
Total 13.0 25.9 26.2 18.2 10.0 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
10-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
9-5 17.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0% 0.0
10-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.0% 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.1
7-7 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
6-8 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-9 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-10 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-11 18.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.2
2-12 26.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.2
1-13 25.9% 25.9
0-14 13.0% 13.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%