Columbia
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#136
Expected Predictive Rating+13.2#41
Pace70.9#152
Improvement+2.2#36

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#126
First Shot+1.6#127
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#182
Layup/Dunks+3.7#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#93
Freethrows-3.4#332
Improvement+2.0#39

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#171
First Shot-1.1#210
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#108
Layups/Dunks-4.6#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#154
Freethrows+1.6#97
Improvement+0.2#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.8% 18.5% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.7 13.1
.500 or above 96.7% 98.6% 93.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.8% 84.6% 77.4%
Conference Champion 18.5% 20.6% 15.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 2.5% 4.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round16.8% 18.5% 14.2%
Second Round1.7% 2.0% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 60.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 35 - 7
Quad 414 - 218 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 345 @New Haven W 71-53 83%     1 - 0 +9.5 +1.8 +9.0
  Mon, Nov 10 4 @Connecticut L 62-89 3%     1 - 1 -3.4 +3.9 -8.6
  Thu, Nov 13 313 Umass Lowell W 86-72 89%     2 - 1 +2.6 +7.2 -4.5
  Tue, Nov 18 234 Boston University W 54-49 80%     3 - 1 -2.4 -16.8 +15.3
  Fri, Nov 21 297 @Lehigh W 82-67 73%     4 - 1 +10.4 +9.6 +1.1
  Sun, Nov 23 287 Longwood W 95-70 86%     5 - 1 +15.1 +13.9 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 26 293 @Fairfield W 106-77 72%     6 - 1 +24.7 +28.6 -4.3
  Wed, Dec 3 134 Hofstra W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Dec 6 325 Albany W 82-68 90%    
  Tue, Dec 9 222 @Stony Brook W 74-72 59%    
  Sun, Dec 21 69 @California L 72-81 19%    
  Sun, Dec 28 343 @North Florida W 87-77 82%    
  Mon, Jan 5 143 @Cornell L 83-85 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 187 Harvard W 74-68 72%    
  Sat, Jan 17 250 @Brown W 70-67 63%    
  Mon, Jan 19 72 @Yale L 74-83 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 247 @Dartmouth W 79-76 62%    
  Fri, Jan 30 237 Penn W 82-73 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 235 Princeton W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Feb 7 143 Cornell W 86-82 63%    
  Fri, Feb 13 237 @Penn W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 235 @Princeton W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 247 Dartmouth W 82-73 80%    
  Fri, Feb 27 250 Brown W 73-64 80%    
  Sat, Feb 28 72 Yale L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 187 @Harvard W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 18 - 8 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.3 6.2 5.3 2.5 0.4 18.5 1st
2nd 0.2 3.5 9.4 10.3 5.1 0.9 29.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.6 9.0 6.2 1.5 0.1 20.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.6 6.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.5 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.2 8.8 13.1 16.2 16.8 15.1 11.4 6.2 2.5 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 2.5    2.3 0.2
12-2 85.8% 5.3    3.9 1.4 0.0
11-3 54.6% 6.2    3.1 2.9 0.3
10-4 21.7% 3.3    0.9 1.7 0.6 0.1
9-5 4.2% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 18.5% 18.5 10.7 6.4 1.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 56.6% 55.8% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.8%
13-1 2.5% 44.2% 44.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.2%
12-2 6.2% 36.0% 36.0% 12.3 0.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0
11-3 11.4% 30.1% 30.1% 12.5 0.1 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.0
10-4 15.1% 23.3% 23.3% 12.9 0.0 1.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 11.6
9-5 16.8% 19.9% 19.9% 13.2 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.9 0.1 13.5
8-6 16.2% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 14.0
7-7 13.1% 5.2% 5.2% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4
6-8 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
5-9 5.2% 5.2
4-10 2.7% 2.7
3-11 1.1% 1.1
2-12 0.4% 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.8% 16.8% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 5.6 6.7 3.2 0.5 0.0 83.2 0.0%