Penn
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#184
Pace69.3#177
Improvement+1.6#65

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#171
First Shot-0.1#182
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks+1.1#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#82
Freethrows-2.1#296
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#221
First Shot-0.7#199
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#229
Layups/Dunks-2.6#263
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#134
Freethrows+2.4#44
Improvement+1.6#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 11.0% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 27.2% 48.8% 25.7%
.500 or above in Conference 62.6% 71.6% 61.9%
Conference Champion 9.9% 13.4% 9.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.6% 4.7%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round7.5% 11.0% 7.2%
Second Round0.5% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 34 - 74 - 14
Quad 49 - 213 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 31   @ Florida St. L 70-105 7%     0 - 1 -19.8 -3.4 -11.9
  Nov 12, 2021 115   @ George Mason L 66-87 24%     0 - 2 -14.8 -8.5 -5.0
  Nov 14, 2021 291   @ Bucknell W 73-68 61%     1 - 2 +1.0 -2.2 +3.2
  Nov 16, 2021 272   Lafayette W 85-57 77%     2 - 2 +18.9 +9.6 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2021 46   Utah St. L 79-87 2OT 15%     2 - 3 +1.7 -0.2 +2.9
  Nov 19, 2021 73   Davidson L 60-72 22%     2 - 4 -5.0 -2.3 -4.5
  Nov 21, 2021 228   Old Dominion W 71-63 57%     3 - 4 +4.9 +6.9 -1.0
  Nov 23, 2021 164   @ Towson L 61-76 33%     3 - 5 -11.8 -7.2 -5.5
  Nov 28, 2021 24   @ Arkansas L 60-76 6%     3 - 6 +0.5 -8.2 +9.5
  Dec 01, 2021 6   Villanova L 62-78 7%    
  Dec 04, 2021 150   @ Temple L 69-74 30%    
  Dec 08, 2021 220   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-78 43%    
  Dec 11, 2021 244   @ La Salle W 70-69 49%    
  Dec 28, 2021 163   James Madison W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 02, 2022 216   Brown W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 04, 2022 310   Howard W 83-73 82%    
  Jan 07, 2022 185   Cornell W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 08, 2022 333   Columbia W 79-66 90%    
  Jan 15, 2022 230   Dartmouth W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 17, 2022 151   @ Princeton L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 121   Yale L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 28, 2022 131   @ Harvard L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 04, 2022 333   @ Columbia W 76-69 76%    
  Feb 05, 2022 185   @ Cornell L 76-79 38%    
  Feb 12, 2022 131   Harvard L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 18, 2022 121   @ Yale L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 19, 2022 216   @ Brown L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 26, 2022 230   @ Dartmouth L 66-67 47%    
  Mar 05, 2022 151   Princeton W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 9.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 6.1 4.4 1.0 0.0 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 8.7 5.4 0.8 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 8.3 5.8 0.6 0.0 16.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 7.2 6.7 0.6 16.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.9 5.2 0.6 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.4 2.8 0.5 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.8 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 6.9 11.0 14.8 17.5 16.9 12.9 8.2 4.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
12-2 97.3% 1.8    1.4 0.3
11-3 79.5% 3.7    2.2 1.4 0.1
10-4 35.8% 2.9    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.0
9-5 6.0% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.9% 9.9 5.2 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.6% 100.0% 100.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-2 1.8% 87.9% 87.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.2
11-3 4.7% 64.4% 64.4% 14.9 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.5 1.7
10-4 8.2% 24.8% 24.8% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 6.2
9-5 12.9% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.6
8-6 16.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 16.9
7-7 17.5% 17.5
6-8 14.8% 14.8
5-9 11.0% 11.0
4-10 6.9% 6.9
3-11 3.5% 3.5
2-12 1.2% 1.2
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.6 1.4 92.4 0.0%