Penn
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#170
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#198
Pace67.9#200
Improvement+0.0#192

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#96
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#66
Layup/Dunks-1.3#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#122
Freethrows+0.1#161
Improvement+0.1#85

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#268
First Shot-1.4#214
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#282
Layups/Dunks+1.4#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#278
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement-0.2#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.9% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 56.6% 72.9% 45.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.6% 74.4% 66.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 9.7% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.0% 1.8%
First Four1.7% 1.3% 2.0%
First Round5.9% 7.4% 5.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Home) - 39.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 55 - 11
Quad 49 - 314 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 50   @ Iona L 50-78 12%     0 - 1 -15.2 -16.9 +1.7
  Nov 11, 2022 61   @ Missouri L 85-92 14%     0 - 2 +4.5 +12.4 -7.8
  Nov 13, 2022 113   Towson L 74-80 46%     0 - 3 -5.3 +1.1 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2022 187   @ Drexel W 64-59 43%     1 - 3 +6.7 -6.3 +13.1
  Nov 18, 2022 15   @ West Virginia L 58-92 5%     1 - 4 -15.4 -3.8 -12.9
  Nov 22, 2022 269   @ Lafayette W 74-68 OT 58%     2 - 4 +3.8 +1.1 +2.6
  Nov 25, 2022 362   Hartford W 75-55 96%     3 - 4 -0.7 -2.2 +2.6
  Nov 26, 2022 118   Colgate W 81-69 48%     4 - 4 +12.3 +6.0 +6.4
  Nov 27, 2022 201   Delaware W 86-73 67%     5 - 4 +8.1 +13.6 -4.8
  Nov 30, 2022 234   Saint Joseph's L 80-85 OT 73%     5 - 5 -11.6 -4.8 -6.2
  Dec 03, 2022 202   La Salle L 81-84 OT 67%     5 - 6 -7.9 +4.7 -12.5
  Dec 07, 2022 69   @ Villanova L 59-70 16%     5 - 7 -0.5 -2.3 -0.1
  Dec 10, 2022 92   Temple L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 02, 2023 223   @ Brown L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 06, 2023 149   @ Cornell L 79-83 34%    
  Jan 07, 2023 343   @ Columbia W 78-69 81%    
  Jan 14, 2023 313   @ Dartmouth W 75-70 69%    
  Jan 16, 2023 112   Princeton L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 21, 2023 84   @ Yale L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 23, 2023 362   @ Hartford W 77-63 91%    
  Jan 28, 2023 152   Harvard W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 03, 2023 343   Columbia W 81-66 92%    
  Feb 04, 2023 149   Cornell W 82-80 56%    
  Feb 11, 2023 152   @ Harvard L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 17, 2023 84   Yale L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 18, 2023 223   Brown W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 25, 2023 313   Dartmouth W 78-67 85%    
  Mar 04, 2023 112   @ Princeton L 69-76 27%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.2 6.1 1.8 0.1 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 7.6 8.2 1.6 0.1 18.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 8.6 8.9 1.5 0.0 20.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 8.5 7.8 1.4 0.0 20.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.5 9.1 14.6 18.5 18.7 15.2 9.8 5.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 92.3% 1.7    1.3 0.4 0.0
11-3 62.6% 3.1    1.5 1.4 0.2 0.0
10-4 21.3% 2.1    0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1
9-5 2.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 3.7 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.4% 22.7% 22.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.9% 18.9% 18.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
11-3 5.0% 15.9% 15.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.2
10-4 9.8% 11.4% 11.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 8.7
9-5 15.2% 8.6% 8.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 13.9
8-6 18.7% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 17.5
7-7 18.5% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.1 0.8 17.7
6-8 14.6% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.0
5-9 9.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.9
4-10 4.5% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 4.4
3-11 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-12 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 2.5 93.4 0.0%