Brown
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#216
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#220
Pace69.3#183
Improvement-1.1#263

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#288
First Shot-4.3#298
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#182
Layup/Dunks-1.0#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#302
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement-4.0#356

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#102
First Shot+1.3#127
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#133
Layups/Dunks+0.6#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#135
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement+2.9#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.1% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 28.3% 41.3% 20.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.8% 57.5% 48.4%
Conference Champion 7.9% 9.3% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 6.3% 8.5%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round5.6% 7.0% 4.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 64 - 12
Quad 48 - 312 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 43   @ North Carolina L 87-94 8%     0 - 1 +6.4 +16.3 -9.8
  Nov 14, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 75-57 91%     1 - 1 +0.8 -2.8 +4.7
  Nov 19, 2021 66   Creighton L 57-78 18%     1 - 2 -13.6 -14.9 +2.1
  Nov 20, 2021 213   Bradley W 65-62 50%     2 - 2 +0.8 -0.2 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2021 75   Colorado L 52-54 19%     2 - 3 +4.9 -16.1 +20.9
  Nov 26, 2021 236   Bryant L 59-65 67%     2 - 4 -12.8 -17.9 +5.2
  Nov 28, 2021 294   @ Quinnipiac W 72-61 58%     3 - 4 +6.7 -7.3 +13.3
  Dec 01, 2021 209   @ Umass Lowell L 67-70 37%    
  Dec 05, 2021 309   Sacred Heart W 73-64 82%    
  Dec 07, 2021 232   @ Merrimack L 58-60 43%    
  Dec 10, 2021 104   Vermont L 60-64 37%    
  Dec 22, 2021 78   @ Rhode Island L 60-72 14%    
  Dec 30, 2021 52   @ Maryland L 59-73 10%    
  Jan 02, 2022 189   @ Penn L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 07, 2022 131   @ Harvard L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 08, 2022 230   @ Dartmouth L 61-63 44%    
  Jan 15, 2022 151   @ Princeton L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 17, 2022 121   Yale L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 22, 2022 333   @ Columbia W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 29, 2022 185   Cornell W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 04, 2022 131   Harvard L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 05, 2022 230   Dartmouth W 64-60 64%    
  Feb 12, 2022 185   @ Cornell L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 18, 2022 151   Princeton L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 19, 2022 189   Penn W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 26, 2022 333   Columbia W 74-62 87%    
  Mar 05, 2022 121   @ Yale L 64-72 24%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 2.8 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.0 2.9 1.0 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.6 3.9 0.5 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 2.3 8.0 4.8 0.3 15.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 7.4 5.4 0.5 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.7 6.0 0.6 17.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.5 5.5 4.0 0.5 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 3.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.9 9.6 14.1 16.4 15.9 14.3 10.2 6.2 3.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
12-2 98.6% 1.4    1.2 0.2
11-3 69.2% 2.4    1.7 0.6 0.1
10-4 44.7% 2.8    0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0
9-5 9.2% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.3 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 100.0% 100.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-2 1.4% 91.4% 91.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1
11-3 3.5% 60.2% 60.2% 14.8 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 1.4
10-4 6.2% 26.8% 26.8% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.4 4.5
9-5 10.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 9.9
8-6 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.3
7-7 15.9% 15.9
6-8 16.4% 16.4
5-9 14.1% 14.1
4-10 9.6% 9.6
3-11 4.9% 4.9
2-12 2.6% 2.6
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.7 1.1 94.3 0.0%