Cornell
Ivy League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#116
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#81
Pace76.4#25
Improvement+0.2#180

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#74
First Shot+4.9#54
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#210
Layup/Dunks+5.1#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#109
Freethrows+0.8#110
Improvement-2.0#291

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#190
First Shot+0.2#170
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#258
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#301
Freethrows+2.2#45
Improvement+2.3#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.6% 19.7% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 12.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 18.5% 26.4% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round18.6% 19.7% 16.5%
Second Round2.8% 3.1% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn (Away) - 64.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 36 - 17 - 5
Quad 412 - 120 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 266   @ Lehigh W 84-78 73%     1 - 0 +3.5 +0.6 +2.2
  Nov 11, 2023 188   @ Fordham W 78-73 60%     2 - 0 +6.2 +4.7 +1.3
  Nov 15, 2023 106   @ George Mason L 83-90 37%     2 - 1 +0.3 +13.8 -13.5
  Nov 19, 2023 232   Cal St. Fullerton W 88-70 76%     3 - 1 +14.4 +7.4 +5.2
  Nov 20, 2023 155   Utah Valley W 74-61 63%     4 - 1 +13.4 +7.0 +6.7
  Nov 29, 2023 200   Monmouth W 91-87 80%     5 - 1 -1.2 +10.5 -11.9
  Dec 02, 2023 306   @ Lafayette W 79-71 80%     6 - 1 +2.8 +1.7 +0.6
  Dec 05, 2023 83   @ Syracuse L 70-81 29%     6 - 2 -1.4 -2.3 +1.5
  Dec 19, 2023 355   @ Siena W 95-74 92%     7 - 2 +8.8 +6.6 -0.6
  Dec 22, 2023 298   @ Robert Morris W 90-85 79%     8 - 2 +0.3 +6.2 -6.4
  Dec 30, 2023 138   Colgate W 77-64 68%     9 - 2 +12.1 +5.8 +6.5
  Jan 02, 2024 17   @ Baylor L 79-98 10%     9 - 3 -1.4 +7.9 -8.6
  Jan 09, 2024 234   Columbia W 91-79 83%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +5.6 +14.4 -8.6
  Jan 15, 2024 214   Penn W 77-60 82%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +11.3 +2.1 +9.9
  Jan 20, 2024 221   @ Brown W 84-83 66%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +0.6 +8.6 -8.0
  Jan 27, 2024 82   Princeton W 83-68 49%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +19.1 +11.1 +8.2
  Feb 02, 2024 333   @ Dartmouth W 56-53 87%     14 - 3 5 - 0 -5.3 -10.1 +5.2
  Feb 03, 2024 212   @ Harvard W 89-76 65%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +12.8 +14.9 -2.5
  Feb 10, 2024 90   @ Yale L 78-80 31%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +7.0 +10.0 -3.0
  Feb 16, 2024 212   Harvard W 75-62 81%     16 - 4 7 - 1 +7.3 +0.1 +7.1
  Feb 17, 2024 333   Dartmouth W 89-80 94%     17 - 4 8 - 1 -4.8 +11.2 -16.1
  Feb 23, 2024 90   Yale W 65-62 51%     18 - 4 9 - 1 +6.5 -4.5 +11.1
  Feb 24, 2024 221   Brown L 74-78 82%     18 - 5 9 - 2 -9.9 +0.8 -10.8
  Mar 01, 2024 214   @ Penn W 80-76 64%    
  Mar 02, 2024 82   @ Princeton L 73-79 29%    
  Mar 09, 2024 234   @ Columbia W 84-79 66%    
Projected Record 20 - 6 11 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 5.3 13.2 18.5 1st
2nd 0.0 3.0 21.3 24.3 2nd
3rd 9.6 31.9 15.8 57.3 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 9.6 34.9 42.3 13.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 13.2    3.4 9.8
11-3 12.4% 5.3    0.1 1.5 3.7
10-4 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total 18.5% 18.5 3.5 11.3 3.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 13.2% 24.9% 24.9% 11.9 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 9.9
11-3 42.3% 19.3% 19.3% 12.3 0.5 4.5 3.0 0.2 34.2
10-4 34.9% 16.6% 16.6% 12.7 0.1 2.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 29.1
9-5 9.6% 14.0% 14.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 8.3
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 18.6% 18.6% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 1.4 8.9 7.4 0.9 0.0 81.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 13.2% 24.9% 11.9 0.0 5.7 15.1 3.9 0.1
Lose Out 9.6% 14.0% 13.0 0.0 2.3 8.8 2.7 0.1