Cornell
Ivy League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#107
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#102
Pace77.5#19
Improvement+0.8#78

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#25
First Shot+6.8#24
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#129
Layup/Dunks+1.9#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.8#5
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+1.2#28

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#275
First Shot-4.4#311
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#89
Layups/Dunks-3.0#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#266
Freethrows+1.3#87
Improvement-0.4#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.7% 26.8% 21.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 98.1% 99.5% 92.5%
Conference Champion 34.6% 39.1% 16.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round25.7% 26.8% 21.2%
Second Round4.0% 4.3% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.1% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 80.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 34 - 46 - 7
Quad 412 - 017 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 149   @ Boston College L 77-79 51%     0 - 1 +1.7 -4.0 +6.0
  Nov 14, 2022 319   @ St. Francis (PA) W 80-77 83%     1 - 1 -3.2 +3.6 -6.7
  Nov 22, 2022 274   Canisius W 79-70 88%     2 - 1 +0.4 +4.9 -4.1
  Nov 25, 2022 354   @ Monmouth W 81-63 92%     3 - 1 +6.6 -0.5 +5.6
  Dec 01, 2022 202   @ Delaware W 74-67 62%     4 - 1 +7.9 +5.8 +2.5
  Dec 04, 2022 250   Lafayette W 73-68 85%     5 - 1 -2.3 +0.7 -2.8
  Dec 07, 2022 32   @ Miami (FL) L 105-107 16%     5 - 2 +12.7 +23.9 -10.9
  Dec 17, 2022 73   @ Syracuse L 63-78 28%     5 - 3 -4.9 -5.5 +0.5
  Dec 20, 2022 264   Lehigh W 96-64 87%     6 - 3 +24.0 +19.3 +4.3
  Dec 22, 2022 125   @ Colgate W 91-80 45%     7 - 3 +16.3 +16.1 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2022 330   Binghamton W 86-70 93%     8 - 3 +3.1 +6.9 -3.6
  Jan 01, 2023 276   @ Dartmouth W 74-63 76%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +7.6 +0.6 +6.8
  Jan 06, 2023 157   Penn W 88-69 72%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +16.9 +6.2 +9.5
  Jan 07, 2023 109   Princeton L 68-75 61%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -6.0 -1.9 -4.3
  Jan 13, 2023 101   Yale W 94-82 58%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +14.0 +19.7 -6.2
  Jan 16, 2023 347   @ Columbia W 102-85 89%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +7.4 +17.6 -11.7
  Jan 21, 2023 152   @ Harvard L 89-95 52%     12 - 5 4 - 2 -2.6 +18.9 -21.4
  Jan 28, 2023 210   Brown W 83-74 80%    
  Feb 03, 2023 109   @ Princeton L 79-81 40%    
  Feb 04, 2023 157   @ Penn W 82-81 52%    
  Feb 11, 2023 210   @ Brown W 80-77 61%    
  Feb 17, 2023 276   Dartmouth W 85-72 89%    
  Feb 18, 2023 152   Harvard W 78-72 72%    
  Feb 25, 2023 101   @ Yale L 77-80 37%    
  Mar 04, 2023 347   Columbia W 90-71 96%    
Projected Record 17 - 8 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 4.1 14.6 12.3 3.6 34.6 1st
2nd 0.0 5.0 19.2 12.0 1.8 38.0 2nd
3rd 1.2 10.4 4.7 0.1 16.4 3rd
4th 0.1 3.6 3.2 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.1 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.7 7.1 18.7 28.1 26.6 14.1 3.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 3.6    3.4 0.2
11-3 87.6% 12.3    8.9 3.4
10-4 54.7% 14.6    5.1 7.9 1.6 0.0
9-5 14.7% 4.1    0.3 1.4 1.8 0.6 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 34.6% 34.6 17.6 12.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 3.6% 42.1% 41.0% 1.2% 11.8 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.1 2.0%
11-3 14.1% 34.9% 34.9% 12.5 0.2 2.1 2.4 0.2 9.2
10-4 26.6% 28.4% 28.4% 13.0 0.1 1.6 4.5 1.4 0.0 19.1
9-5 28.1% 24.3% 24.3% 13.3 0.0 0.6 3.5 2.6 0.1 21.3
8-6 18.7% 19.5% 19.5% 13.8 0.1 1.1 2.2 0.3 15.1
7-7 7.1% 15.3% 15.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 6.0
6-8 1.7% 10.2% 10.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
5-9 0.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
4-10 0.0% 0.0
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.8 5.1 11.7 7.2 0.9 0.0 74.3 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.6% 42.1% 11.8 1.0 13.1 21.4 6.5 0.3