Cornell
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.6 172
Results Rating -2.6 208
Pace 77.9 13
Improvement +1.9 113

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 57 A- B- C- C- B+
Defense D- 343 D- D+ D D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 182 B- 62% 84 +1.6 116
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 350 B+ 44% 43 -4.2 351
Three Pointers 53% 12 B+ 38% 27 +9.4 3
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.5 20 B+ +5.2 36
1st FG Attempt A- 1.16 23
Second Chance C+ 31.1% 164 B 1.12 56 B- 0.35 94
Turnovers C- 17.8% 252
Freethrows C- 0.29 236 C+ 74% 138 C- 0.21 204
Total Offense B +6.0 57

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 53% 110 C 11.4% 204
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 44% 14 C 5.1% 193
Three Pointers A- 95% 4 C+ 0.7% 125
Total A 70% 6 C+ 5.2% 132

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 D 63% 306 +5.2 338
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 239 D+ 41% 286 -0.2 175
Three Pointers 37% 283 D 37% 313 +0.0 183
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 282 D- +4.2 330
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 330
Second Chance C- 31.2% 216 D+ 1.10 288 D+ 0.34 264
Turnovers D 14.3% 324
Freethrows D+ 0.34 282 C+ 71% 114 D+ 0.24 261
Total Defense D- -6.7 343

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 168 D+ 9.1% 243
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 188 F+ 0.4% 364
Three Pointers C- 85% 195 D+ 0.5% 255
Total C 55% 170 D+ 4.2% 292

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.8 8 18.0 292
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 81 0.22 335
Improvement +0.4 #162 +1.5 #100

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 197 169 141
Results Rating Rank 249 198 160
Conference Record 5 - 9 7 - 7 8 - 6
Conference Finish 6 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 11% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 20% 50% 4%
.500 or above in Conference 58% 91% 42%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 2% 0% 3%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round7% 11% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Yale (Home) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 11
Quad 49 - 312 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 145 @Kent St. L 102 - 110 33% -8  0% 0 - 1 C- -4 A+ +16 A+ A F F -19 F F F
 Sun, Nov 9 102 @Illinois St. L 65 - 76 21% -4  22% 0 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- B- B +4 B- D+ B
 Thu, Nov 13 327 @Lafayette W 97 - 78 75% +7  66% 1 - 2 B +11 A +12 B+ A- C- C- -2 C+ D F
 Tue, Nov 18 336 Army W 86 - 73 90% +6  86% 2 - 2 C- -2 D- -7 B- F+ F B +4 B+ B F
 Thu, Nov 20 244 Colgate W 95 - 94 2OT 74% -0  37% 3 - 2 D+ -6 D- -7 B- F F C+ +1 B- C- D+
 Sun, Nov 30 335 @Bucknell W 101 - 72 78% +14  87% 4 - 2 A +20 A+ +18 A+ A- F C+ +1 A- F B+
 Tue, Dec 2 103 @George Mason L 81 - 99 22% -5  24% 4 - 3 D -11 B +6 A+ D+ D+ F -16 F B C+
 Wed, Dec 3 174 @Towson L 80 - 93 39% -3  32% 4 - 4 D -11 A- +10 A+ D- D F -21 F F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 191 @Samford L 90 - 93 43% +3  63% 4 - 5 C- -2 B- +5 D A- B- D- -7 F D- C+
 Sun, Dec 21 315 @Albany W 83 - 75 71% -0  50% 5 - 5 C +2 A+ +17 A- A+ B- F -14 F D F
 Mon, Dec 29 10 @Michigan St. L 97 - 114 3% -6  38% 5 - 6 B- +5 A+ +19 A+ C+ B+ F -11 F B D
 Mon, Jan 5 202 Columbia L 99 - 104 68% -1  39% 5 - 7 0 - 1 D -10 B- +5 B+ A- D+ F -15 F B D+
 Sat, Jan 10 251 Dartmouth L 91 - 102 76% -8  4% 5 - 8 0 - 2 F -19 B +6 B- B F+ F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 85 @Yale L 68 - 102 16% -21  1% 5 - 9 0 - 3 F -24 D- -8 F D- B F -16 F D- F
 Mon, Jan 19 267 @Brown W 89 - 67 59% +13  97% 6 - 9 1 - 3 A +19 A+ +16 A+ B- A- B- +3 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 146 @Harvard W 86 - 79 34% -2  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 B +11 A+ +20 A+ A- C- F+ -8 C F F
 Fri, Jan 30 255 Princeton W 87 - 64 76% +16  99% 8 - 9 3 - 3 A- +15 A+ +19 A+ A+ F C -1 B- F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 169 Penn L 81 - 91 61% -11  0% 8 - 10 3 - 4 D- -14 C+ +3 B+ D- A- F -16 F A B
 Sat, Feb 7 202 @Columbia W 88 - 67 45% +12  92% 9 - 10 4 - 4 A +22 A+ +18 B+ A+ D B +5 B D- B-
 Fri, Feb 13 255 @Princeton W 89 - 65 56% +16  97% 10 - 10 5 - 4 A +22 A+ +21 A+ B C+ B- +3 B- A D+
 Sat, Feb 14 169 @Penn L 76 - 82 38% -3  18% 10 - 11 5 - 5 C- -4 D+ -3 C- B+ F C+ +0 A- C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 146 Harvard L 54 - 73 57% -6  11% 10 - 12 5 - 6 F -21 F -13 F F B+ F -12 D+ A F
 Fri, Feb 27 85 Yale L 85 - 89 34%
 Sat, Feb 28 267 Brown W 84 - 76 78%
 Sat, Mar 7 251 @Dartmouth W 88 - 87 55%
Totals 12 - 13 7 - 7 -1 B +6 A B+ B+ D- -7 B+ C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- B+ B+ B+ 38% 18% 53% B+ A- C+ B B- C- C- C+ C- D- D D+ D D- 44% 19% 37% D+ D- C- D+ D+ D D+ C+ D+
1.17 62% 44% 38% +5 +1 1.16 31% 1.1 .35 18% .29 74% .21 1.18 63% 41% 37% +4 +1 1.12 31% 1.1 .34 14% .34 71% .21
Nov
7		 Kent St. A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 6% 69% B- A+ A- B A F B- B+ B F F D+ F F 31% 9% 59% D F D F F F F A D
1.29 64% 67% 46% +15 +1 1.35 39% 1.1 .42 22% .35 77% .27 1.39 71% 40% 50% +18 +1 1.41 38% 1.3 .48 14% .48 67% .32
Nov
9		 Illinois St. D- C+ F F F 28% 17% 55% B- F D+ A+ B- B- A C+ A B C A F+ C+ 33% 29% 38% A- B- D C D+ B F A+ F
0.90 60% 22% 17% -16 0 0.70 23% 1.3 .30 15% .39 71% .28 1.05 63% 29% 39% +1 -1 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 19% .56 52% .29
Nov
13		 Lafayette A A F C+ B- 37% 3% 60% A B+ C- A+ A- C- D+ D+ D+ C- B B- C C+ 51% 23% 26% C+ C+ B F D F F B- F
1.29 73% 0% 36% +6 +2 1.18 31% 1.5 .47 15% .26 71% .19 1.04 52% 31% 33% -5 +1 0.93 21% 1.3 .29 12% .39 65% .26
Nov
18		 Army D- D+ F A+ C+ 49% 9% 42% A B- F B- F+ F A F C- B D+ F+ A+ A- 43% 9% 48% D B+ A+ F B F F F F
1.10 58% 20% 45% +5 +2 1.17 22% 1.3 .28 19% .44 57% .25 0.93 60% 40% 18% -11 +2 0.84 20% 1.1 .22 13% .35 79% .28
Nov
20		 Colgate D- B F+ C+ C+ 40% 11% 49% B B- F F F F A A A+ C+ F+ B+ A B- 43% 27% 30% C- B- B- F C- D+ A+ D A
1.04 64% 29% 35% +2 +1 1.10 20% 0.3 .05 20% .41 80% .33 1.02 66% 35% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.2 .29 14% .17 77% .13
Nov
30		 Bucknell A+ A A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% A+ A+ F A+ A- F F B F C+ A+ F A+ A- 33% 22% 45% B+ A- F+ F F B+ F B F
1.37 73% 62% +30 +3 1.69 24% 2.0 .47 22% .16 78% .12 0.98 38% 45% 23% -13 -1 0.76 32% 1.6 .51 23% .46 73% .33
Dec
2		 George Mason B C+ F A+ A+ 45% 2% 53% A+ A+ C- D+ D+ D+ B C- B- F F A+ F F 44% 20% 35% D+ F D- A+ B C+ D F F
1.12 61% 0% 44% +9 +3 1.25 25% 0.9 .22 18% .29 71% .20 1.37 83% 18% 53% +17 0 1.37 36% 0.7 .25 17% .41 84% .35
Dec
3		 Towson A- A+ B- B- A+ 54% 13% 33% A A+ D+ F D- D B A B+ F D C- F F 45% 23% 32% F F F F F C- C+ A+ A-
1.16 71% 43% 35% +8 +2 1.23 24% 0.7 .17 17% .32 78% .25 1.35 63% 42% 53% +12 0 1.26 47% 1.3 .59 16% .26 53% .14
Dec
7		 Samford B- F B+ C- D 27% 23% 50% C+ D A C A- B- C- F+ D+ D- F F A F 41% 22% 37% C- F C F D- C+ F C- F
1.17 44% 47% 33% -2 -1 0.95 37% 1.1 .41 12% .28 68% .19 1.21 86% 45% 26% +9 0 1.20 24% 1.4 .33 14% .50 70% .35
Dec
21		 Albany A+ F F A+ A 20% 18% 62% D- A- A A A+ B- D D D- F C+ D- F F 47% 22% 31% C F F C+ D F A+ D A-
1.37 44% 25% 50% +10 -1 1.20 45% 1.4 .65 13% .27 71% .19 1.24 57% 45% 53% +10 0 1.22 38% 0.9 .34 15% .14 71% .10
Dec
29		 Michigan St. A+ A A+ A- A+ 31% 8% 62% A A+ B D+ C+ B+ A- A A F F D- F F 36% 20% 45% D F B- B B D F A F
1.17 65% 60% 38% +7 +1 1.18 23% 0.7 .15 14% .32 78% .25 1.37 75% 45% 44% +14 0 1.30 38% 1.0 .38 14% .60 67% .41
Jan
5		 Columbia B- F B+ A+ B 42% 14% 44% B B+ B+ A- A- D+ D+ A+ B F C+ F F F 48% 13% 38% D+ F B B- B D+ F F F
1.20 44% 44% 46% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .40 15% .28 90% .26 1.26 56% 71% 50% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 19% .50 85% .42
Jan
10		 Dartmouth B A+ A+ F B- 40% 11% 49% B- B- B- B- B F+ A+ A+ A+ F F D- F F 36% 20% 44% C F C+ F F F B A+ A
1.21 74% 50% 25% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .35 16% .38 83% .32 1.36 77% 42% 41% +12 0 1.26 23% 2.0 .46 7% .27 63% .17
Jan
17		 Yale D- F+ F F+ F 25% 7% 68% B F C- F D- B D+ C+ C- F F F F F 40% 21% 40% C+ F A F D- F B+ A+ A
0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18 1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18
Jan
19		 Brown A+ A F+ A+ A+ 44% 6% 50% A A+ D A+ B- A- C+ D+ C B- D+ A D D- 52% 15% 33% D- D- A+ A+ A+ C+ B+ F D+
1.26 70% 33% 42% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .34 14% .35 71% .25 0.95 59% 25% 35% -1 +2 1.04 16% 0.4 .06 21% .20 100% .20
Jan
24		 Harvard A+ D+ A+ A+ A 47% 9% 45% B+ A+ C A+ A- C- A+ A A+ F+ B- A+ D B- 42% 8% 50% F C C F F F F+ D+ F
1.31 55% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 17% .48 81% .39 1.21 55% 25% 38% 0 +2 1.06 27% 1.8 .47 14% .32 83% .27
Jan
30		 Princeton A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 4% 55% A- A+ A- A+ A+ F F D F C C+ F A+ B- 36% 21% 43% C+ B- F A F+ C- A C- A-
1.41 90% 100% 37% +18 +2 1.43 36% 1.4 .50 20% .18 67% .12 1.04 53% 50% 25% -5 0 0.91 43% 0.8 .35 16% .23 75% .17
Jan
31		 Penn C+ D- C A+ B+ 35% 9% 56% B B+ D- D- D- A- B F C+ F F C F F 49% 17% 34% F F D A+ A B F D F
1.12 53% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 25% 0.8 .19 12% .30 58% .17 1.26 74% 38% 50% +16 +1 1.36 35% 0.6 .19 19% .52 73% .38
Feb
7		 Columbia A+ A+ A+ F A- 47% 23% 30% C B+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ B A B- D+ A 60% 6% 34% F B B- F D- B- D- A+ B-
1.34 73% 55% 21% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 15% .43 92% .39 1.02 46% 33% 38% -5 +3 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 23% .34 53% .18
Feb
13		 Princeton A+ B- A A+ A+ 42% 4% 54% A A+ A- C B C+ F A+ F+ B- A+ C- D- B+ 53% 11% 36% F B- C A+ A D+ F F F
1.41 64% 50% 46% +13 +2 1.33 36% 1.1 .39 13% .20 82% .16 1.03 42% 40% 38% -7 +2 0.93 27% 0.6 .15 16% .45 88% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Penn D+ D+ A D- D 55% 4% 41% A+ C- C+ A B+ F A F C C+ C F A+ A+ 49% 21% 30% F A- C B- C+ F F B F
1.00 57% 50% 29% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .38 21% .35 48% .17 1.08 54% 55% 13% -8 +1 0.87 31% 0.9 .28 12% .61 66% .40
Feb
21		 Harvard F D+ A+ F F 53% 8% 39% A F D+ F F B+ D+ A+ C+ F F C+ C D+ 35% 17% 48% C D+ F A+ A F F A F+
0.90 54% 75% 5% -16 +3 0.76 26% 0.7 .18 13% .25 85% .21 1.21 71% 38% 35% +5 0 1.13 35% 0.4 .14 10% .35 74% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.5 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 11.5 11.4 23.1 3rd
4th 18.5 31.0 3.8 53.3 4th
5th 2.6 14.4 0.3 17.4 5th
6th 3.5 1.2 4.7 6th
7th 1.0 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 7.2 34.3 42.9 15.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 15.6% 15.9% 15.9% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.5 13.1
7-7 42.9% 9.6% 9.6% 15.1 0.2 3.5 0.4 38.8
6-8 34.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 34.2
5-9 7.2% 7.2
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 14.7 93.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 14.0 0.4 17.2 61.2 21.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.6%
Lose Out 7.2%